Such a projection is too premature.
The natives are restless, their jobs, homes, careers, educations, property, culture, and future come into play here.
A wrong decision in January can make a very big bite in November.
I have been hearing this from you and others at FR for almost a year now. And Bush's approval numbers are about as high as they've ever been since the 9/11 bounce wore off. But yours is also the crowd that predicted NAFTA would take every American job and that Japan was going to conquer America in the late 80s/early 90s. Are you ever right about anything?