Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Holding The Line With White Voters
National Journal ^ | 12-12-09 | Ronald Brownstein

Posted on 12/12/2009 5:00:43 AM PST by radioone

As 2010 approaches, President Obama is displaying a familiar strength, a familiar weakness, and a new vulnerability that could tip next year's midterm election.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: cookreport; gallup; obama; winetrackdistricts
Wine Track Districts....I lernt somthin new today.
1 posted on 12/12/2009 5:00:44 AM PST by radioone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: radioone

Translation: Districts occupied by elitist whites who think they are smarter, more worldly, and politically aware than other whites who are derisively referred to as “Beer District Whites”. Obama can keep them, they would only pull the Republican Party further left anyway.


2 posted on 12/12/2009 5:11:48 AM PST by Russ (Repeal the 17th amendment)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Russ
IMHO, this shows the fundamental stupidity of us Republicans, no matter how many degrees we have, or how much wine we drink.

"our" party has aided and abetted the massive illegal immigration that has turned this into a minority white country. The Democrats have 75% of the non-white vote.

Duh!

More and more congressional districts now have "Minority-Majority" populations. Our racial demography is rapidly changing to resemble Puerto Rico's + Asians. The lesson will be learned when Iowa and North Carolina have Democrat governors of Mexican heritage whose parents were illegals!

If you think this Obama is bad, wait until you meet the next one.

3 posted on 12/12/2009 5:25:40 AM PST by Kenny Bunk (Eligibility: I ain't lookin' for answers. Just 1 elected Republican to ask the question.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Kenny Bunk
No, you wait and watch what happens... if what you say will happen actually does. It will not be “business as usual”.

LLS

4 posted on 12/12/2009 5:37:45 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (hussama will never be my president... NEVER!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: radioone

Minorities will have little incentive to turn out in 2010.


5 posted on 12/12/2009 6:09:43 AM PST by randita (Chains you can bereave in.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: radioone

There were several factors that led to Obama’s win, one being the very high black turnout. But I believe the swing vote that really handed him the win was the white guilt vote. That vote will be greatly diminished in 2010 where the Dims are concerned, and particularly for Obama in 2012.


6 posted on 12/12/2009 6:22:20 AM PST by Will88
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Will88; LibLieSlayer; randita; radioone; Russ
Obama in 2012.

I do not believe Obama will seek a second term. By then, the he will have turned a bad economic situation into a nightmare. I believe his plan is to turn it over to Hillary, who is just as much a marxist, and has a smarter approach.

Also, in the background, the case against his constitutional eligibility is grinding slowly forward toward the Federal District Court in DC, even if it never makes it all the way, that district's high visibility and Obama's multi-million-dollar efforts to fight it may, I say MAY, even attract sufficient media attention to damage his already damaged credibility.

Right now, main event is Health Care. It is the centerpiece of the socialist strategy. Take power over the health care sector, which is over 15% of the economy, combine it with the power of the Trillion-Dollar "Stimulus" fund, which is actually a Democrat Party Campaign Slush Fund, and the Democratic People's Republic of Amerika is well and truly on its socialist way.

Instead of stonewalling this horror, all I see are Republican Senators jumping on the amendment bandwagon, which ought to tell us that something no one wants will come out of this Senate. My own two "Republican" senatrices are all too willing to take a dive for their cut of the "Stimulus" Slush Fund. They are probably not alone.

IMHO, about 20% of the electorate knows ... or apparently cares ... anything about topics that are common on FR. If somehow 75% of the electorate can be persuaded to even vote, we have a shot at stopping the hemorrhage of the Republic.

7 posted on 12/12/2009 6:56:34 AM PST by Kenny Bunk ("Let only Americans stand guard tonight." Gen. G. Washington)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Kenny Bunk

We must reform and restore the GOP before this happens or the RNC will select a presidential candidate for us-It will be a Mitt Romney or a reprise of McCain. Or it might be Jeb Bush or Huckleberry. Anyone but a true Conservative. I too do not see Obama seeking a second term—He will be swept away by scandal and forced to resign like Nixon. Then, Joe Biden will select Hillary for VP, then resign himself—Hillary will select someone with a following for VP—maybe Libermann? or perhaps even John McCain? or Arlan Specter? She will put Bill in as Sec. of State and get rid of the Czars to put in her own people. After Obama she will look like a moderate.


8 posted on 12/12/2009 7:30:11 AM PST by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Will88

I don’t buy the “white guilt” for a second. People who have enough white guilt to influence their vote aren’t ever going to vote Republican. (It may explain Democratic women voting for Obama rather than Hillary, though.)

It was the >financial crisis< that put Obama over the top. People were deadly afraid that Washington lacked the brain-power and sure-handedness economy from melting down. While it was in fact Bush’s hand-picked team that kept the lid on things (Paulson, Bernacke, and let’s not forget Geithner), Bush himself was a deer in headlights, and McCain and Palin hardly seemed much better in terms of the intellectual fire-power and decisiveness to handle things. Obama and Biden’s (apparent) ability to seem a step above, and also representing a change in direction from what seemed like it wasn’t working — that was the thing.

In 2012, Obama and Biden will not represent change, of course, and the modesty of their intellectual gifts (to say the least!) will be quite evident...


9 posted on 12/12/2009 7:34:35 AM PST by only1percent
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: only1percent
I don’t buy the “white guilt” for a second. People who have enough white guilt to influence their vote aren’t ever going to vote Republican.

Obama was the first candidate to give the independent voter a chance to express their white guilt in a presidential election. There is a sizable group of voters who move back-and-forth between parties for all sorts of reasons, and those reasons often have nothing to do with political philosophy. There are old black and white film clips of women saying they planned to vote for JFK because he was so good looking.

White guilt has been written about often and was a definite factor in the 2008 election. If people were as rigid in their political philosophies as you imply, everyone would just align with one of the two parties and there would be no independents who vote for different parties during different election cycles.

And, some people also come to realize how dumb it was to allow their white guilt to influence their vote and help someone like Obama into the White House.

10 posted on 12/12/2009 7:44:02 AM PST by Will88
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Kenny Bunk
I do not believe Obama will seek a second term.

Possibly. It will depend a lot on what happens in 2010. If the elections go the way VA and NJ went, it will be a resounding repudiation of Obamunism. Also if there is not clear progress toward ending the war in Afghan. and bringing troops home, he may well face a serious challenge from his left in the 2012 primary.

It would be a strong break from precedent for a sitting president not to run for reelection, but in these uncertain times, who knows what might happen.

As far as the economy goes, the strategy seems to be throw as much government money at the problem to paper over the tragic situation in private industry. Will it work all the way to 2012? Maybe.

11 posted on 12/12/2009 8:24:25 AM PST by randita (Chains you can bereave in.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson