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THE COMING WAVE (An interview with Mother Abigail)
Original Work | 7-6-09 | James Oscar

Posted on 07/06/2009 7:38:31 PM PDT by James Oscar

THE COMING WAVE

(An Interview With Mother Abigail)

I came in from the wilderness, a creature void of form.
"Come in," she said, "I'll give you…”


Bob Dylan

2006

While researching the New Media, I became fascinated with the development of the “Flu Blog”. It seemed to represent – not only the direction – but the form and structure of the changing media in the Internet Age.

My original thesis was to write a series of articles detailing, as thoroughly as possible, the creation of the “Flu Blog” – from inception to mainstream assimilation.

However, as often happens in war and creativity, events overtook the plan.

My derailment occurred in the following manor:

By December of 2006 I had researched, compiled and databased every conceivable factoid relating to the early years of flu blogging. I felt ready to publish my first article and on the second day of 2007 I started writing and soliciting feedback on a website called CurrentEvents.

I was very pleased with the finished product believing that both technically and factually I had established the main point of my thesis – control of the media was being altered forever and that the evolution was being driven from the bottom up.


Here is that article:

--------------------------------------------

2007

EXPLORING THE NEW MEDIA'S EVOLUTIONARY PATH
-THE BIRTH OF THE FLU BLOG -


Every beginning is a consequence - every beginning ends some thing

(Paul Valery)

In February of 2003 newspapers, cable news and radio were the interface between the American public and breaking news. It had long been such.

No one set out to destroy the relevancy of these institutions.

Like so much change it just happened. Passion and thirst mixed with a witches blend of electronic gadgetry created a new paradigm.

A paradigm where power was snatched from the media elite and taken by the citizenry - and no one has ever looked back.

Until now.

MARCH 2003


The world was on the eve of war. Not the televised war of the First Gulf War, but the first internet war.

Many homes and offices were now wired to the net and the Internet was to become the CB of the 21st century. Far across the immense spectrum of the Internet - discussion nodes filled with speculation and rumor.

A very strange vibe was brewing.

A strange vibe indeed. This was March of 2003 - this was to be the time of change.

It began as little more than a few whispers among the cacophony of war talk. A post on the 13th here, a post on the 14th here.

The earliest and most followed post was placed on the 13th. Within three days, this thread had received a couple of hundred comments, as the severity of the situation became apparent.

It was now the Ides of March, and this story unfolds - for the transformation is about to begin.

In the strangest place.

THE OLD PARADIGM


As the concept of the "Discussion Forum" caught on across the growing Internet, a couple of standard formulas became the norm.

The first was a single poster copying and pasting a news article from the Main Stream Media and then adding comments. This early Blog form still exists today.

The second formula developed largely during the "Clinton Scandals".

Liberals and conservatives separated and started their own discussion forums where they would post an article from the Drudge Report or the New York Times and then proceed to beat it to death with comments.

There were a few science centered Blogs, but they also followed these same two formats. And they were out in the periphery - with few members and very few visitors.

No it was the mega sites where the action was - a huge group of diverse members, lots of visitor traffic and a stable infrastructure.

The elements were now all in place for the perfect storm.

THE TRANSFORMATION


This is the way the world ends Not with a bang, but a whimper

T. S. Eliot


It was the Ides of March, late in the night - on the hottest conservative forum on the Internet - that she appeared.

In an obscure section of that web site she posted a cryptically titled thread, made a comment about Ebola, a comment about God and then posted an advisory about a "worldwide health threat."

In a section that had seen only seven threads in the past seven days, she wove a strange, exotic and haunting thread for two days.

Then on the 17th of March she posted the first of 20 highly technical medical threads:

