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The Paradox of Unified Control–How Conservatives Can Win Without Bush
Vanity | 1/31/2004 | Self

Posted on 01/31/2004 3:07:29 PM PST by Kevin Curry

Can conservatives win in November if Bush loses the White House? The easy answer is "No." The thinking answer is quite different. The easy answer overestimates the power of a Democrat president who must work with a Republican-controlled Congress. The thinking answer is that gridlock is often preferable to a government shifting into high gear regardless of whether a Republican or Democrat is at the wheel. And gridlock is always preferable to progressivism, whatever its form.

Liberal nanny state progressivism is a rouged tart wearing a high tight skirt standing on the street corner, who whispers "$20 for a good time." Compassionate conservative progressivism is the wholesome girl next door in a county fair booth that reads, "$20 for a kiss"–only the bargain is even worse, because the government forces you to pay, and someone else gets the good time or the kiss.

Neither form of progressivism is acceptable to a conservative who has better and more profitable things to do with his time and money.

The key to understanding why the thinking answer attaches such small value to a Bush win this November is to understand the paradox of unified control. Common sense suggests that conservatives are best served when Republicans have unified control over the two branches that write the checks, pay the bills, and write and enforce the laws: the executive and the legislative. That was the delirious hope of conservatives, including myself, who cheered in November 2000 as Bush won the White House by the narrowest of margins and the Republican Party won combined control of the Senate and the House in 2002.

But this delirious optimism has turned steadily to dark dismay as Bush recklessly and heedlessly cranked the conservative agenda hard left and smashed it into reefs of trillion-dollar Medicare entitlements, record deficit spending, incumbent criticism-stifling campaign finance reform, illegal alien amnesty-on-the-installment-plan, NEA budget increases and the like.

Where has the Republican co-captain –Congress–been as Bush has pursed this reckless course? Mostly sleeping or meekly assisting. Would a Republican Congress have tolerated these antics from a Democratic president? Absolutely not! Why has a Republican Congress tolerated and even assisted Bush to do this? Because he is a Republican and for no other reason.

Thus, the paradox of unified control: a president can most easily and effectively destroy or compromise the dominant agenda of his own party when his own party controls Congress. Bush has demonstrated the potency of this paradox more powerfully than any president in recent memory–although Clinton had his moments too, as when he supported welfare reform.

Does this mean conservatives should desire a Democrat president when Congress is controlled by Republicans? No. Conservatives should desire a consistently conservative Republican president who with grace and inspiration will lead a Republican-controlled Congress to enact reforms that will prove the clear superiority of the conservative, small government agenda by its fruits. Bush's tax cuts are a wonderful achievement, and have had a powerful stimulating effect on the economy. But imagine how much better the result if he had not set forces in motion to neutralize this achievement by getting his trillion dollar Medicare boondoggle enacted.

Ten steps forward and ten steps back is may be how Republicans dance the "compassionate conservative" foxtrot, but in the end it merely leads us back to the same sorry place we started. It is not an improvement.

When a Republican president compromises the conservative agenda and is enabled to do so by a Republican Congress too dispirited or disorganized to resist, the next best answer might well be for a Democrat to hold the White House. Nothing would steel the courage of a Republican Congress and enliven its spirit more than to face off against a Democrat bent on implementing a liberal agenda.

Any Democrat unfortunate enough to win the White House this year will face the most depressing and daunting task of any Democrat president ever to hold the office. The Iraq War will become his war, and he will be scorned and repudiated if he does not with grace, power, and dignity bring it to a satisfactory conclusion. That means he will have to conduct the war in much the same way that Bush is conducting it now–he will not have the latitude to do much else. If he conducts the war in the manner that Bush is conducting it, his own base will abandon him.

Any Democrat president will also have to choose between spending cuts or raising taxes. If he chooses the latter, he will see his support plummet as the economic recovery sputters and stalls. If he chooses the former, he will dispirit his base supporters. In either case he will strengthen the hand of the Republican controlled-Congress and see Republican strength enhanced in the Senate and House.

