Shocking poll: Brown leads in Mass.

The Washington Examiner ^ | January 9, 2010 | David Freddoso

[Scanian]

Don't look now, but Republican Scott Brown leads Democrat Martha Coakley by one point, 48 to 47 percent, in Public Policy Polling's new poll of the January 19 special Senate election in Massachusetts.

Brown is benefiting from depressed Democratic interest in the election and a huge lead among independents for his surprisingly strong standing. Those planning to vote in the special election only report having voted for Barack Obama in 2008 by a 16 point margin, in contrast to his actual 26 point victory in the state.

[HamiltonJay]

Basically this election to me, looks like it will hing on turnout, low turnout and its almost certain that Brown will win. Those pissed at the Fauxbama administration and over health care etc, are going to crawl over glass to vote. Democrats, not so much.. I’m sure the hard core will show up, but the rank and file... ?????

It certainly is the best political environment you can get in MA to run as a Republican statewide in a while. While I don’t agree with Mr. Brown on some issues, abortion to name one, this does give me concerns on whether he can be counted on when his vote is needed, breaking the supermajority in the Senate has huge ramifications and folks know it.

I don’t buy for a minute he’s up in polling, this definitely sounds like the purpose of this poll is to motivate the democratic rank and file to show up.