[nuffsenuff]

I've been saying this for a long time now.

I think it's going to be a romp. Bush winning big.

(Keeping fingers crossed, though)

[NewMediaFan]

Looks like Zogby goofed up badly in 2002. Figures.

[Cosmo]

I have no scientific basis for saying this, but I sincerely believe only an early voting Republican would be reluctant to tell a pollster who he voted for. Republicans are, afterall, the primary victims of media spin. And of this they are very cogniscant.

[paudio]

Good point. I'm just wondering about one thing. Up to 2002, Democrats always beated Republican in the voter turn out thing. The reason being labor union helped door to door and calling people to vote Democrats. The GOP realized this, and in 2002 they started to organize grass root GOTV. Many pollsters missed this fact, so when they modelled their surveys, they didn't factor in the possibility of high GOP turn out. The Democrats, too, seemed to shock seeing this.

This time around, both sides recognized the importance of GOTV and spent millions for the efforts. The Democrats rely on their labor supporters plus the workers paid by 527s. Republicans also step up their efforts by organizing thousands and thousands volunteers in different areas. Take a look at their www.72hour.com which is amazing.

We'll see Wednesday early morning EST who have better organization this year.

In the mean time, I'm wondering if the pollsters already factor in the possibility of high GOP turn out this year. Any pollster simply using 2000 Presidential election turnout in their model will be 'misunderestimating' Bush's numbers.