If SCOTUS vacancies open up, he will see his nominees scrutinized and resisted with a zeal that can only be expected and carried out by a Republican-controlled Senate Judiciary Committee that has suffered through years of kidney-punches and eye-gouging in judicial appointment hearings by a Democrat minority (it would help immensely if the spineless, Kennedy-appeasing Orrin Hatch were replaced as Committee Chair).

As his frustrations grow, his support plummets, and the Republican Party adds to its numbers in Congress, a Democrat president would be viewed as opportunistic roadkill by zealots in his own party, including and especially the ice-blooded and cruelly-scheming Hillary Clinton. In the run-up to the 2008 election Democrats would be faced with the choice of continuing to support a sure loser in the incumbent or a scheming hard-left alternative in Hillary. The blood-letting in the Democratic Party through the primary season and into the convention would be grievous and appalling, committed in plain view of the American public–who could be expected to vomit both of them out.

That would leave the field open for the Republican presidential candidate to achieve a victory of historic proportions in 2008. With greater Republican strength in Congress, the opportunity would again present itself for this nation to finally achieve the dream of implementing a real and substantial conservative agenda, of actually shrinking government in a large and meaningful way.

The key to achieving that dream, of course, is to carefully select an electable conservative for 2008 who will remain true to the conservative vision and not cause conservatism to fall victim again to the paradox of unified control.

It is not too soon to start looking for that candidate.


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KEYWORDS: gop
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To: Kevin Curry
Hey Kevin, I have a question for you:

What do you and these three men have in common?

Answer:

You all want Bush out of office.

Mmmmmmmm.......

381 posted on 02/01/2004 12:47:41 AM PST by Luis Gonzalez (The Gift Is To See The Trout.)
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To: Texasforever
Hey tex, how you doing?

Say, this looks like a three person, Republican party cheer leading thread, so I'll let you boys carry on.

As you were.

382 posted on 02/01/2004 12:49:05 AM PST by Joe Hadenuf (I failed anger management class, they decided to give me a passing grade anyway)
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To: nopardons
I support VERY secure borders, and I'm certainly not going to vote for Kerry. I'm a Bush supporter.

It is counterproductive to disinvite people to vote for the President, just because of disagreements over policy.
383 posted on 02/01/2004 12:50:42 AM PST by EternalVigilance
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To: EternalVigilance
. The far-right views the Bush name as synonymous with the NWO and all of the conspiratorial baggage that is attached to it. When Reagan chose Bush 1 as his VP the far right immediately lost all confidence in Reagan and began to actively oppose him. In those days the far-right was embodied by the John Birch society and often claimed credit for Reagan's first election. I have posted the JBS assessment of RR's first term on this forum on several occasions and it completely confirms my contention. The JBS fell out of favor when Reagan repudiated his ties to them but they remain a fairly well funded organization. The JBS tradition lives on mostly in the various "conservative/populist" 3rd parties that do not carry the JBS stigma. but share the same NOW conspiracy mindset.
384 posted on 02/01/2004 12:52:36 AM PST by Texasforever
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To: Texasforever; gatorbait
If Hillary Clinton runs with Kerry, it will be interesting to see who clings to their "real conservative" "principles" and refuses to vote for Bush. That ought to separate the serious malcontents from the pikers around here.
385 posted on 02/01/2004 12:53:26 AM PST by DaughterOfAnIwoJimaVet (Four hours is too long for a Democrat to sit in the Oval Office, let alone four years. Vote W '04)
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To: EternalVigilance
In light of the WOT I think every American supports "VERY secure borders", but that won't happen at the drop of a hat, and it's a problem that has been largely ignored for decades. Some say Bush didn't go far enough, some say Bush went too far, I feel Bush finally addressed an issue of utmost importance that as I said was largely ignored for decades, that relates to the WOT. Until we (as a country) debate what should really happen, time marches on.
386 posted on 02/01/2004 12:54:26 AM PST by BigSkyFreeper (All Our Base Are Belong To Dubya)
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To: Texasforever
NOW should have been NWO
387 posted on 02/01/2004 12:54:36 AM PST by Texasforever
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To: EternalVigilance
I too support secure borders, but lolok at what the poster I disinvited has said.I was just backing him up...but also asking him to be honest.