1. Precognition

2. Hong Kong Health Secretary calls for calm as SARS cases double, (83 up from 42 on Sunday)

3. LATEST SARS UPDATE - DETAILED MEDICAL INFORMATION

4. BREAKING BIG: POSSIBLE PATHOGEN DETECTED IN SARS CASE

5. Killer Virus (SARS) Identified

6. Seven victims of mystery pneumonia stayed on same floor of Hong Kong hotel

7. Guangdong doctor linked to SARS outbreak

8. President of the American Society of Microbiology on SARS - "Everything says it is airborne."

9. SARS REACHES HONG KONG SCHOOLS - 32 NEW CASES (IS THE BUG OUT OF THE BOX?)

10. CDC increases SARS cases to 22 in U.S.

11. CHINA CONFIRMS CASES AND DEATHS (SARS) - HONG KONG SITUATION DETERIORATING - 22 CASES IN US

12. Causative agent of SARS virus isolated from lung tissue - test is reliably identifying cases

13. SARS cases on the rise in Canada, may be spreading even further, 12 people showing symptoms

14. VIETNAM NEW SARS HOT ZONE, U.S. Warns Citizens in Vietnam To leave

15. SARS cases on the rise in Canada, may be spreading even further, 12 people showing symptoms

16. Singapore - 740 people quarantined, 14 new cases on Monday, Hospitals close, SARS spreads

17. 37 In United States May Have SARS

18. SARS epidemic spreads in Taiwan, three other CDC officials have become ill.

19. WHAT IS THE CAUSE OF SARS? ONE VIRUS, TWO VIRUSES WORKING IN CONCERT, OR A DETERMINANT UNKNOWN

20. Killer-flu a 'white terror': Expert, "It is the worst medical disaster I have ever seen.

21. Preliminary Clinical Description of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome

- and over the next eleven days guided both lay and professionals, transformed the web site, crushed the paradigm and changed the way we interface with breaking news forever.

Oh, and there is that strange aspect of her name.

Every literate person on the Web new and understood, not only what it meant, but the endless nuances that lay associated with that name, in this context.

She signed on as Mother Abigail.

THE NEW PARADIGM


Among the hundreds of posters and thousands of viewers on the Mother Abigail threads were; Doctors, Lawyers, Nurses, Pharmacists, Veterinarians and Health Care workers of every stripe.

It became apparent quite early that this was not to be the normal flu talk. This is an early post:

"Doug had an interesting observation in picking a Morbillivirus as a likely agent. Hendra and Nipah are both zoonotic and it might well be a mutant of the Paramyxoviridae family.

Symptoms are right.

"Just because I have had tooooo much coffee, I will mention that both Hendra and Nipah have been given their own genus (Henipavirus).

Henipavirus becomes the fourth genus within the Paramyxovirinae subfamily of the Paramyxoviridae family. The other genera within the subfamily are Rubulavirus, Morbillivirus and Respirovirus."

52 posted on 03/17/2003 10:49:23 PM PST by Mother Abigail"

And so it began.

Why was this different? Because local MD's discovered ProMed, because an army of netizens began searching every corner of our world for information, because citizens of other countries began translating information that would normally be missed - because the whole was larger than the sum of the parts.

One poster who tried to write about Mother Abigail soon after the incident, and was quickly banned, called it SARS Central.

Sounds right to me.

She hijacked a web site, created a forum for the "in depth" discussion of Virology, Taxonomy and Microbiology. But interactive.

And it is that interactivity that opened the flood gates. Now it was possible to monitor breaking news in a far off land, have experts opine on that news, react to their opinions and post information of your own.

NBC Nightly News was never going to be the same.

The "Flu Blog" was born.

DENOUEMENT


Eleven days. From March the 15th to March the 26 she posted, wrote and guided. Then with the same grace and dignity that marked every word she ever wrote - she said goodby.

"It appears I have worked myself out of a job.

Many of you are now posting threads on SARS, and the information seems to be flowing in an accurate and timely manner.

So I will take this opportunity to thank all the posters for their hard work and diligence.

NOTE: I have tried to answer all the e-mails, except of course, the many that asked for personal information. Hope I was of some help

Stay Strong, Come and see me and - bring all your nice friends.......

20 posted on 03/26/2003 8:12:57 PM PST by Mother Abigail"

Some help indeed....

Mother Abigail had become, in the wink of an eye, the focal point for much praise and some derision. Then she was gone.

A year or so later she began posting, from time to time, on various web sites - always modest - never speaking of those days again.

She continues to this day.

-------------------------------------------------


MORE....

I anticipated a flood of emails either disputing my research or my thesis. Ever confident in my work I eagerly prepared for the debate. For the next few months my yahoo mailbox was smoking – but the questions were not what I had envisioned. In fact, I could not have been more wrong.


The e-mails all asked the same questions and they were all about Mother Abigail. Did I know her? Who did she work for? Had I met her? Basically the same e-mail over and over again.


This pretty much let all the wind out of my sails for quite a while. Because the truth is that I knew nothing of her – had exchange a couple of brief “web-based” e-mails and although I had read every word she had ever written on the subject, my knowledge of the person was ZIP.


The only consistent trait of my personality, as several of my ex-wives will tell you, is that I have no great fidelity to any concept. So I fell back and reviewed my goals.

After a season of Tanqueray and tonic I decided to change my focus.

