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To: PTBarnum

All of this stuff you keep putting up to support your contention that APT is a bad idea frankly does not impress me.

It is not meant to impress you.

It is provided for others who read these threads that they may discern fact and evidence from mere claim. To weigh that evidence and come to their own conclusions.

 

. If one were so inclined, an equivalent amount of stuff could be brought up favoring the case for APT

Then show it, I have done the research all I find to support the claims of the APT are the claims of it's author, agains the empirical evidence of the actual functioning of the tax system, with insights of economists as to the theoretical underpinnings of why a transaction tax will fail to meet the APT claimed goals.

I'm comfortable with APT based on common sense and intuition.

In otherwords your basis is that of no experience at all. You deny the evidence of history and modern era trials of the APT system, and persist in what amounts to blind belief in what you want to believe, a not the reality of practical application and experience of others who have indeed tried your tax system and failed for substantive fault laying with the theoretical basis of the tax itself.

As you've made amply obvious, you have a strong bias against APT.

I never heard of the APT until you people brought it here, I just took the effort to track down the history and economics of it and found it wanting.

I have no obligation to prove APT to you, any more than you have an obligation to disprove it.

You have the burden of proof where you want others to accept your tax system, especially where a body of empirical evidence clearly indicates severe problems with it.

My point is that in spite of your very admirable effort in putting up all this stuff here for us to see, you have not convinced me personally that APT won't work.

You are welcome to your beliefs however, beliefs not founded in fact and logic become little more than mere fantasy and superstition.

"Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclination, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence."
--John Adams

Fundamental tax reform is in order. The existing tax regimen is an ad hoc mixed bag of political and economic pragmatism, and is a relic of the now passing industrial era.

That is a fact on which we both may agree.

APT is a fundamentally different approach

Merely being different or unknown to you, is not a basis for fundamental soundness of a system.

that addresses the needs of the present and the future.

Empirical evidence and theoretical underpinnings of the failure of APT type taxes in numerous countries in history as well as current era suggest strongly otherwise.Apparently the best that can be said for it on an experiential basis is what is indicated by Tanzi as a result of empirical evaluation of Latin American versions of the APT:

The following empirical data suggests a 0.25% APT tax on banking & finance yields ~1% of GDP tax revenues. By extension a full APT would cover an incidence base of approximately 4 times banking transactions, good for approximately 4% of GDP in tax revenue production.

The current federal tax system yields more than 5 times the level of a universal APT.

Tanzi, V.(2000). "Taxation in Latin America in the Last Decade." Center for Reasearch on Economic Development and Policy Reform Working Paper Series, 76. Stanford: Stanford University.

 

Page 31:

Financial Transactions or Bank Debit Taxes

Another, less attractive innovation is the tax on bank debit. As Table 11 shows this tax is now in existence in Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, and Venezuela. In earlier years it was also used in Argentina and Peru and last year it was considered in Mexico which eventually decided against its introduction. In Colombia the tax was introduced to make up for revenues lost by lowering the value-added tax rate. In Ecuador it replaced income taxes. When this tax was introduced in Argentina and Peru in the early 1990s the results were not good. The initial revenue contribution quickly eroded and other problems appeared.

In its more recent versions the tax seems to have generated less difficulties, at least in the short run, and more revenue than in earlier years and the tax has acquired some strong supporters. There is very little popular opposition to it, it is relatively easy to administer, and it generates significant revenue. If it is applied at a very low rate, it may conform with a kind of "honey bee" approach to taxation whereby each collection is so small that it does not elicit a response on the part of the taxpayer. However, at higher rates and especially over a longer time frame this tax would likely have higher costs.

The bank debit tax is essentially an excise imposed on a specific activity, namely the use of bank checks. If the tax rate is small and the elasticity of demand for bank checks is low, the tax may not generate attempts at avoidance. However, if the rate becomes higher, individuals may realize that there are ways of avoiding this tax. Use of cash instead of checks would be one such way. Use of dollars would be another. Arranging to make payments through foreign accounts would be still another. Use of barter would be a further one. If the tax leads to a reduction in financial transactions, it would inevitably affect the efficiency of the economy. However, it is fair to state that almost all taxes have costs. Therefore, the choice must be made among second or even third best options. If the bank debit taxes are used at low rates and only for periods of transition to better revenue sources, then, maybe, they deserve a less negative reaction than most tax experts would give them. However, they should not become permanent features of tax systems.

