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Only seven battleground states(not including PA). When properly weighed, show slight McCain lead.

Posted on 10/22/2008 7:07:45 AM PDT by WestFlorida

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To: ravensandricks

Vote early and vote often is what is happening. There are 2 hour long lines in FL. I’m guessing there is some fraud happening.


21 posted on 10/22/2008 7:35:00 AM PDT by MassachusettsConservative
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To: St. Louis Conservative

When you re-weight the polls for realistic turnout, his lead is low single digits.


22 posted on 10/22/2008 7:36:17 AM PDT by Thane_Banquo (I'm not against 0bama because he's black. I'm against 0bama because he's red.)
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To: Thane_Banquo
Free Republic is thick with concern trolls lately.
23 posted on 10/22/2008 7:38:18 AM PDT by Petronski (Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
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To: kara37

I thought they all lived in Miami-Dade?


24 posted on 10/22/2008 7:41:00 AM PDT by Thane_Banquo (I'm not against 0bama because he's black. I'm against 0bama because he's red.)
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To: Thane_Banquo

Thanx be to God for that!! I don’t think FL is a problem. I keep going back and forth about Ohio though. One day, oh yeah, we got it in the bag. The next day, oh for crying out loud, we hear about all these so called voters just meandering into the state to vote. Maybe I should just pack my bags and go vote there too. My cousins boyfriend lives there, I could use his address. Just kidding, I have no intention to do that.

I just can’t believe we live in America anymore. Democrats are evil and have to cheat to win.


25 posted on 10/22/2008 7:44:49 AM PDT by SaintDismas (Starting to regret the handle I chose for this forum)
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To: kara37

From Wikipedia’s entry on Palm Beach County:

“The racial makeup of the county was 79.05% White (70.6% were Non-Hispanic White,)[4] 13.80% Black or African American...”

13.8% black is below FL state percentage for 2000 census, and certainly not representative of most heavily Dem counties.


26 posted on 10/22/2008 7:45:39 AM PDT by Thane_Banquo (I'm not against 0bama because he's black. I'm against 0bama because he's red.)
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To: zwerni
what are you joe biden? should we gird our loins?

I have a higher IQ than you. ;-)

27 posted on 10/22/2008 7:46:41 AM PDT by Thane_Banquo (I'm not against 0bama because he's black. I'm against 0bama because he's red.)
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To: toddausauras

If it goes red there will be riots. I’m going to stock up and, after voting, stay home on the 7th and 8th of November.


28 posted on 10/22/2008 7:51:29 AM PDT by AD from SpringBay (We deserve the government we allow.)
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To: AD from SpringBay

Obama doesn’t even need PA, OH, or FL to win.

All he needs is VA, CO, NV and NM.

Check it out:

http://www.270towin.com/


29 posted on 10/22/2008 7:58:58 AM PDT by Wisco Con
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To: zwerni

I think I have been showing ID since 1976. Broward has a Republican sheriff and hopefully one of the biggest Lib counties will have less fraud.

Broward and Palm Beach have a large Jewish population that are usually Dem but have been slightly less Dem since 9/11. Kerry got about 77% of the Jewish vote statewide. Pollsters are guessing Obama will get 57%.

I am wondering if some of these people in teh Dem machine in FL will be sticking their neck out for Obama. I would think some of these Dem machine pols want Obama to lose so someone more sane controls their party like Hillary.

I am think Repubs some Hillary voters will be crawling across glass to vote McCain. Obama will get large numbers of black votes & hard libs. Many white Dems and Jewish Dems will be less excited about Obama.

A friend of a relative is a Jewish woman. She must have read the NYT smear about Palin’s conservative church (aka NYT trying to say Sarah is an anti-semite) or something. Sarah is supporter of Israel as well.

She was on the fence but kept saying I can’t vote for Obama. I told the relative to tell her how could Sarah be an anti-semite when her maternal grandmother is Jewish. She became very excited about Sarah and did a 180. I hope more Jews know they have a choice between Farrakhan or Sarah. Most people in Israel are horrified at the prospect of Obama-Nation.


30 posted on 10/22/2008 7:59:11 AM PDT by Frantzie
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To: AD from SpringBay

What a ridiculous situation. The left believe the last 2 elections were stolen. You’re right, they’ll go nuts if they lose this election.


31 posted on 10/22/2008 8:06:32 AM PDT by toddausauras
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To: MassachusettsConservative

We had this in 2004 with Kerry. They had Move On.com thugs here in FL. They were practically harassing people in early voting lines if they were Repub. Most Repubs vote on election day, due absentee or wait a week for the lines to die down. My guess is ACORN will be more agressive.

Bush won by +5 in 2004.

RINO Charlie Crist won by +7 in 2006.

The joke is Repubs control the state house & senate, attny general and all the state offices you vote on. The jer-o*fs should be tougher on ACORN. I do not like Crist.

FL is slowly changing due to illegal aliens but it is still pretty Red or Repub.


32 posted on 10/22/2008 8:13:09 AM PDT by Frantzie
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To: Wisco Con

Actually he only needs one of those. But McCain has a chance to run the table as Gore almost did in 2000.


33 posted on 10/22/2008 9:23:43 AM PDT by WestFlorida
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To: Thane_Banquo

According to the US Census Bureau, Palm Beach county beats the state average.

http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/12/12099.html

Florida - 15.8%
Palm Beach county - 16.4%

We are a big county of 1,274,013 people, so 16.4% means 208,938 black people live in this county.
That is a pretty big number.


34 posted on 10/22/2008 9:38:34 AM PDT by kara37
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To: txrangerette

You understand correctly. I beleive McCain will do better among a lot of the conservative Dems(and there are a lot of them especially in VA, FL, NC, and MO), which will offset 0bama’s gains among new registrations and increased black turnout. I also believe McCain will get at least 93-94% of the Republican vote, and should break double digits among the Dems, maybe close to 20% in NC.


35 posted on 10/22/2008 9:40:47 AM PDT by WestFlorida
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To: St. Louis Conservative

That double-digit lead in PA is BS. As I pointed out on another thread, the PA county map for the 2004 Presidential election showed Bush winning every county in PA except for counties in the 4 corners; Philth-adelphia area, Pittsburgh area, Erie area, and Wilkes-Barre/Scranton area.

The difference this time is the WB/Scranton area could very well go for McCain this time, since it’s Hillary Country, and there are many dis-enchanted Dems. Biden had a rally in Wilkes-Barre last month (not far from his “hometown” of Scranton), and only drew about 200, including the press. He also appeared in Scranton earlier this month on a Sunday(along with Bill, Hillary, and Bob Casey, another “home town boy”) and drew 3000. Palin appeared in the same venue days later, and drew close to 6000, ON A WEEKDAY. PA is very much in play.


36 posted on 10/22/2008 11:41:03 AM PDT by Born Conservative (Visit my blog: Chronic Positivity - http://chronicpositivity.com)
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To: WestFlorida

BTTT


37 posted on 10/22/2008 9:27:06 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Wisco Con

He’s not going to get NV, CO or VA.
Obama will get NM, and Iowa. The rest will stay like they usually do....red. :)


38 posted on 10/23/2008 2:48:33 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: WestFlorida

If Obama loses PA he certianly will need all of those listed.
However, if PA is gone, you know CO, and OH are too.


39 posted on 10/23/2008 2:49:56 PM PDT by snarkytart
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