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The Paradox of Unified Control–How Conservatives Can Win Without Bush
Vanity | 1/31/2004 | Self

Posted on 01/31/2004 3:07:29 PM PST by Kevin Curry

Can conservatives win in November if Bush loses the White House? The easy answer is "No." The thinking answer is quite different. The easy answer overestimates the power of a Democrat president who must work with a Republican-controlled Congress. The thinking answer is that gridlock is often preferable to a government shifting into high gear regardless of whether a Republican or Democrat is at the wheel. And gridlock is always preferable to progressivism, whatever its form.

Liberal nanny state progressivism is a rouged tart wearing a high tight skirt standing on the street corner, who whispers "$20 for a good time." Compassionate conservative progressivism is the wholesome girl next door in a county fair booth that reads, "$20 for a kiss"–only the bargain is even worse, because the government forces you to pay, and someone else gets the good time or the kiss.

Neither form of progressivism is acceptable to a conservative who has better and more profitable things to do with his time and money.

The key to understanding why the thinking answer attaches such small value to a Bush win this November is to understand the paradox of unified control. Common sense suggests that conservatives are best served when Republicans have unified control over the two branches that write the checks, pay the bills, and write and enforce the laws: the executive and the legislative. That was the delirious hope of conservatives, including myself, who cheered in November 2000 as Bush won the White House by the narrowest of margins and the Republican Party won combined control of the Senate and the House in 2002.

But this delirious optimism has turned steadily to dark dismay as Bush recklessly and heedlessly cranked the conservative agenda hard left and smashed it into reefs of trillion-dollar Medicare entitlements, record deficit spending, incumbent criticism-stifling campaign finance reform, illegal alien amnesty-on-the-installment-plan, NEA budget increases and the like.

Where has the Republican co-captain –Congress–been as Bush has pursed this reckless course? Mostly sleeping or meekly assisting. Would a Republican Congress have tolerated these antics from a Democratic president? Absolutely not! Why has a Republican Congress tolerated and even assisted Bush to do this? Because he is a Republican and for no other reason.

Thus, the paradox of unified control: a president can most easily and effectively destroy or compromise the dominant agenda of his own party when his own party controls Congress. Bush has demonstrated the potency of this paradox more powerfully than any president in recent memory–although Clinton had his moments too, as when he supported welfare reform.

Does this mean conservatives should desire a Democrat president when Congress is controlled by Republicans? No. Conservatives should desire a consistently conservative Republican president who with grace and inspiration will lead a Republican-controlled Congress to enact reforms that will prove the clear superiority of the conservative, small government agenda by its fruits. Bush's tax cuts are a wonderful achievement, and have had a powerful stimulating effect on the economy. But imagine how much better the result if he had not set forces in motion to neutralize this achievement by getting his trillion dollar Medicare boondoggle enacted.

Ten steps forward and ten steps back is may be how Republicans dance the "compassionate conservative" foxtrot, but in the end it merely leads us back to the same sorry place we started. It is not an improvement.

When a Republican president compromises the conservative agenda and is enabled to do so by a Republican Congress too dispirited or disorganized to resist, the next best answer might well be for a Democrat to hold the White House. Nothing would steel the courage of a Republican Congress and enliven its spirit more than to face off against a Democrat bent on implementing a liberal agenda.

Any Democrat unfortunate enough to win the White House this year will face the most depressing and daunting task of any Democrat president ever to hold the office. The Iraq War will become his war, and he will be scorned and repudiated if he does not with grace, power, and dignity bring it to a satisfactory conclusion. That means he will have to conduct the war in much the same way that Bush is conducting it now–he will not have the latitude to do much else. If he conducts the war in the manner that Bush is conducting it, his own base will abandon him.

Any Democrat president will also have to choose between spending cuts or raising taxes. If he chooses the latter, he will see his support plummet as the economic recovery sputters and stalls. If he chooses the former, he will dispirit his base supporters. In either case he will strengthen the hand of the Republican controlled-Congress and see Republican strength enhanced in the Senate and House.

If SCOTUS vacancies open up, he will see his nominees scrutinized and resisted with a zeal that can only be expected and carried out by a Republican-controlled Senate Judiciary Committee that has suffered through years of kidney-punches and eye-gouging in judicial appointment hearings by a Democrat minority (it would help immensely if the spineless, Kennedy-appeasing Orrin Hatch were replaced as Committee Chair).

