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Good understandable-to-the-layman analysis of the historicals of state-level polling. Most of the polling in 2004 leaned against Bush, just as it is again this year. Maybe this will calm down some of the hyperventilators on FR a bit?
1 posted on 10/14/2008 11:19:53 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

Battleground Poll: O 53 (+2) M 40 (-3)
Tuesday, October 14, 2008 8:30:48 AM · 119 of 170
Califreak to Longstreet63
I’m not believing the bogus polls.

My assumption is they only pick registered dems & MSM types.

My guess is McCain is really a little bit ahead or it’s too close to call.

It has to be that.

Why else would the dark side be frantically registering all these bogus voters?

They’re afraid they’ll lose and they’re trying to steal it.

Polls schmolls.


2 posted on 10/14/2008 11:23:36 AM PDT by Califreak (As seen on TV: S.A.R.A.H!-Sane Americans Are Against Hussein-Obama!)
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
Maybe this will calm down some of the hyperventilators on FR a bit?

Not likely...chicken littles, defeatists and outright trolls will never stop hyperventilating even if put on pure oxygen. The reality we have to face is that this election is 1980 all over again, i.e. no one will know the outcome until the only poll that matters is taken, on Nov 4.

3 posted on 10/14/2008 11:24:19 AM PDT by scottinoc
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

Well...one thing is noteworthy here, also. Assuming that the state polls are underestimating McCain’s support, doesn’t 2004 demonstrate that just b/c the polls are bad, Republicans won’t simply stay home? If they weren’t discouraged then, why should we worry about them being discouraged now?

Perhaps something to help the mood here. I know I have been needing many an upper.

I’ll add this. In the event that McCain pulls this off, the polling as propaganda story will be one of the most political stories in a generation. Yes, in the past polls have been hit or miss. This year seems like a systematic effort to influence the election, which is truly fascistic/Orwellian.


4 posted on 10/14/2008 11:24:54 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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