After October Surprises in 2000 (election weekend release of W's drunk driving charge which DID cost him a few points, including winning the popular vote) and 2004 (Dan Ratherbiased's fraudulent National Guard memos created in a computer and faxed from a Kinko's in Texas courtesy of contacts in the DNC), the 2006 October Surprise (electronic communications between Rep. Foley and some young adult males, held by Democrat dirty tricks teams until late in the election cycle) didn't come as a "surprise".
Just a matter of waiting for the other shoe to drop to show the Democrats as the party of despots and totalitarians. "Vote our way or we will bury you!"
I think the Democrats meant to hold onto this Mark Foley October surprise until just about a week before the November election. They were forced to do their October surprise about a month early because the Stop Sex Predators blog got anxious and jumped the gun. However, I fully expect MORE October surprises by the desperate Democrats.