As his frustrations grow, his support plummets, and the Republican Party adds to its numbers in Congress, a Democrat president would be viewed as opportunistic roadkill by zealots in his own party, including and especially the ice-blooded and cruelly-scheming Hillary Clinton. In the run-up to the 2008 election Democrats would be faced with the choice of continuing to support a sure loser in the incumbent or a scheming hard-left alternative in Hillary. The blood-letting in the Democratic Party through the primary season and into the convention would be grievous and appalling, committed in plain view of the American public–who could be expected to vomit both of them out.

That would leave the field open for the Republican presidential candidate to achieve a victory of historic proportions in 2008. With greater Republican strength in Congress, the opportunity would again present itself for this nation to finally achieve the dream of implementing a real and substantial conservative agenda, of actually shrinking government in a large and meaningful way.

The key to achieving that dream, of course, is to carefully select an electable conservative for 2008 who will remain true to the conservative vision and not cause conservatism to fall victim again to the paradox of unified control.

It is not too soon to start looking for that candidate.


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KEYWORDS: gop
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To: gatorbait
Personally, I would rather walk with the pitchforkers, than ride in the limo with the two party elites.

What was it Buchanan said about two years ago?

"The differences between the two beltway parties are inconsequential".

These two parties have been backslapping each other and bumping belly's for so many years, they've simply merged. Even Ray Charles can see this.

It's nothing but good cop bad cop. Like phony pro-wrestler's throwing each other around in the ring, and afterwards, drinking at the bar together having a good ol belly laugh.

Thankfully, most are becoming wise to this DC sham, and the beltway elite.

You mean when he was stepping out of his Mercedes ? That Pat Buchanan? Do you recall him doing that when he was addressing some US Auto workers yada yada

Lets see, most of the corporations are off shoring jobs as fast as possible, our government punishes our own business owners by regulating and taxing everything they do, while allowing literally millions of foreign people to enter our country illegally, as a matter of routine causing epic fraud, crime, taking jobs, jamming our social services.... 8 out of 10 cars on the road are foreign made....... But dagnabit, Buchanan is some kind a bad guy because he was seen getting out of a Mercedes!

Yeowza!

Yeah,Pat Buchanan, there's a real leader. Maybe he'll let you ride with him.

No problem. I'd be my pleasure. Maybe catch a few Rino konservatives under our wheels.

Best regards.....

Let me get this straight, you, who are parroting the DNC's talking points

You still haven't got it straight. And what DNC talking points am I parroting?

and in sync with them to rid us of George W.Bush and maybe open the Supreme Court up to worse than Earl Warren, are a "true Conservative" , while ,I,and others like me,who are doing our best to prevent this,among other things, and I'm a RINO?

You and haven't done anything and neither has anyone else. The two party cartel is still in business isn't it?

Look at the state of affairs. It just gets worse. Taxes, spending, illegal aliens pour in by the millions, jobs going off shore, you name it. What, do you think the Republican party is becoming more conservative, more to the right? LOL! No one believes this. It aint going to happen pal.

You need to think outside of the two party box.

The two beltway parties for the most part, become one and they same, and more and more folks are able to see this.

Look around on this forum. Open your eyes. Many people are starting to see this DC two party private club for what it is. It's becoming inordinately clear to most, that are not afraid to admit the truth. It's getting time for a change. Long over due. May take a while longer, but it's going to happen. Bet the rent.

Tell you what,you tell me what parallel universe you live in and I'll accept your otherwise fatuous accusations and nonsensical statements.

Cute quip, but kind of juvenile. As time clicks on, more and more people will get burned by this two party "party". This is happening daily. Their days are numbered. Nothing last forever.

581 posted on 02/01/2004 11:23:08 AM PST by Joe Hadenuf (I failed anger management class, they decided to give me a passing grade anyway)
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To: redlipstick
Is it your contention that Bush does not support the renewal of the "assault weapons ban" that he would support it's repeal.
582 posted on 02/01/2004 11:23:30 AM PST by FSPress
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To: Common Tator
I seriously doubt that Kerry would appoint Clinton as SC Justice, seeing as Clinton will surely try to derail Kerry's candidacy. I'd be surprised if Clinton would actually want the job. It involves little if any politicking, and requires intense concentration, which is not his strong suit.

Plus, in no way would Hillary squash her own Presidential ambitions in exchange for Bill getting on the Supreme Court. She wants to be President, period, with or without Bill.

