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McCain Suspension Works on Many levels
nixguy.com ^ | 9/24/2008 | nixguy

Posted on 09/24/2008 8:12:29 PM PDT by delapaz

That’s my call for now. And at one point I thought this was going to be a boring election year.

What a day, let me summarize the reactions.

Lefties: It’s a cynical stunt

Righties: It’s a cynical stunt… that happens to be in the best interest of the country as a whole.

Independents/undecided: ??? - we have no idea how this will play out.

I think the move was smart because it works on so many levels.

level 1: Politically, McCain makes a move that can easily be seen as putting country first over politics. Even acknowledging that it’s cynical, it still reinforces the very main message of his campaign: Bipartisan reform over partisan politics. And whatever else this is, (quite a lot else, actually) it is the best thing for the country for all the smart guys to get in a room and to get something done together to neutralize the politics. By continuing to campaign, Obama is signalling that he is quite happy to continue injecting politics into the discussion (which he is of course)

Level 2: He looks like he’s serious about actually solving the problem, serious enough to put his reputation and campaign on the line for it. This is his reputation anyway, and he reinforces it Yesterday the talking point was that McCain was “flailing” looking for an answer. Now that he has an answer, they are whining that he’s “crazy”, “panicked”, “desperate”. Can’t have it both ways guys.

Level 3: He reset the media narrative. It wasn’t working for him anyway, Politically it’s the equivalent of turning the game of risk over and scattering all the pieces.

Level 4: On the debates, at the very least, and I talked about this before, he looks like he’ll come out of this better. At the very least, I think he will go on with the debate, but the format will be the economy, not foreign policy.

Level 5: Obama’s reaction, he had one of two. Bite or not bite. If Obama bites, he looks like a follower and a “me-too!” guy. if he doesn’t bite he looks callous and the type of guy who puts his own election over the needs of the party. His reaction at his press conference, “Pelosi and Reid can call me if they need me.

Well George Bush called, Obama is needed, and off he goes.

Which means (Level 6) they’re both going to be equally ill-prepared for the debate if it does happen.

Level 7: Which also means that the VP debate may get pushed, and I watched the Palin-Knowles debate, she does fine, and I think the McCain campaign is sandbagging and saving her. Having that debate closer to the election will help McCain.

Level 8: Whatever plan comes out of this, it will either have Obama’s fingerprints on it, and he will be neutralized, or it won’t and it will look like McCain is a doer while Obama is a talker. I can live with that. But Obama will sign on and that will be that.

Predictions, There’s a 25% chance that McCain will fall flat on his face and will lose incredible ground with this move. There’s also a 25% chance that this move will go down as brilliant and recasts McCain in the eyes of the country in an incredibly good way, (especially now that Obama is balking). But there’s a 50% chance that both sides will muddle through with no real clear advantage but a lot of spin. and even in that case, McCain is controlling the narrative. I think he can live with that.


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: bailout; mccain; mccainpalin; obama; suspension
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1 posted on 09/24/2008 8:12:30 PM PDT by delapaz
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To: delapaz

AMEN!


2 posted on 09/24/2008 8:16:54 PM PDT by ABQHispConservative
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To: delapaz

He is a Senator who TRIED to head off this mess 3 years ago, but now maybe they will listen BUMP!

Tatt


3 posted on 09/24/2008 8:19:43 PM PDT by thesearethetimes... ("Courage, is fear that has said its prayers." Dorothy Bernard)
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To: ABQHispConservative

I’m surprised that a couple of “conservative” talk show hosts here in the Los Angeles area have been bashing McCain, calling his move purely political and giving Obama a pass.


4 posted on 09/24/2008 8:21:01 PM PDT by LoneRanger
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To: delapaz

The deal will go through. Bambi will not do well Friday night.


5 posted on 09/24/2008 8:22:27 PM PDT by Porterville (Im no economist- getting a PHD in economics wasn't economical... it didn' make cents.)
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To: LoneRanger
the one who really P*sses me off is Glenn Beck....he is two headed about everything anymore.....he can't stand Hussein apparently or fears him yet he just can't come out and support McCain without all these if, ands,and buts....

idiot....

he'll rave on about the Islamists and the energy crisis and about Hussein taking money from the Fred/Fannie monsters yet he just can't come out and fully support McCain....

sick of him....

6 posted on 09/24/2008 8:24:18 PM PDT by cherry
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To: delapaz

so far it’s been predicted as 273-265 for Obama.

If McCain keeps the “status quo” (Bush 2000 states) on election night, He’ll have to pick off either CO, PA, MI, WI, or MN.

If he only picks off NH, we’ll have a 269-269 tie!!!


7 posted on 09/24/2008 8:24:59 PM PDT by ak267
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To: delapaz
By suspending his campaign, McCain also gets to suspend a pretty high percentage of his campaign expenditures and compress those expenses into a tighter time frame closer to the election. Meanwhile, he's going to be Mr. Talking Head solving the problems of the people with the press almost having to report on what he is doing.

