I believe that Trump can win MN and WI to put himself over the top. I’m leery on PA, but feel better about it than MI. Where does your confidence in NV come from?
Democrats are not paying attention to Nevada so they assume they can take the state for granted, similar mistake Hillary made in 2016 by not campaigning in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Scot has registered large groups of first time voting Amish in PA. May make a difference.
Pa is very close latest poll 44-42 this is probably mirroring Biden’s internals too and the only thing keeping PA close is Biden’s ties to Scranton that’s why you practically see him living in PA when he pops out of his cave