I will explain WV.
It is Texas and Georgia and Alabama but stuck in 1972. Most of the notable statewide or federal Dems are Pro Life, Pro NRA, Pro Small Business. Like Former State Senator, Then Secretary of State, Now Governor and soon to be Senator, Joe Manchin.
The Republicans, like Congresswoman Capito and the GOP Chairman, are pro big coal, and pro choice.
Rich Republicans and big coal vs the little labor circa 1920s has NOT been forgotten.
When everyone knows JOE and where he came from, and then they contrast to Pro Choice, Pro Homo, Rich Republicans like Capito and Millionaire John Raese, it is a no brainer.
Raese will not get 35%. If he spends 18 million or if he DIES tomorrow and thus spends NOTHING.
He will get 32-35% from broken glass Republicans who live in the northern panhandle DC area. Capito’s district.
The rest of the state will vote for Manchin. Including half the Republicans who are Pro Life!
West Virginians for Life, West Virgina Family Council, West Virgina NRA will ALL endorse Manchin.
Raese is a 3 time loser who can’t break into the 40’s spending millions and owning all the radio stations in the state!!
Raese is supported by the same folks who support CRIST, MCCAIN, SNOWE, GRAHAM, SPECTOR and the rest of the RINOs.
This is why. This is WV. All the GOP are RINOs, and the Dems are all still 1972 Southern “Phil Gramm and Sam Nunn” types.
Unless one of the other 10 GOP candidates is smart enough to beat Raese and then able to raise money, no chance of anything but SSDD coming out of WV anytime in this lifetime.
Whoever wins this one, is Senator for LIFE.
Great analysis and I don’t doubt a word of it. But I’m wondering what you think about my hypothesis in the original article - will the voters of West Virginia go against their traditional Democratic loyalties this time around because a vote for Machin is a vote for one more Senator that will support the Obama agenda?
Good points,and a well reasoned anlaysis (with a nice writing style to boot) but the same argument could have been applied to the Deep South in the 60’s....and now it’s pretty solidly Red..As the Dem party moves further left..and is taken over more and more by the crazies, WV will go RED..it’s just a question of when...I suspect that many Dems/ indies who will not vote for Manchen, aren’t comfortable saying that now to a pollster..it’s a fairly taciturn state..BTW...what’s with Shelly.can/is she going to run for BOTH her House seat and the Senate?
Thanks for that explanation. It’s a shame that WV is that way, sending Democrts to Congress, oblivious to what they do to the rest of the country. Obviously, they are not informed enough to understand the damage that they do.