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Mark Lunsford, Krystal Kirkland (a cousin) and Mark Furman were on Greta.
Furman spoke with some common sense.
His points:

It just does fit right.
An unlocked door.
The father is with his girlfriend.
2 sleeping adults.
The complete lack of forensics.
He had heard it was damp, yet no footprints.
Someone knew he would not be home.

If I had to guess, I would say the probability of Mark Lunsford using meth was high. That does not make him a killer. But it defines the company he keeps.

Here is my theory.
(I know first hand about meth, as my son is fighting a meth addiction.)

I suspect there is a high degree of meth use in their neighborhood. Meth users will do anything, steal from anyone for their meth. Long time users lose any moral frame of reference they have. Meth is their life. Since they do not sleep for days (or weeks), they are quite the night animals and roamers.

I think someone the family knows took Jessica. The motive was not an abduction, but robbery. As I said, meth users would steal from Jesus Christ himself to pay the dealer. It had to be someone Jessica loved and trusted, otherwise there would have been signs of a struggle.

Maybe that person was visiting earlier, unlocked the front door knowing what he planned to do that evening.

It would explain the dog not barking loudly.
Perhaps the dog & woke Jessica. "What are you doing here?"

Now the intruder is really in a corner. He can't tell her not to tell anyone. In his mind, he is left with one option-get her out of the house so she cannot tell. She goes easliy because it is someone she loves and trusts. "Here honey, take your dolphin."

We know the rest of the story...

I thought the cousin's affect was strange tonight. Her eyes wandered excessively. The story she told about asking Jessica to go hiking seemed out of place.

Her face had that blank look that only someone who has lived with a meth user knows. It did not look like she was trying to "put on a brave face." Her eyes were blank.

I am not saying she did it. But I would look at her and her friends very closley. When my son was using, her was dating a girl who had me fooled. I thought she was good for him and even encouraged that relationship. Turns out, she was a bigger user than she was. They are masters of deception and will betray anyone.

That's my theory and I promise, the only one I will offer.