Posted on 10/31/2004 11:09:49 AM PST by jern
Bush will definitely win Fla and Nevada, and probably New Mexico and Iowa. Kerry will take Hawaii and New Hampshire.
I'm not so sure about Bush winning Ohio right now. He might have to pick up WI or MN to win. If it comes down to that, it's going to be a rough night.
HAaaaaaaaaaahahah...this map is hilarious! First clue- they're calling North Carolina undecided- leaning to GWB!
I have family and friends in N.C.- they say even the Dems are voting against Edwards!!!
This map has been skewed using desperation as a guide for weeks now...
please ignore the propaganda. there is a LIVE prayer thread for Pres Bush in FR until midnight tonight
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1263450/posts
They seem to be highly optimistic, but if it goes down like that it will be the end of Alaska. Kerry will finish the job Carter started.
Forget this.
THIS is a real predictor:
Halloween masks predict next president (100% accuracy since 1980)(Bush leading)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1263825/posts
Most of these new results are from a Zogby poll. So all this means is that one pollster (Zogby) currently has Bush down. But remember, Zogby says he thinks Bush will win... this is nothing to get undergarments in a twist over.58.5,4,Florida,27,49,47,,Oct 30,,,,,,,,Zogby-4 58.0,3,Indiana,11,58,39,,Oct 29,,,,,,,,Survey USA-3 58.5,4,Michigan,17,48,47,,Oct 30,,,,,,,,Zogby-4 58.5,4,Minnesota,10,49,46,,Oct 30,,,,,,,,Zogby-4 58.5,4,Wisconsin,10,52,44,,Oct 30,,,,,,,,Zogby-4
Having said that, this is the rare EV projection by serious dems that projects a Kerry EV victory that I've seen so far.
Is there an electoral vote projection site that is unbiased--not too left, not too right?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/RCP_Electoral_Count_Chart.html
what was RCP's 2000 prediction?
Regarding this map and the other map, no recent poll has Kerry ahead.
The last three polls have Bush ahead by about one point, after two summer polls having Kerry ahead.
I don't know. The map is ridiculous. This is just the kind of think that drives to doom and gloomers bonko.
"what was RCP's 2000 prediction?"
If you're trying to imply that past success confers credibility, then the Mason-Dixon Polls should be your choice. *cough*
Of course, you sound like a Dem Weasel, so I doubt you'll like their projections. They too can be found at:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/RCP_Electoral_Count_Chart.html
I get the feeling the guy who runs RCP is a W backer. Anyway, his "raw" data is all right there to see. I am not sure I trust his poll average--too many variables.
"I am not sure I trust his poll average--too many variables."
Me neither, and averaging different sets of data is unsound (hence the Kyoto Hockey Stick Hoax). What I do is look primarily at the mean between Zogby & Mason-Dixon
They have to decide if Kerry is going to steal OH or FL... LOL... Bush will take both.
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Two days ago, that SAME WEBSITE had Bush 281 Kerry 236!!
What's up with the HUGE difference in numbers in TWO DAYS!!!
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