2008

Via e-mail I asked MA if she would be willing to allow me to interview her and write an article about her. My operating paradigm at that time was that this lady was a seminal pioneer of the New Media and a scientist of serious reputation.

How naïve I was.

In the late summer of 2008 I was invited to visit her at her home on Lake Tahoe. It was a visit that would change my life.

DISCLAIMER


The following is a summary of conversations that occurred from August 2008 until June of 2009. All the words are mine and mine alone. When I asked MA if she would like to edit my work or review it for errors – she declined. Prior to the final draft I asked MA for a quote and she declined but requested that I include her favorite poem – “While the Rain Is Easy” – which I did.

"While the Rain Is Easy" is from a collection of Tokuisei Verse called "My River". It is used with permission from the Author.



TOPICS: Health/Medicine; Science
KEYWORDS: flu; flublog; motherabigail
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To: James Oscar

MA: Neu5Ac, however, has several important functions. Chief among these are the neutralization of toxins and monitoring of blood protein half life.

It is found in especially large concentrations in the saliva, urine, breast milk, cerebrospinal fluids, serum and other fluids in the human body. Considerable concentrations are also found in the kidneys, brain, heart and the adrenal glands.

Neu5Ac is found in abundance in whey protein isolate. In fact, this particular source has been found to be beneficial even in those who are normally lactose intolerant.

Eggs are also a very good source of Neu5Ac as well.

Q: How does the body use it?

MA: Neu5Ac is considered to be an immune moderator. It impacts the resistance of flow of mucus, and thus naturally defends the body against viral and bacterial infections.

It boosts cellular interaction, and has also been shown to have protective properties against influenza, pneumonia, hepatitis and other diseases.

Its negative charge is responsible for the slippery feel of saliva and mucins coating the body’s organs.

Neu5Ac is also becoming known as an agent necessary for mediating ganglioside distribution and structures in the brain.

Neu5Ac also acts as a receptor for influenza viruses.


121 posted on 09/18/2009 2:49:24 PM PDT by James Oscar
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To: James Oscar

MA: Whenever you see the word “glyco-” attached to something you should be thinking sugars (carbohydrates). Lots of the building blocks have sugars on them. Attaching a sugar is called glycosylation, and the thing that has the sugar attached is said to be glycosylated .

Chains of sugar building blocks (the block units are called monosaccharides) can be oligosaccharides (when there are only a few of them), polysaccharides (when there are many building blocks, often in the form of oligosaccharide units strung together) or, more generically, saccharides, sugar chains, or glycans.

Q: But what about Neu5Ac?

MA: I was getting around to that. We are discussing sialic acid and Neu5Ac -Neu5Ac has a slight modification; an acetyl group attached through a nitrogen at carbon 5 and so it is also called Neu5Ac, but is also called neuraminic acid.

Q: So Neu5Ac and “sialic acid” are the same?

MA: And it is call neuraminic acid. All the same.

The sialic acid is the thing the influenza virus is looking to grab onto via its hemagglutinin (HA) protein spike that protrudes from its surface.

The alternative name for sialic acid, neuraminic acid, might remind you of the name of the other protein spike on the flu virus, neuraminidase.

The neuriminidase protein on the virus is an enzyme, and any enzyme with the suffix -ase indicates it splits things off, in this case neuraminic or sialic acid (it is also sometimes called a sialidase).

Q: You got to be kidding.

MA: No child, terminology is not always our friend.


122 posted on 09/21/2009 3:17:04 PM PDT by James Oscar
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To: James Oscar

MA: Have you got a good handle on the Influenza thing? Do you understand glycosylation, neuraminic acid and neuriminidase?

A: I believe I can hold my own.

MA: Well, if that is the case then let’s use that knowledge to some good. I would like to back up to a wider view and using your understand of the influenza virus explore a few hypothetical scenarios.

A: OK


123 posted on 09/22/2009 9:42:35 AM PDT by James Oscar
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To: James Oscar

MA: What is the most efficient and economical way of fighting viral disease?

A: Vaccination?

MA: Yes of course. Vaccines are the most efficient means for preventing human and animal disease.

Smallpox and measles are excellent examples of successful vaccines, however some enveloped viruses still are without vaccines – think HIV as the most prominent example.

MA: So here is my question for you. How can the measles virus vaccine still function after over 40 years, whereas the influenza virus vaccine needs to be replaced almost every year, and it has proven impossible to produce an HIV vaccine?


124 posted on 09/23/2009 10:59:45 AM PDT by James Oscar
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To: James Oscar

A: I don’t believe I can answer that.

