If prices move slowly - say $55-$60 this year to $60-$65 next year or the year after - much of what you say is true. But if they move to $75 or $80 within 6 months you'll wish you'd never said anything.
This morning light crude is heading for $61.
Oil at 60.55 up a dollar
Gasoline at 1.78 up 8 cents.
At the gas pump? Headed for $3.00? Some places would like to see the pump price rolled back to $3.00.