no way. Thompson can win the general, but the idea that he is going to turn the map into some Reagan landslide is not true. In fairness, Rudy can’t either. But Thompson’s electoral strategy is as narrow as the Bush stategy was in 2000 and 2004. Thompson isn’t winning NJ, would need a miracle to win PA.
Thompson would have to work to flip Wisconsin, hold Iowa, and hold Colorado and Nevada if Richardson is the VP. That’s his game plan.
You should not count on Ohio as a solid Republican state in 2008. The atmosphere there is toxic, toxic, toxic right now. It’s one of very few states where Bush’s margin actually narrowed between 2000 and 2004 even while he upped it nationwide by 3%.
Write this down, so you can laugh at me in 2008. If Thompson is our nominee, we will win Maine.