MA: It is all about mutations child - all about mutations. The replicating enzymes of RNA viruses, such as measles, influenza, and HIV, make approximately one mistake per every 10,000 nucleotides.

But the answer to the differences in affectivity lie in the peculiar structure of the measles H glycoprotein, against which neutralizing antibodies are produced.

The influenza virus hemagglutinin glycoprotein, which binds to the viral receptor sialic acid, is richly covered with sugar chains. The receptor binding site at the top of the molecule is a shallow hollow.

Most of the amino acids around this hollow and others on the surface of HA can mutate without significantly affecting receptor binding. However, HA has a rather rigid structure, and many mutations are not allowed because they would destabilize the molecule or lead to a nonfunctional molecule.

MA: You see why that could not be allowed?

A: Sure, you get some mutations in non-essential areas, but none in the binding site or in a “mission critical” area.

MA: Yes. The accumulation of mutations, selected and directed by the immune pressure in the host population, is such that the vaccine strains have to be frequently replaced - in order to be effective. H1N1 is such a strain. The vaccine needs to be adjusted to be effective.

However, the HIV surface glycoprotein, against which neutralizing antibodies should be made, is GP120.

This molecule is much more flexible than influenza virus HA. GP120 has a number of highly variable surface loops that do not seem to have a specific three-dimensional structure.

These structural changes are very large and are possible because the molecule is plastic. The combination of the sugar chains on the surface of GP120 together with its plastic structure and the variable loops that have no sequence constraint results in a molecule that is too flexible and variable for the production of neutralizing antibodies.

While the surface of the measles glycoprotein is also covered by sugar chains, but a large surface area is free from sugar chains and hosts a rather extensive binding site.

Once again mutations in this region are not allowed because they interfere with receptor binding. Therefore, the extreme sequence restriction of this site allows for very efficient production of neutralizing antibodies that by definition block binding of the virus to its receptor.

For this reason, the original vaccine strain developed in the 1960s is still effective.


125 posted on 09/23/2009 12:06:53 PM PDT by James Oscar
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To: James Oscar

September 24th, 2009

Just an update on this bit of conversation (spring of 2009) with MA.


An experimental HIV vaccine has for the first time cut the risk of infection, researchers say.

The vaccine - a combination of two earlier experimental vaccines - was given to 16,000 people in Thailand, in the largest ever such vaccine trial.

Researchers found that it reduced by nearly a third the risk of contracting HIV, the virus that leads to Aids.

It has been hailed as a significant, scientific breakthrough, but a global vaccine is still some way off.

The study was carried out by the US army and the Thai government over seven years on volunteers - all HIV-negative men and women aged between 18 and 30 - in parts of Thailand.

Cannot play media.You do not have the correct version of the flash player. Download the correct version

Eric G. John, US Ambassador to Thailand: “(It has) brought us one step closer to an HIV vaccine”
The vaccine was a combination of two older vaccines that on their own had not cut infection rates.

Half of the volunteers were given the vaccine, while the other half were given a placebo - and all were given counselling on HIV/Aids prevention.

Participants were tested for HIV infection every six months for three years.

The results found that the chances of catching HIV were 31.2% less for those who had taken the vaccine - with 74 people who did not get the vaccine infected and 51 of the vaccinated group infected.

The vaccine is based on B and E strains of HIV that most commonly circulate in Thailand not the C strain which predominates in Africa.

‘Encouraging’

“This result is tantalisingly encouraging. The numbers are small and the difference may have been due to chance, but this finding is the first positive news in the Aids vaccine field for a decade,” said Dr Richard Horton, editor of the Lancet medical journal.


126 posted on 09/24/2009 8:38:33 AM PDT by James Oscar
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To: James Oscar

MA: What is the most efficient and economical way of fighting viral disease?

A: Vaccination?

MA: Yes of course. Vaccines are the most efficient means for preventing human and animal disease.

Smallpox and measles are excellent examples of successful vaccines, however some enveloped viruses still are without vaccines – think HIV as the most prominent example.

MA: So here is my question for you. How can the measles virus vaccine still function after over 40 years, whereas the influenza virus vaccine needs to be replaced almost every year, and it has proven impossible to produce an HIV vaccine?

MA: The answer to the differences in affectivity lie in the peculiar structure of the measles H glycoprotein, against which neutralizing antibodies are produced.

MA: So we have seen that some viral infections are fought rather succesfully using vaccines and some are not.

Do you know of any other problems with vaccines?

A: I remember the dust-up about there being mercury in some vaccines.