Finally - and this is most important - the nomination of Bill Clinton to the U.S. Supreme Court would cause a shattering uproar the likes of which have rarely been seen in Washington. Even Senate Republicans, who usually play by the Marquis de Queensbury rules, would be forced by a deafening conservative outcry to filibuster the nomination. He would never get confirmed. Probably he wouldn't even get out of committee.

The FBI files the Clintons possibly have are ten years old. I just don't believe anymore that these files are the Clinton's key to power. They may not even be useful to them anymore.
583 posted on 02/01/2004 11:24:15 AM PST by Zack Nguyen
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To: FSPress
It is my policy to believe only first-hand sources, not second-hand hearsay.
584 posted on 02/01/2004 11:30:40 AM PST by EllaMinnow (If you want to send a message, call Western Union.)
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To: redlipstick; Roscoe
In surprise move, Bush backs renewal of assault weapons ban (Knight-Ridder)

Gun-control senators cheer Bush (World Net Daily)

VPC Welcomes President Bush's Support on Reauthorization of Federal Assault Weapons Ban (Violence Policy Center)

Satisfied?

585 posted on 02/01/2004 11:32:15 AM PST by NittanyLion
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To: redlipstick
Does Bush support the AWB or does he believe it should sunset and not be renewed?
586 posted on 02/01/2004 11:33:21 AM PST by FSPress
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To: redlipstick
How many ya need?

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&lr=&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&safe=off&q=%22The+president+supports+the+current+law%2C+and+he+supports+reauthorization+of+the+current+law%2C%22&btnG=Google+Search
587 posted on 02/01/2004 11:34:13 AM PST by Roscoe
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To: Phaedrus
For at least a decade, the Republican strategy has been to assume we would be too fearful to vote for a Democrat. Bush is the epitome of that strategy. I see an element of "Bush arrogance" in all this as well. Bush Sr. won the Gulf War and his approval ratings exceeded 90% at one point. He felt he could not lose, relaxed and said "Read my lips ..." Like father like son?

And you and all the other third-party folks gave us Clinton, because of your personal dislike of Bush. Thanks for nothing.

588 posted on 02/01/2004 11:35:16 AM PST by NYCVirago
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To: FSPress
If he (BUSH) does not support the position that it should sunset and not be renewed, then he is the position that the AWB should be renewed.
589 posted on 02/01/2004 11:36:40 AM PST by FSPress
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To: Kevin Curry
The long term health of this nation is greater than short-term plans and "compassionate conservative" nonsense of George W. Bush and his unthinking supporters.

And the long-term health of this nation cannot afford another Democrat who's going to kowtow to the UN and be soft on terrorism.

590 posted on 02/01/2004 11:36:53 AM PST by NYCVirago
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To: NittanyLion
The first article is the important one.
Question: Did President Bush veto the bill that protected firearms manufacturers from liabilty?

I believe the answer is NO. I'm sure you big old he-men who love your guns for other reasons than "projection" will let me know.

WorldNetDaily? The don't report, they rehash.
The other article is just another special interest group diatribe.
But thanks for finding the original article.
591 posted on 02/01/2004 11:38:15 AM PST by EllaMinnow (If you want to send a message, call Western Union.)
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To: redlipstick
You can't answer the question?



592 posted on 02/01/2004 11:38:20 AM PST by tpaine (I'm trying to be 'Mr Nice Guy', but the U.S. Constitution defines a conservative. (writer 33 )
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To: FSPress
Correction to previous post - If he (BUSH) does not support the position that it should sunset and not be renewed, then he is supporting the position that the AWB should be renewed.
593 posted on 02/01/2004 11:38:35 AM PST by FSPress
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To: tpaine
I believe that if the Republicans in Congress are so overwhelmingly incompetent that they let it reach his desk, he will sign it.

Do I think he'll lobby for it? No.
594 posted on 02/01/2004 11:40:35 AM PST by EllaMinnow (If you want to send a message, call Western Union.)
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To: redlipstick
The first article is the important one. Question: Did President Bush veto the bill that protected firearms manufacturers from liabilty? I believe the answer is NO.

Ah, but the topic of discussion is whether Bush supports reauthorization of the bill. You wanted your proof, and I've provided it. No sense in atttempting to divert the discussion at this point.

I'm sure you big old he-men who love your guns for other reasons than "projection" will let me know.

Do you have a problem with guns that look big and nasty? Not everyone realizes it, but these guns are no more or less dangerous than any other - they just LOOK more dangerous.

