I think 2004 had some instances that skewed the race.
Bush's 51%, I don't think was his ceiling, I think it was his floor.
Hillary, has more against her, then Kerry did.
Keep in mind, her husband, who is more popular then her, never ever got 50% of the vote.
She is also a fund raising machine for the GOP, and motivates conservatives more then she motivates liberals.
Several of the states I mentioned, had improvements for Bush, and one of them, may have been lost due to fraud.
To be honest with you, I think the best chance the GOP has of getting keeping the white house in 2008, is to hope Hillary gets the nomination for the dems, I for one, am rooting for her to win a bloody primary over the dems, before getting blown out in a general election.
You may be right. However, if you're not, then heaven help us.