Maybe. Maybe not. He's still enjoying over a 60% approval rating by every pollster I've seen. Sure, his negatives are increasing, but that's reflective the people who didn't like him in the first place feeling even more strongly about it now.
I'll feel much more confident about the GOP's chances when Obama's approval rating drop to 50% or less.
By comparison, Clinton's approval ratings reached their lowest levels (less than 40%) before the '94 midterms, leading to a bloodbath in the House. If Obama continues to enjoy above 55% approval rating, the GOP's outlook for 2010 won't be good.
“58% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President’s performance so far. Forty-one percent (41%) now disapprove.”
The congress on the otherhand has an approval rating of 28%. The GOP will pick up seats come 2010. We still haven’t had the fight over health care which is coming. We still haven’t had the fight over right to work. We still haven’t had the fight over cap n trade.
That 41% just isn’t Republican voters. The undercurrents are bad for Obama and the GOP can capitalize and can win big if they stop whining and get back to their roots.
I think his 60% is due to people afraid to indicate a lack of support for a black. As to the negatives, those people have polled consistently and the new voters are the more indicative of former supporters turning!