There is an exceptional amount of abuse going on in polling this year.
I am surprised to see even Rasmussen getting into the game with his 5-6% preference for Democrats.
I infer that the best justifications for this are the high dem turnouts in the primaries leading pollsters to say they are reflecting voter participation rates for the spring. I think there are several important rebuttals to his view that should be considered by pollsters and conservatives who are too ready to wet their pants on this one:
1. Operation chaos transferred voters from the Republican and indpendent base into the democratic base. The purpose was to confuse the democrats and insure their eventual defeat in the general election. Pollsters are not clueless about this and ought to be willing to forego the conclusion that these people really have changed sides.
2. Even if Obama has increased registrations— which is not clear especially with the bizarre acorn activities— Democrats more than ever have an incentive to bolt from Obama. Gallup’s most recent Oct 5 breakdowns even suggest that more dems are breaking for McCain than vice versa. Obamabots have violated the civil rights of Hillary Clinton supporters in multiple states. The conduct was egregious, outrageous and most importantly unforgettable. It is easy to envision where 20-35% of the democratic base will either refuse to vote or vote for McCain.
3. There is zero empirical evidence to support the new innovative models for participation being used by Gallup, Rasmussen and others. Gallup projects near 70% voter turnout in the current election. That is absurd. Crossing 50% turnout is a big deal. To believe that we will have 70% turnout is to be actively involved in the false hype of the Obama campaign. This gives license to voter fraud and lays the ground work for uncivil actions after the election results.
I really hope that conservatives are not falling for this pscyhological warfare being conducted by the media and other epistemological entities. This is raw deception and should be both ignored and resisted.
It is funny Operation Chaos is conducted right out in the open yet Liberals and the MSM can’t see it. You know the old saying “You can’t fool all of the people all of the time, unless they are liberals.”