IMHO!

Regards,

TS

8 posted on 09/24/2008 8:26:59 PM PDT by The Shrew (www.ToSetTheRecordStraight.com/www.swiftvets.com/www.wintersoldier.com-The Truth Shall Set YOU Free!)
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To: Porterville
The deal will go through. Bambi will not do well Friday night.

Agreed. Part of McCain's calculation must be that this will get done and the debate will go on. The argument to delay is simply interference to draw flak.

Since Obama has been prepping for a few days, this will distract him enough to throw him off, which is part of the calculation.

McCain has managed this campaign brilliantly, and I have no reason to think he will do any differently in the future.

9 posted on 09/24/2008 8:27:45 PM PDT by TexasNative2000 (Obviously, liberals can't handle a strong, independent woman.)
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To: cherry

I was sort getting used to the idea of voting for McCain. Yesterday, he mentioned I was getting Andrew Cuomo too. Now that is something that got me really excited. Just think a nutcase liberal in the SEC. I can hardly wait.


10 posted on 09/24/2008 8:28:18 PM PDT by Goreknowshowtocheat
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To: ak267

PA is McCain’s to lose at this point.
And if this is the case, then McCain wins. Period.
0bama could carry New Hampshire, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, and New Mexico and McCain would still win 271 to 267.


11 posted on 09/24/2008 8:32:50 PM PDT by counterpunch (Jim Jones was a Community Organizer)
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To: LoneRanger

If you consider John and Ken conservative, then they were on that band wagon as well. Those guys are entertaining, but serious observers they aren’t. I consider them rabble rousers, at best. Love it when they deal with illegals, that’s when it gets fun.


12 posted on 09/24/2008 8:33:57 PM PDT by TruthConquers (Delendae sunt publici scholae)
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To: Goreknowshowtocheat

Karl Rove mentioned how 0bama hasn’t really moved up from this crisis, but McCain has dropped 6 points.
I think it was the Andrew Cuomo comment more than anything that caused it.
McCain taking a lead and charging back to Washington will help him climb back up.


13 posted on 09/24/2008 8:35:00 PM PDT by counterpunch (Jim Jones was a Community Organizer)
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To: TexasNative2000

And, as Dick Morris said it well on O’Reillys show tonight - McCain will go to the debate having “saved the country”. He’s the only one who can deliver the Republicans and the Bush Adminstration, all he’s got to do it get them in a room and say “OK listen guys...”


14 posted on 09/24/2008 8:35:18 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: thesearethetimes...
He is a Senator who TRIED to head off this mess 3 years ago

That's his ace in the hole.

15 posted on 09/24/2008 8:35:25 PM PDT by itsthejourney (Sarah-cuda IS the right reason)
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To: delapaz

Obama can debate himself.

He has flip flopped on NAFTA, FISA, immediate withdrawal of troops, drilling, nuclear power plants, capital gains and small business tax if there is a recession, Georgia, pro-Palestinian one day then pro-Isreal the next.


16 posted on 09/24/2008 8:37:55 PM PDT by igoramus08
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To: itsthejourney

Yes. That and that the only thing the Junior Senator from Illinois has done, is to line his pockets with money from these failed banks ; }

Tatt


17 posted on 09/24/2008 8:44:03 PM PDT by thesearethetimes... ("Courage, is fear that has said its prayers." Dorothy Bernard)
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To: TruthConquers
Those guys are entertaining, but serious observers they aren’t.
I consider them rabble rousers, at best.


Just my fallible opinion...from listening to John & Ken for a few
years when I was in LA (1995-2005).

My rough guestimate is that they sometimes are simple rabble-rousers.
Conversely, on other days they are smart guys attacking
some REALLY STUPID and at least MORALLY, if not illegal,
things going on that hadn't yet had the sterilizing effect
of public exposure.

IIRC, their loud protestations closed down the work of a Los Angeles
legal firm's pernicious use of a California environmental statute
to basically extort a lot of small business (dry-cleaning places
over their use of chemicals that the enviro-wingnuts wanted to
demonize.)

Other times...John & Ken were, to my own ears...almost unlistenable
as they just seemed like loud-mouthed jerks.

They truly SUCKED when they did a short stint at KABC 790AM
in morning drive.
KFI did a public service by luring them back for afternoon drive.
(OK, IMHO!)
18 posted on 09/24/2008 8:44:22 PM PDT by VOA
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To: delapaz
there’s a 50% chance that both sides will muddle through with no real clear advantage but a lot of spin.

There you go.

19 posted on 09/24/2008 8:48:23 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: The Shrew
By suspending his campaign, McCain also gets to suspend a pretty high percentage of his campaign expenditures and compress those expenses into a tighter time frame closer to the election.

One of my first thoughts, too.

20 posted on 09/24/2008 8:49:28 PM PDT by Desdemona (Lipstick only until the election. The gloss has been sacrificed for the greater good.)
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