Posted on 02/22/2010 4:47:19 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
The 2010 midterm elections are shaping up to be a Democrats nightmare. But the problems for the Democrats and Obama won’t end there. Indeed, the fallout from the 2010 elections will likely carry over into 2012 which may well feature Hillary running against Obama and Nancy Pelosi’s retirement. Here’s why:
1. Republican’s Political Carpe Diem. It appears more everyday that Congressional Republicans are coming to grips with the tide sweeping the Country – Tea Party and otherwise. If Republicans rekindle their successful strategy of 1994, by setting a clear, practical and limited fall election agenda, then they can successfully frame the election debate, and . . .
2. The Democrats Should Lose the House in 2010. As I have chronicled elsewhere, the average loss for the President’s Party in the House, when his approval rating is below 50%, is 41 seats – enough for the Republicans to regain the House in 2010 if that average holds up – and it should. The Democrats are continuing to fight amongst themselves – an acceptable exercise in an off year but not in an election year (as in 1968 for the Democrats). Obama is talking about election year tax increases and using executive powers and a legislative cram down of health care. None of those dynamics bode well for Democrats, will fuel even more voter anger and should actually drive Obama’s ratings down further – keeping the modern string going of no President improving his approval ratings in a midterm election year.
3. Pelosi Retires after 2012. If the Democrats lose the House in 2010, it should not be long thereafter that Pelosi retires. Ask yourself: How many former Speakers of the House are still in Congress? It is perhaps the ultimate up and out position in politics – with no place to retreat. In short, if the House falls – so will she.
4. Hillary Will Run in 2012. If the Democrats lose the House, they can blame Nancy, Harry and Obama. Their agenda was far too divisive in an era of divisive politics. No one, however, deserves more blame than Obama. He picked too many fights with Americans and couldn’t control Pelosi. That is why his ratings are so low.
Beyond that, Obama will likely not be able to make a Clinton comeback. Obama couldn’t get his radical agenda passed even though the Democrats controlled the Senate and House because he lacks the necessary skills to build consensus and govern. His leadership deficiencies mean that he won’t fare any better in a divided government.
In the face of such Carter-like difficulties, the Democrats will have to ask themselves: Should we place our 2012 Congressional election fate in the hands of Obama? Many will say yes – enough could well say no because . . .
(a) Obama will have not done much for them. Keep in mind that Obama was rushed into the Presidency. He didn’t have a long career of helping other Democrats around the country. As a result, he doesn’t have a reservoir of good will from battles he fought for them. Just the opposite, they went out on a limb for him. Since becoming President, Obama pushed headlong into policy fights that have hurt Democrats more then helped them. Obama’s campaigning for candidates has not been successful either – just ask Governor Corzine and Senator Coakley. Indeed, moderate Democrats are telling him to stay away in 2010. All-in-all, don’t expect too many to bleed for Obama in 2012 – to the contrary, many will prefer to try to stop the bleeding they are suffering at his hands.
(b) Hillary Will Have Better Ratings Than Obama. The Clintons are no dummies. They knew Obama would fail. So, in anticipation, Hillary simultaneously (a) burnished her foreign policy credentials as Secretary of State, and (b) distanced herself from the domestic problems of the Democrats and her approval ratings have risen accordingly – even if she had no major successes. Brilliant by comparison to Obama.
She can also correctly say: “I Told You So – he wasn’t ready and I certainly am.”
The Democrats, or enough them, won’t want to give up the White House in 2012. Carter was a one term President – Johnson not much more than that. Their only two-term President was a Clinton – and enough Democrats will urge this Clinton to run in 2012 hoping for another electoral first – a female President.
Too farfetched you say? Check out my 2010 predictions made in January of 2009.
and stay tuned – watch for Hillary to resign from her position Secretary of State sooner than later . . .
Ahhhh, but see my tagline...
Cat fight
Governor Sarah Palin vs. Secretary Hillary Clinton in 2012? I’d pay money to see that. ............................. SO WILL THE MSM. You think Palin is a target now, wait til she is a candidate vs Clinton. Let the smearing begin! You can bet your house and kids on it, Hillary yearns to be the 1st woman Prez!
After the disaster that is Obama, I can’t see the American people wanting to trade one Marxist (Obama) for another Marxist (Hillary).
We'll be paying all right.
Sarah is just another nwo plant, her mission is to bamboozle the tea party.
So if you say hello to Dr. Henry Kissinger, a former Republican-appointed Secretary of State, you’re a neo-con NWO shape-shifter? Guess I am, too, then, since I worked for General Al Haig.
So if you say hello to Dr. Henry Kissinger, a former Republican-appointed Secretary of State, you’re a neo-con NWO shape-shifter? Guess I am, too, then, since I worked for General Al Haig.
One of my family of ancestors once said, “Every country has the government it deserves.” Build your bomb shelters, and become more independent, folks. Let the political class do as they wish.
She supports Gov Perry tx, a Bilderber attendee..she is one of them. Which I oppose, I am for a soveriegn, constitutional republic. Just call it like I see it. I am sure more will surface in the future.
Another one tried to keep Joan of Ark out of the fire, BTW.
Hitlery is the chosen one. Has been for sometime, in fact '08 was to be her year until Soros bought the democrat party and the Xclintonistas lost their grip.
I predicted the other day that Hillery and her old blue crusty pantsuit would be the dems choice in '12. She will be seen as the only one with "gravitas" in '12
Another bold prediction from exnavy, remember you heard it here first.
With Hillery in the State Dept., ole' foggy bottom they used to be called, watch for George Soros to "pass away" before the 2012 election.
Teddy helped ensure Carter’s defeat in 1980 by challenging him. Obama may be more unpopular in spring 2012 than Carter was in spring 1980, but Obama’s being black makes it much harder for a Democrat to challenge him. The Obama campaign played the race card in 2008 against Hillary and it worked. Why wouldn’t it be even more effective in 2012?
LOL Your funny.
Watch those double posts.
Henry Kissinger is EVIL.
Hussein may be so unpopular by ‘12 that almost anyone could send him packing, color or not. Speaking of color, I would like to see Col Allen West of Florida run — he would WIN . He now is running for Congress. Other than him, Michelle Bachman is great, about 100%. Either of these I believe could knowck Hillary down.
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