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I would not keep the dog in a pen. We give our lab the run of the house. We previously had another lab which we kept outside on a line after we had children. He was miserable. When we leave for more than a day, we put our dog in a kennel that our vet runs. She doesn’t like it, but it’s only for a few days.
A German shepard is probably your best guard dog.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Komondor
Yes, it’s a bigger dog, 110 lbs +/- 20 lbs. It sounds nearly ideal for the societal collapse you desire (they rest during the day, keeping an eye out, and actively patrol during the night), but the pen is a bad idea for that type of dog; it would be far better to train it on its ‘border’ and let it roam inside.
An interesting thing about the breed is they bond to the male [master] of the house instead of the female [mistress] (which is the norm in other breeds). They are very territorial and consider their territory [and its contents], children, other animals to all be “the master’s.”
For a dog to be effective, it has to be a member of the pack, i.e. a full member of the household. Penning it up alone all day isolated from its pack (YOU) will make it crazy. It amounts to dog abuse.
Get a good burglar alarm with a power backup.