This is far from done playing out.
We won't know for sure the impact of the recall until the 2004 election.
If Swarzenegger wins, it will work out well for the Republicans' 2004 chances. If not causing a surge in Republican registrations, it will at the very least mute recall resentment among the general population.
If McClintock wins, it is hard to say what the effect on the general public will be. I know it will energize the liberal base to come out and vote against Republicans in 2004, though I think the general non-partisan voting public will take a "wait and see" attitude giving McClintock a chance to prove himself. This possibility is the hardest to gauge, as it will be a mixed bag.
If Simon wins, the total destruction of the Republican party within California will be completed.
Now obviously enough, only one of these possibilities can ultimately be proven, and there is still the chance that none of them get tested.
Keep posting, sunshine. The more proof from your keyboard that you aren't a Californian, the more entertaining this thread gets.
Anyone from California with even a rudimentary understanding of the political landscape here, understands that the impact of this recall will be felt for decades. This is an earthquake, like Proposition #13 or Proposition #187. Only you out-of-staters view 2004 as in any way the terminal point of the endgame.