If it is that important to you to satisfy your love of analogies, I will concede the point. In my opinion the dearth’s of 700,000 men, the destructions of cities and the ruination of thousands of lives cannot be reduce to a juvenile analogy. But if that is your Schick be my guest.
Cool, then you concede the point that the confederacy secessionists drew first blood in the conflict between the north and the south. Pretty simple.
In your opinion.... this stuff cannot be reduced to analogy. But it ALREADY is, already has happenned, already is a part of history. So it is a simple historical analogy. I’m glad you accept it as such.
Looking at the CW1 analogy, do you acknowledge that the south could have seceded without violence? That is the current plan for a quiet Civil War 2.