Yes. The 2004 election was as follows ...
Bush — 286 Electoral Votes
Kerry — 251 Electoral Votes
Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada and Virginia have a combined 37 Electoral votes. Pennsylvania has 21 Electoral Votes.
If Obama wins all four of those, but loses PA (all other states remaining the same as 2004) — the election looks like this ...
McCain — 272
Obama — 267
Word is, McCain may win New Hampshire (4). And, there’s a solid chance of him holding Colorado (9) or Virginia (13).
Basically, the whole elections rides on PA. If Mac can take PA, the whole map changes, and Obama MUST win (1) ALL of Colorado, Virginia, New Mexico and Nevada AND (2) either Ohio or Florida.
H
Actually — that last statement of inaccurate. If McCain wins PA, Obama cannot win without Ohio or Florida. He wouldn’t be able to manufacture a win with just Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and Virginia.
This is where I was inaccurate ... if Obama wins Ohio or Florida, and loses PA, he doesn’t necessarily have to win all four of Co, NV, NM and VA.
H