Oh, come on. You know better than to invoke 'installing a Dem'.
Young has no chance of winning in the 48th, and you know it.
I'll give you credit for consistency in your theorizing about JG's motives, but it just doesn't hold any water.
In the primary, Gilchrist singlehandedly made the Dems the third party.
Historic.
No reason to believe it is going to be any different on Tuesday.
I'm telling you conservatives are playing with fire by splitting the vote in this district.
This district isn't provo utah. It is conservative but not to the point where you can split the vote between two candidates.
People are giving Young no chance because of the primary results. Just remember that Paul Hackett in his primary got very few votes and nearly won the district. Dems didn't show up for the primary in ca-48 knowing that young was the only dem and figuring that campbell wouldn't get 50 percent.
Also remember Gilchrest ran much stronger in voting that day. He got 25 percent and campbell got 36 percent. That gap can narrow to where both get around 30 percent leaving Young the victor.
Rino Brewer's voters will all go to Young. She got 17 percent add that to Young's 9 percent throw in some dem money, dems showing up for the real election instead of the primary, and throw in the extra votes he will get because it wasn't a jewish holiday and he could win.
Young can easily get 40 percent. Gilchrest's ceiling is under 40 percent. Only way the socialist dem doesn't win is if Gilchrest stays around 20 percent and I don't see that happening since he got around 25 percent in on day voting during the primary.
Campbell is relying on heavy absentee turnout. The dems are going to show up for this election. They didn't show up for the primary but will show up for this one. Cunnigham doesn't help either.
This is a recipe for disaster the democrats of the 48th district could very well be thanking Jim Gilchrist for giving them Congressman Steve Socialist Young.
This doesn't make any sense you would think Bush would have won this district with 75 percent to be confident the vote split won't affect the vote. Bush got 58 percent in this district when the gop in california was much stronger. The gop ballot inititive and arnold's recent actions are pointing to Gilchrest giving the election to Steven Young.
Watch Gilchrest say after he hands the election to Young to say it was better than Campbell winning. Gilchrest supported Peter Camajo in the governor's election remember. I wouldn't be surprised if he likes Young for his proposal to raise taxes on the rich.