[Kevmo]

If they were at 50/50 earlier, then things have gone back a little. This is a relatively high volume set of contracts, so the fact that 52 + 46 x= 100 shows some level of current indecision in the market for now. But it’s all good... this means there’s still a chance to take some of their money and support McCain/Palin at the same time. Win-win for us.

Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
2008.PRES.OBAMA
Barack Obama to win 2008 US Presidential Election M Trade 52.1 52.5 52.5 334520 -4.1
2008.PRES.McCAIN
John McCain to win 2008 US Presidential Election M Trade 46.1 47.5 46.1 465960 +2.6

[Henchster]

I took a different approach a few days ago. I sold Obama short. That way, if the Clintons some how elbow him out, I win instantly. I also sold the "Palin Withdrawn" contract short, (I'd double my money if I closed out today) and went long on "Biden Withdrawn." (which is down a bit, so I'm behind on that position.) There is no way Palin is going to be removed, and Rudy was right, Biden should have "got it in writing."

There are some good opportunities on Intrade for savvy FReepers.