The Yushchenko-Saakashvili meeting will result in the opposition's victory in the elections

Regnum ^ | 23.02.2006

[jb6]

Iosif Diskin: “The Yushchenko-Saakashvili meeting will result in the opposition's victory in the elections into Ukraine’s Supreme Rada”

The co-chairman of the National Strategy Council Iosif Diskin comments to REGNUM Feb 22 on the situation over the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry’s statement that it is ready to keep peace in the Georgian-Ossetian conflict zone and over the forthcoming relevant meeting of Yushchenko and Saakashvili:

“Thereby Saakashvili is trying to keep tensions high over the Georgian-Ossetian conflict — for his rating is very low and constant national mobilization against some foreign threat is the only way for him to keep his elite loyal and his people back from demonstrating against his regime. And so, it is truly vital for him to maintain confrontation in South Ossetia. But he doesn’t want to be alone in this confrontation. He thought he would be able to do something to get Russia to ask the US for help in the Georgian-Ossetian peace process and to get a free hand for his mad things in South Ossetia.

But neither Russia has asked the US for a hand in the process, not the US itself is willing to have a hand in it. And now the only state Saakashvili can ask for help is Ukraine, a country bound up with Georgia by Borzhomi Declaration. In this situation, Yushchenko will use the possible dispatch of Ukrainian peacekeepers to South Ossetia as an object for haggle with Russia. He has exhausted all his levers of economic pressure on Russia and the peacekeeping is his last chance. Of course, there will be no Russia-by-Ukraine replacement and for Saakashvili this is a way to nowhere, in any case.

This meeting and the statements that will be made in its course will, certainly, stir up a wave inside Ukraine. The opposition and the ordinary people will have plenty of questions, and their conclusion will be: because of Yushchenko’s flirt with NATO, we now will have to shoot at our Russian brothers.

This meeting will, in my opinion, result in the victory of the opposition in the elections into the Supreme Rada. Yanukovich will get the lacking 2%, and this will be more than BYT and Our Ukraine will have together. Vitrenko will get the 1% she lacks. I guess the Ne Tak! bloc will also play this card.

Yushchenko certainly knows that but he has got no other way-out from this situation — for the people who backed the ‘orange’ revolution and the ‘revolution of roses’ demand that he be true to ‘the ideals of Maidan’ and support Saakashvili. You know, for those engineering ‘flower’ revolutions and for Saakashvili with Yushchenko Georgia with Ukraine with all their people are just a small change in their internal games.”

[A. Pole]

Yushchenko will use the possible dispatch of Ukrainian peacekeepers to South Ossetia as an object for haggle with Russia. He has exhausted all his levers of economic pressure on Russia and the peacekeeping is his last chance.

Peacekeeping bump

[romanesq]

The hangover from decades of communism is not over. But you've nailed a huge amount of the reality here and it's greatly appreciated.

It's quite obvious that the wounded bear and its supporters are still suffering from a blow to Russian hegemony.

Imperialism and its adherent die hard. The suffering here is almost palpable.

Normalizing Ukraine is not an easy task and its politics (and politicians) are no exception.

(Of course in a Nazi business controlled model like Russia and their big five business rapists, all the business lines below are free to contribute to Putin and his band of merry former communists KGB men on top.)

Of course Russia will continue to support Iran. And war will be the outcome Iran delivers to the world. Thanks Pukey.

[Lukasz]

We should withdrawn our peacemakers from Balkans or Golan Heights and send them to Georgia, Moldova and Azerbaijan. We need to control our road to oil and there is no place for Russian troops there.