Posted on 10/30/2012 11:27:34 AM PDT by 7thson
That’s funny because that is the exact OPPOSITE of what Rasmussen and Gallop have been saying..looks like Sabato is using up his BS meter to make up for the fact that Obama is losing BADLY
Reliable tool of the regime.
My read on Sabato is he’s a fair guy. But his analysis is tainted by the fact that he consumes mostly MSM skewed viewpoints. If you accept all the D+ sample shifted polls from the MSM, then his point of view makes sense. If you look at unskewed polls, it does not. And that is outside of his world view.
Sabato is fair, but definitely looks through a leftward prism.
No reasonable person could not see significant Mitt momentum. He took the lead in most every swing state, with Ohio lagging. blue states were tightening, red states slipping away. The only question in the last two weeks was whether the move to Romney was enough to get Ohio over or a combination of other states like IA, CA, NH, and WI so OH didn’t matter.
I wasn’t aware that Sabato does polling? Is that a new gig he has now besides being a talking head and college professor?
I have a general theory of trustworthiness that applies to Sabato: Never trust an analyst in a toupée.
Usually he’s a straight shooter but he’s been a little puzzling this year, and by puzzling I mean made comments more appropriate for MSM water boys than one who professes to be “neutral.”
Back in Sep he was among the “the election is all-but over.” Also said the debates won’t matter at all. Not sure how a professor of politics says that when they do sometimes matter a great deal... JFK-Nixon, Ford-Carter, Carter-Reagan, Bush-Gore.
Then the Gallup poll came out weeks ago that was D+++ showing Romney up and he totally dissed it in a tweet saying essentially Gallup has been the gold standard in the past but no more.
So I don’t know what data he has that everyone else is missing b/c real life + polls to confirm sure seems like Mittmentum to me.
The first implication is that almost all the polls can be easily subverted by otherwise small groups who all, as a practice, respond to any polls they encounter.
For example the GBLT, feminazi and pro-abortion crowd could easily do this and shift every poll to their candidates and positions.
We will need to find some other way of gauging public sentiment than polling now that nobody has to answer the phone anymore!
He’s a lib.
But the BIG question is?.....
Is Larry SABATO a political Saboteur.?..
I once thought he was fair but in 06 he showed leftist colors when he came out for Webb against Allen.
Right on!! That election is when he lost me also.
He’s a Clintonian center-leftists. He will occasionally toss the right a bone to portray himself as “fair” and “thoughtful”.
He comes across as “fair and balanced”, but in the end, he is a wishy-washy employee of the Commonwealth of Virginia. Too close to DC, and too long in academia to be trusted. A country club moderate at best.
I meant “leftist”, not “leftists”.
for those of us working down ticket, i find that he seems unbiased enough to consult (seems to follow a quasi-historical analysis). but, like all poll pundits, he’s just another data point. for example, he seems to have a much better feeling for walsh and schilling’s races in IL then the other “pundits.” that’s probably because he’s more knowledgeable about us tea partiers then most of them.
go joe walsh (walshforcongress.com). go bobby schilling, too (reelectbobby.com).
several polls that say the same thing however might add up to something...
just remember that the bammey media has had us in a choke hold with "the election is over" and "no, Romney's keeping it close" and "there's no Mitt-mentum"...
we can't win no matter what...
if you haven't donated, do so on line today...if you can volunteer, go for it...and please, please vote and get your mothers and fathers, sisters, brothers, children, church friends, etc to vote too..
Judging by Rasmussen, the momentum has flattened and nothing is moving in 5 point gains over a few days as before. 2 points nationally is margin of error for both candidates. The battleground states are tied essentially, and polling is down for the storm and funky this close to Tuesday.
Mitt wins, if corruption and fraud plans don’t pull even. He has to win by enough to overcome the mafia count too.
Sounds like the guy who thinks he can continue to get these lucrative paid TV appearances by being contrarian and trying to sound smarter than everyone else.
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