For all the talk about national polls and Obama’s momentum etc, it still comes down to a handful of states.
It is hard not to look at Ohio and PA as being advantage McCain, while it is very hard to see Obama winning Florida or Missouri.
The only major Bush 04 state I could possibly see flipping besides Ohio is maybe Virginia, if Obama has a massive turnout or something. I just have a hard time seeing Ohio and PA voting for Obama over McCain. If it were Huckabee or Romney maybe, but McCain plays well in Ohio, PA, FL and MO. While at the same time, the south and west aren’t going to magically flip to Obama.
The Dems should have gotten the first hint when Obama won many of the Dem states he can’t possibly carry in the Fall, and lost a lot of states he MUST carry.
Michelle Obama alienated a lot of people with her comments in Zanesville just before the Ohio primary, where she told the audience she could identify with the struggle of raising a family. After all, her daughters’ piano lessons, etc. cost $10,000 a year (that figure may not be in the link posted below but rather from other sources).
http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/opinion/columnists/reiland/s_556214.html
When they called her an elitist she whined about that, too!