 

Table 11. Gross Revenue from Bank Debit Taxes

                Tax        In Percent of   In Percent of
          Year  Rate       GDP             Tax Revenue       Productivity 1/
                
Countries where tax is being enforced:
Brazil    1994  0.25       1.06            3.6               4.24
          1997  0.20       0.80            2.8               4.00
          1998  0.20       0.90            3.0               4.50
          1999  0.22 2/    0.79            2.6               3.61
Colombia  1999  0.20       0.77            4.3               3.85
Ecuador   1999  1.00       3.50           26.7               3.50 3/
Countries where tax was discontinued:
Argentina 1989  0.70       0.66            4.3               0.94
          1990  0.30       0.30            2.0               0.99
          1991  1.05 2/    0.91            5.4               0.86
          1992  0.60 2/    0.29            1.5               0.97 4/
Peru      1990  1.41 2/    0.59            6.4               0.42
          1991  0.81 2/    0.46            5.0               0.57
Venezuela 1994  0.75       1.30            7.7               2.60 4/
          1999  0.50       0.60            4.9               1.80 4/

 

Somehow I do not see 4% of GDP sufficient for the revenue needs of this or any nation.

391 posted on 12/16/2004 10:37:58 PM PST by ancient_geezer (Don't reform it, Replace it!!)
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To: ancient_geezer
I apologize for being a bit absent from this raging debate but I am very busy outside of the blog. I want to clearly explain the many citations of "failure" you quote and set the record straight. ALL of the transaction tax attempts you quote have been flawed from the beginning and categorically OPPOSED by Dr. Feige because they failed to follow an essential tenet of the true APT concept. Therefore you should not refer to them as "APT" since they are merely transaction taxes NOT close to what is being proposed for the USA. That essential element is the total REPLACEMENT of all other forms of taxation. ALL of these countries had inadequate economic environments and used the transaction tax to "pile on" -- in the case of Australia the transaction tax was imposed at the state level so lots of game could be played. The paper you so frequently quoted by Mr. Albuquerque(sp?) is actually a doctoral thesis which was rounded criticized due to its simplistic and unrealistic assumptions.

Let me make it perfectly clear, we fully recognize that the way the transaction taxes have been imposed in several countries will indeed create a distortion and "cascade" effect that ancient_geezer so frequently states. However, being cognizant of this we specifically proposed from the beginning the requirement to totally REPLACE Federal taxes in the same way the NRST does. Why? Because we need the removal of the embedded taxes and compliance costs (estimated at 20%) at EVERY level of the supply chain to provide the stimulus and definitively short circuit the "cascade" effect when we add back in the 0.25% per transactor or 0.5% if both sides are paid by one transactor. Therefore at worst case the companies all up and down the supply chain with a 19.5% cost savings. Maybe prices will be reduced by that amount or maybe companies can maintain some of the savings - but that is a market decision we don't attempt to predict or need to predict for our plan to succeed. Therefore, may I reiterate, the APT as proposed for the USA has never been instituted anywhere and lesser models should not be used to criticize it because the difference is night and day.

Another essential not fulfilled by previous partial use of transaction taxes is that the security markets indeed will be effected if they are not robust enough to allow the stimulus referred to above, to filter through and be expressed in increased sales and earnings serving to fundamentally increase the VALUE of publicly traded companies. Our markets are plenty robust and the tax rate is so small that the doomsday scenarios proffered loudly on this site just aren't real despite all the ranting. The amount of investment capital to be invested by individuals from their tax reductions will flow through the financial firms and into the markets in large waves.

I would refer everyone observing this debate back to my post #364 for further explanation and comparison with NRST. And , no we don't have a HR number and neither did NRST 10 months into its public introduction.
393 posted on 12/16/2004 11:55:01 PM PST by APT Project Director
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