WorldNetDaily? The don't report, they rehash. The other article is just another special interest group diatribe.

Just wanted to make sure you had enough sources to assure your agreement that Bush does in fact support reauthorization of this gun control bill.

But thanks for finding the original article.

My pleasure.

595 posted on 02/01/2004 11:42:46 AM PST by NittanyLion
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To: NittanyLion
The Bush administration is bucking the National Rifle Association and supporting a renewal of the assault weapons ban, set to expire just before the presidential election.

"The president supports the current law, and he supports reauthorization of the current law," White House spokesman Scott McClellan told Knight Ridder.

Move along, nothing to see here...

596 posted on 02/01/2004 11:43:43 AM PST by Roscoe
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To: PhilipFreneau
Bush signed the CFR--he did not literally vote for it.

Now, don't tell me that you thought Bush was going to do away with the education department. Certainly you should have been bright enough that you need standards of learning and with Bush's record in texas what he did with the education bill should come as no surprise.

The core of conservatism is limited government--well, it depends on your definition of limited government. If you think defense of AMerica comes after government has been dismantled then you are off on your own little utopia. DEFENSE is what conservatives do better than ;the democrats.

I wanted to have adiscussion with you regarding the growth of government. I brought out some of which I can defend. I want you if you want to discuss to tell me what is it you did not want to grow and we can discuss what you mean by growth.

I live at the border and believe the border patrol and the US agents do enforce the immigration laws. But tell me, what to do with the millions that have set up homes, had children in the USA, pay taxes, work, etc but are illegal immigrants? No one wants to touch that aspect of immigration. At least President Bush has opened it up for discussion. The same way he brought up defense and terror war and his Bush doctrine. Brought it up for discussion.
597 posted on 02/01/2004 11:48:22 AM PST by olliemb
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To: redlipstick
I believe the answer is NO. I'm sure you big old he-men who love your guns for other reasons than "projection" will let me know
=====
Ya damned liberal!
598 posted on 02/01/2004 11:50:00 AM PST by FSPress
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To: Zack Nguyen
I seriously doubt that Kerry would appoint Clinton as SC Justice, seeing as Clinton will surely try to derail Kerry's candidacy

We all know just how unambitious Bill Clinton is. Don't we!

Certainly Bill Clinton had never wanted power. We know for a fact a position of huge power would never attract Bill Clinton... especially if he could possess that power for life. NO WAY BILL WOULD WANT THAT.

Of course Clinton would never take the job of Chief Justice where he has the power to make his staff any size he wishes and make laws from the bench.

Certainly Clinton would never want a legacy. And making rulings for the left that would make Earl Warren look conservative would not appeal to Bill in any way. Going down in history as the great Leftist Chief Justice would not appeal to him at all. Being worshiped by leftists for centuries would never be something Bill Clinton would want. That would take a man with a huge eqo. WE all know clinton has no eqo.. don't we?

And Kerry is not ambitious. NO WAY!!!! He doesn't really want to be president. He knows the Clintons will try to stop him from wining for Hillary's sake so he wont' try in any way to buy the Clintons off... Will He?

I am sure it would never occur to Kerry to try to think of something he could offer the Clintons so they don't oppose him... It is just unreasonable to think that to offer Bill Clinton the most powerful job in our government would be attractive to Bill and cause him to work for Kerry'e election.

And you do know what the most powerful job is don't you? It is heading that little organization that can undo any action ever taken by the congress and the president. And it can make legal anything it wants to.... can you say Abortion? I didn't think you could.

OK Bill... which do you want YOU to be Chief Justice or HIllARY to be president?

If you want to know how loyal Bill is to Hillary you could try asking Monica .... She might knonw!!


599 posted on 02/01/2004 11:51:41 AM PST by Common Tator
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To: redlipstick
FSPress wrote:
Is it your contention that Bush does not support the renewal of the "assault weapons ban" -- ?


_____________________________________________


redlipstick wrote:

I believe that if the Republicans in Congress are so overwhelmingly incompetent that they let it reach his desk, he will sign it.





Finally, -- we get a yes.. Thanks.

And, of course, your last post explains why you support gun bans..

"I'm sure you big old he-men who love your guns for other reasons than "projection" will let me know."
-591-


Indeed we will.

600 posted on 02/01/2004 11:52:16 AM PST by tpaine (I'm trying to be 'Mr Nice Guy', but the U.S. Constitution defines a conservative. (writer 33 )
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