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To: epluribus_2

Yes. The 2004 election was as follows ...

Bush — 286 Electoral Votes
Kerry — 251 Electoral Votes

Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada and Virginia have a combined 37 Electoral votes. Pennsylvania has 21 Electoral Votes.

If Obama wins all four of those, but loses PA (all other states remaining the same as 2004) — the election looks like this ...

McCain — 272
Obama — 267

Word is, McCain may win New Hampshire (4). And, there’s a solid chance of him holding Colorado (9) or Virginia (13).

Basically, the whole elections rides on PA. If Mac can take PA, the whole map changes, and Obama MUST win (1) ALL of Colorado, Virginia, New Mexico and Nevada AND (2) either Ohio or Florida.

H


17 posted on 10/28/2008 11:01:36 AM PDT by SnakeDoctor (Keep Austin Quarantined ...)
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To: Hemorrhage
I live and work in Lower Bucks.All the McCain Palin signs were stolen on the main street, we still have ours.There were only 2 Obama signs and all the rest were for McCain.I talked to someone in south west Philly and all the signs are Obama.Where I work everyone is voting McCain except the blacks and even some of them are voting McCain.All the Hillary voters are voting McCain except 4 woman and 1 man.That's from about 50 people that I have asked.Also 1 Obama voter is changing her mind because her son told her Obama was scary.
20 posted on 10/28/2008 11:13:47 AM PDT by fatima (Let's Go Phillies.)
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To: Hemorrhage

Actually — that last statement of inaccurate. If McCain wins PA, Obama cannot win without Ohio or Florida. He wouldn’t be able to manufacture a win with just Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and Virginia.

This is where I was inaccurate ... if Obama wins Ohio or Florida, and loses PA, he doesn’t necessarily have to win all four of Co, NV, NM and VA.

H


21 posted on 10/28/2008 11:14:03 AM PDT by SnakeDoctor (Keep Austin Quarantined ...)
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