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To: js1138
Dembski calculated the odds at the Dover trial to be 90 percent against a slamdown of ID.

What are the odds of the Dover decision being written exactly as it was? Infinitesimal? Just changing a few words could have had the completely opposite result. Why, it is almost as if that outcome was the pre-ordained design of God.

1,510 posted on 08/01/2006 1:56:17 PM PDT by tortoise
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To: tortoise

It would be interesting to survey the religious beliefs of people buying lottery tickets or playing slot machines.


1,511 posted on 08/01/2006 1:59:43 PM PDT by js1138 (Well I say there are some things we don't want to know! Important things!")
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To: tortoise
What are the odds of the Dover decision being written exactly as it was? Infinitesimal? Just changing a few words could have had the completely opposite result. Why, it is almost as if that outcome was the pre-ordained design of God.

Exactly. A posteriori probability estimates are always crap.

1,518 posted on 08/01/2006 5:19:32 PM PDT by balrog666 (Ignorance is never better than knowledge. - Enrico Fermi)
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