MA: Yes some vaccines do contain Thimerasol, a mercury-containing preservative. However, there is no hard evidence that this product causes autism - and that is what has been claimed. But I do believe that children under 5 or 6 are often given Thimerasol free vaccines if possible, but my information might be a bit dated.

It is another aspect of vaccines that I would like to make you aware of and especially with the coming flu season.

A: And what is that?

MA: It is a phenomena called antibody-dependent enhancement.

As we discussed this winter the majority of viral infections of animals and man are not fatal, but are followed by recovery and the development of a state of relative or absolute resistance against re-infection with the same virus.

Much of this resistance can be attributed to specific antiviral antibodies, although cellular immune mechanisms also contribute to the protection of the host.

However not all antiviral antibodies are necessarily virus neutralizing antibodies - in addition to these virus neutralizing antibodies or non-neutralizing antibodies a further group of antibodies exist: antibodies which enhance the infectivity of the virus.

This phenomenon is known as antibody-dependent-enhancement (ADE) of viral infectivity and has been observed with various macrophage-infecting viruses.

The common features of viruses exhibiting ADE are:

A. preferential replication in macrophages,
B. ability to establish persistence
C. and antigenic diversity


127 posted on 09/25/2009 1:55:36 PM PDT by James Oscar
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To: James Oscar

A: That’s odd. How does it work?

MA: ADE occurs when the host is more efficiently infected by a combination of virus plus antibody than by the virus alone.

Can you see that?

A: Yea, I guess. But it seems strange that an antibody would aid the virus in infection.

MA: Child, nothing in the world of Virology is strange. Let’s go back to our favorite subject the HIV virus for a moment.

A vaccine trial for HIV was stopped prematurely in September 2007 due to evidence that vaccinees may have been more susceptible to HIV infection than placebo control individuals.

MA: This is very important - do you understand what I just said?

A: Yes, they were trying to find a vaccine for AIDS and when the tried the experimental vaccine they had to stop the trials because the vaccinated subjects were acquiring AIDS faster than the control group.

MA: In humans the complement system is a key component of innate immunity and provides a first line of defense against invading pathogens that can bridge the innate and adaptive arms of the immune system.

It is not only a mechanism for direct protection against invading pathogens but also interacts with the adaptive immune system to optimize the pathogen-specific humoral and cellular defense cascade in the body, especially for viral pathogens.

Please read this article I saved for you.

Interaction of HIV with the complement system

HIV infection leads to the immediate activation of the complement system, even in the absence of HIV-specific antibodies. However, after seroconversion, the presence of HIV-specific antibodies triggers further activation of the classical complement pathway.

Antibodies that may enhance HIV infection in vitro were described shortly after HIV had first been isolated found that sera from HIV-infected individuals enhance in vitro HIV infection of the complement receptor type 2 (CR2; CD21)-bearing T lymphoblastoid cell line, MT2.

This enhancement was dependent on antibodies and mediated by complement and coined the term complement-mediated antibody-dependent enhancement (C-ADE).

The mechanism of C-ADE has been investigated by several studies during the past two decades.

Binding of antibody to gp41 initiates the complement cascade and leads to the deposition of the C3dg complement component on the virion. Opsonized viruses subsequently bind to CR2 distributed on mature B cells and follicular dendritic cells (FDC).

Ultimately, the engagement of CR2 and CD4 receptors by opsonized virions leads to an increased rate of HIV spread through the tissue culture with a ten-fold increase in viral reverse transcriptase released into the culture medium and an increase in HIV genomic RNA. In addition, evidence from in vitro and in vivo studies indicated that C-ADE occurs early in infection during the acute, high viremia phase.


128 posted on 09/25/2009 1:56:33 PM PDT by James Oscar
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To: James Oscar

A: That not only seems Greek to me but a bit out of the way, as related to our discussion of the novel H1N1 virus.

MA: But it is central to our conversation. You are going to witness the advent this fall of a new strain of flu, you are going to have mass infections, you are going to have mass inoculations with a hastily developed vaccine, you are going to witness the dispensing of millions and millions of doses of Tamiflu. It is this confluence of events that bothers me.

MA: It is altogether proper that we look at the pitfalls that might appear in the very near future.

A: OK, it’s just that I don’t really get the problem yet. I understand that there is an inherent danger in giving new vaccines to large numbers of people. As you point out - sometimes these things can backfire. But do you really anticipate a problem with the flu vaccine - whatever that may be?

MA: No I don’t, but as we started this conversation last summer - it is often the results that you do not plan for that are the most damaging.

A: I don’t understand?

MA: I did not expect you to - yet.


129 posted on 09/25/2009 1:57:10 PM PDT by James Oscar
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