One would be remiss to dismiss the fact Iran is already a nuclear power.
All this speculation is just another way to stall the inevitable.
If the Iranians build an "gunbarrel" device like Little Boy but with more modern materials, they could build a 10 kT device weighing about 3,000 lbs., which makes it possible to carry it on the F-4 fighters they still possess or the Su-24 Fencer fighter-bomber. However, it also means the Iranian missiles won't be able to lift such a heavy warhead for long ranges unless they use their biggest missile.