No idea.
Is he/she likely to win?
No. But each vote for the Constitution Party is another voice in the chorus telling the GOP, "We're off the GOP-e plantation."
A no show at the polls or a vote for anyone other than Romney means you are unable to negate a positive Obama vote.
True - but it also means I don't have to cast a positive Mittens vote.
So to prove a point to the Republican establishment, you will assist in Obama being re-elected.
I refer back to my original comment.