Any newbie, who so stridently claims that Bush had better do thus and so,or he won't get his vote, is suspect.

388 posted on 02/01/2004 12:54:44 AM PST by nopardons
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To: EternalVigilance
Not exactly a grand strategy, but the democrats response was easily predictable, Don't you think?

The reality of the situation is that Congress is who will shape the immigration policy and all this proposal has done is expose the democrats for what they are. So it's time to take up Tancredo's plan or whoever's, but at least it's being debated

389 posted on 02/01/2004 12:55:45 AM PST by MJY1288 (VOTE CONSTITUTION PARTY IF YOU WANT A DEMOCRAT)
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To: Texasforever
Many of these splinter groups latch onto some conspiracy theory and run with it, trying to convert the masses. When I see the phrase "conspiracy theory", my first reaction is to say "fringe nut jobs".
390 posted on 02/01/2004 12:57:30 AM PST by BigSkyFreeper (All Our Base Are Belong To Dubya)
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To: Joe Hadenuf
Good night Joe,

We will miss your cheerful posts

391 posted on 02/01/2004 1:00:34 AM PST by MJY1288 (VOTE CONSTITUTION PARTY IF YOU WANT A DEMOCRAT)
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To: DaughterOfAnIwoJimaVet
If Hillary Clinton runs with Kerry, it will be interesting to see who clings to their "real conservative" "principles" and refuses to vote for Bush. That ought to separate the serious malcontents from the pikers around here.

Agreed.

Though I don't think it will happen. She's already done the co-president gig, and I don't think she will settle for second banana again. ;-)

392 posted on 02/01/2004 1:02:15 AM PST by EternalVigilance
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To: BigSkyFreeper
The entire "patriot movement' sprang from the JBS as did Pat Buchanan’s populist platform and now the "Constitution party platform" right up to the “Christian Identity movement”. I ridicule many who call themselves the "base" simply because that "base" deserted the GOP when Reagan won his second term in spite of them.

393 posted on 02/01/2004 1:03:03 AM PST by Texasforever
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To: MJY1288
Not exactly a grand strategy, but the democrats response was easily predictable, Don't you think?

Sure. Okay.

The reality of the situation is that Congress is who will shape the immigration policy and all this proposal has done is expose the democrats for what they are. So it's time to take up Tancredo's plan or whoever's, but at least it's being debated

Agreed.

394 posted on 02/01/2004 1:03:40 AM PST by EternalVigilance
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To: MJY1288
Good night Joe, We will miss your cheerful posts

Unfortunately, the truth can't always be fun, or happy. But for you, next time I'll try and sugar coat it a little.

395 posted on 02/01/2004 1:03:45 AM PST by Joe Hadenuf (I failed anger management class, they decided to give me a passing grade anyway)
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To: nopardons
Okay. But generally, what I said was true.
396 posted on 02/01/2004 1:06:06 AM PST by EternalVigilance
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To: EternalVigilance
"We are the president." LOL
397 posted on 02/01/2004 1:06:52 AM PST by DaughterOfAnIwoJimaVet (Four hours is too long for a Democrat to sit in the Oval Office, let alone four years. Vote W '04)
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To: EternalVigilance
I don't usually unmercifully beatup just anyody.I'm far more selective. :-)
398 posted on 02/01/2004 1:07:31 AM PST by nopardons
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To: Texasforever
"I ridicule many who call themselves the "base" simply because that "base" deserted the GOP when Reagan won his second term in spite of them."

Exactly, and the same thing will happen again.

399 posted on 02/01/2004 1:10:21 AM PST by MJY1288 (VOTE CONSTITUTION PARTY IF YOU WANT A DEMOCRAT)
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To: Texasforever
I agree with you that the people you describe are not 'the base' of the Republican Party.

But you are mistaken if you think that the true base of the GOP is not VERY conservative.

I think you make a huge mistake, and do a disservice to the party and to the President, when you paint 'the right' with such a broad brush.

Fact is, the folks you are talking about are a tiny percentage of the conservative movement.
400 posted on 02/01/2004 1:10:28 AM PST by EternalVigilance
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