[comebacknewt]

Quinnipiac's results were very suspicious. They showed Obama doing a couple of points better in Ohio than in Pennsylvania. Not credible.

Ohio will be close again, but most all signs seem to be pointing in our direction as of today.

[ubaldus]

Q’piac is a decent enough polster, but this time they came up with a lemon. No way Obama can run 5 pts better in OH compared to his national numbers.
Either something was wrong in their sample weights, or it’s a true outlier.

I think McCain runs +1/+2 in OH relative to his national vote share. In other words, if he ties in popular vote, he carries OH. Then CO is the tiebreaker.