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To: Mike Fieschko

Dear Mike,

Thanks for your kind words about my blogs. I am able to keep my eyes on all the major campaign news, and will be updating my blog whenever I see significant information. It will remain ad hoc, however, as I must rely on news services and do not have my own sources.

I will try my best to keep my eyes on advertising dollars, specific ads being run, and staff relocations. I can tell you right now that last month Kerry pulled his advertising dollars from the following states: Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Arizona, Virginia. Ad buys are done in big chunks, as best I can gather, so there might not be news about it for awhile.

I remain very skeptical about published reports about GOTV efforts. I mentioned in my blog about reports about major efforts in the Rust Belt. The lefty 527's are talking about all the new people they have registered. However, it is in their interest to over-state their efforts. Ditto for the GOP. Any reliable stuff I find, I shall report (e.g. I'll be checking with the SOS of each swing state to get an idea of the # of registered voters...those should be counted up soon).

Best wishes,
Jay Cost


5 posted on 10/10/2004 10:59:39 AM PDT by jaycost (Jay Cost's Horserace Blog (http://jaycost.blogspot.com))
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To: jaycost

jay,

I love your blog and the inside baseball stuff it provides for political junkies like myself. I have been convinced since the race started that the "ginned up" Dem base was for the most part a MSM creation. There was a very detailed study tied to primary turnout based on something like 20 years that early on predicted a Bush win. Have you done any picking apart of that study? If you're not familiar with it let me know and I'll find it for you.
Keep up the good work.


6 posted on 10/10/2004 12:19:37 PM PDT by WoodstockCat (DNC and John Kerry: Forgers R' Us)
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