Posted on 07/07/2009 8:39:05 AM PDT by Brookhaven
July 1, and July 2nd I wrote an article about the chances for a 3rd party candidate starting a campaign. Friday July 3rd, 2009 Gov. Sarah Palin announces she is resigning her position as Governor of Alaska...
The McCain camp and the Republican party tried to use Sarah Palin as a party puppet, Sarah was not a good puppet, she was not a good puppet as Gov. of Alaska, and since being thrown in the spotlight she has proved to be a rough around the edges Republican. Sarah Palin is a head strong conservative Republican, but in expressing her views and opinions she has had to buck the system, Republican and Democrat. Sarah Palin is a truly concerned Gov. for the people of Alaska, but sometimes the game was not on her side. Many in her party and members of the opposing party have challenged her on many issues. This has caused her to spend more money than she has defending herself. By her own admission she is $500,000 dollars in debt to attorneys. Sarah Palin and her family are far from rich, they are not poor, but their salaries and savings are far below the average Washington politician.
With tea party protests being staged with only local leadership being held around America, these folks are also looking for a national leader. As more and more Americans become skeptical of Washington spending and taxing, this could be a venue for Sarah Palin, but this too could be tricky, she could be viewed as a radical or just another protester...
If unemployment continues to rise, if taxes rise, if spending continues, Americans may be looking for a new leader.
(Excerpt) Read more at examiner.com ...
Given that the Republican leadership/insiders are about as critical of Palin as your average Democrat (or even more so), I think the odds of Palin getting the Republican nomination are pretty long. If she did get the nomination, I think you might actually see the party machinery (at least a large part of it) actually working against her behind her back to keep her from being elected.
So a 3rd party nomination for Palin might be more realistic for Palin than a Republican run.
Wow a turd party supporters wet dream that is not gonna happen.
If a third party ever had a chance of winning and REPLACING the auxiliary wing of the DNC AKA the GOP ... it will be in 2012 with Sarah
It worked for Lieberman.. running as an Independant..
She made a brilliant move. Both of the establishment parties are TERRIFIED. She could take an easy %25 of any future vote. Think Perot in 92. The stars are all aligning for it.
3 party election with no run off is a loser. Who wins? The one nobody wants. Look what happened with Clinton with 39% of the vote.
I’m not sure if it would be a good or bad thing, but I think it is worth talking about at this point.
I found it interesting that NONE of the MSM (or even non-MSM) is mentioning this as a possiblity. Palin has always been an out of the box politician. If running on a 3rd party has crossed anyone’s mind, it would probably be Palin’s.
If she goes third party, she may have a shot, provided the GOP winner is not Huckabee. She would fare far better in an Obama v. Romney match up.
I believe an Indy could have won in 2008.
A lot of moderates were not thrilled with Obama, and we know conservatives didn’t like McLame.
That’s a tough assumption for me.
I see the Baraqqi coalition of minorities, illegals, union members, welfare recipients, vote fraud, and idiot liberals as a near majority all by itself.
Was thinking about this the other day. I don't know if running on an existing 3rd party ticket would be the best move. If Palin resigned to give herself extra time to begin organizing a "Conservative Party" effort, that would make more sense and give real substance to last Friday's announcement.
>>>First, she would need to win Iowa and that would be an uphill battle, though possible.<<<
The importance of winning Iowa is WAY overrated, IMO.
Since 1980, the GOP has had 5 contested Iowa caucuses and the winner only went on to win the nomination twice (GW Bush in 2000 and Bob Dole in 1996.
Reagan (1980), GHW Bush (1988) and McCain (2008) all lost Iowa but won the nomination.
Also, I think Palin would do well in South Carolina and Florida. She drew huge crowds in the South, especially Florida. I think Southern Evangelicals like Huckabee, because he has been the only solid social conservative choice, but would be more excited by Palin.
I think the biggest obstacle to Palin winning the GOP primary might be the “electability” issue. If, in 2012, a large percentage of independents and RINOs still buy the MSM’s portrayal of Palin as an idiot, conservatives who like her best, might choose Huckabee (who would be labeled as a religious lunatic by the MSM the moment he won the nomination) or someone else.
If she wants to run in 2012, she really needs to start taking on the MSM and showing independents that she is a capable leader.
Huckabee is a former Southern Baptist minister and governor of a southern state. The Southern Baptists will likely push him to victory in South Carolina. In Florida, she may have more of a chance, but Romney will be a factor there.
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