NH has a negligible impact on the electoral vote in any event, and will not prevent her from becoming President if she wins Fla. However, I still think she takes NH. Kerry pulled it off, in large part due to the fact that So. NH has become a bedroom community for Boston. I stand by my original point that any state that votes for Kerry would certainly vote for Hillary. Hillary may be polarizing, but so was Kerry. Hillary may be liberal, but so was Kerry.
She may be polarizing, but voters have short memories. In the last 4 years in the Senate, she's kept her mouth shut and stayed out of trouble.
The primary difference between her and Kerry is that she's a woman. That might be a disadvantage, but it might also turn out to be an advantage.
I live in southern NH and have lived in southern NH for the majority of my life. The reason why Kerry won here is that he (really his supporters bussed in from MA) simply campaigned harder then President Bush. The majority of Mass(holes) that voted for him did so far more because he was from their home state then any hard adherence to the left.