Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

To: hipaatwo
In all likelihood the surveys of voters as they left the polling places are accurate and considerably more people went to the polls that day to vote for John Kerry both in Ohio and nationwide

Three amazing problems with this statement... 1) the demographics on the exit polls do not match the actual demographics of the people who showed up to vote -- when weighted to the actual proportions (after the fact), the exits polls actually wound up being reasonable correct. 2) Even with 100% correct methodology, 1 poll in 20 will be a "clunker" (outside the margin of error). 3) The margin of error could have had Kerry up by 4 and still have been "correct", because it is +/- 3 points for each candidate (possible 6-point swing).

8 posted on 12/27/2004 12:26:32 PM PST by kevkrom (If people are free to do as they wish, they are almost certain not to do as Utopian planners wish)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: kevkrom

It is ridiculous how much weight these DUmmies put on these exit polls. It just shows how easy these DUmmies can be manipulated with the use of statistics they have absolutely no understanding of. It was like that moron that had given Kerry a 99.6% chance of winning the election. They all took his word like gospel or in their case took his word like Darwinism.


13 posted on 12/27/2004 12:42:19 PM PST by Always Right
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson