Posted on 07/04/2012 1:49:37 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
Meanwhile the Sun is up to some major changes it appears.
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Dr. Lurtz says:
My Explanation:
a) Hydrogen burning occurs on the surface of the Suns Core.
b) Hot Sun [more fusion], Core expands making more H available from the Radiative Zone.
c) When the amount of H becomes less available [near the Core's surface] , the Core starts to shrink [less fusion] and the Sun becomes cooler.
d) Core shrinks until a new equilibrium is found [the Core is growing by fits and leaps -> it is the waste volume for burned H, that is, He].
e) Repeat the process.
Hot Sun [more fusion], massive inflowing H currents. Cool Sun [less fusion]. less inflowing H currents. Hot Sun, the H currents generate massive magnetic fields and produce Sun Spots. Cool Sun, the H currents are less, the magnetic field declines and, possibly, no Sun Spots.
During the Maunder Minimum, the Sun was cool for ~50 years. Faint traces of a 2×180 year cycle in the climate record [?? is there such a thing ??].
Major regime transition -> Sun cooling, core shrinking.
Don't be silly. Al Gore assured me that the sun doesn't affect the earth's temperature, and he's a Nobel Prize winner - the same recognition that Obama himself earned - so he must be right.
Regime change? I’ll gladly wear a few more sweaters if it means Obama is out of office!
On a more serious note - if one looks at the long-term cycles of the interglacial warm periods - we are past due (cycle wise) for another REAL ice age.
More on the 2012 US heat wave not so hot if you look around at other locations
June actually ended up cooler than the normal in BOS (Boston) (-1.25F) and even NYC (Central Park -0.4F) and southeast despite the heat blast the end of the month (-2.0F in Jacksonville). Dulles despite the late month heat wave was SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL (-0.6F) while DCA nearer the White House and Congress was (+1.1F) and Atlanta despite the all time record was just +0.1F.
Here is reality, not MSM fantasy land.
Just got off the phone with my daughter,....she is up in the High Desert just above the Cajon pass and it is Hot up there....) 100+
Rather cool and overcast down here ...75 at the moment.
More from the comments:
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More from the comments:
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And of course the sunspot index is very high right now, and the sun is quite active.
Article is from today but surreally ignores solar data since 2008....
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Leif Svalgaard says:
sean2829 says:
July 4, 2012 at 7:29 am
three questions. First, has the probability between Dalton vs. Maunder type events changed in his opinion for the next few decades, second, what type of evidence does he have beyond the L&P effect to support that probability and third, will there any any peer reviewed publications in the near future to discuss where the sun might be headed?
As the low solar activity predicted by us has come to pass, a small cottage industry [with several 'peer reviewed' papers - for what they are worth] has sprung up about a possible coming Maunder minimum. There is little doubt that at some time in the future a new Grand minimum will be coming our way. Whether it will happen real soon is anybodys guess. At a recent international workshop that I convened this question was central. You can find most of the discussion chronicled in the presentations here: http://ssnworkshop.wikia.com/wiki/1st_ISSI_Workshop
The contribution by Lockwood has more references.
Calculating the number of sunspots is such a crude numeric mrasuremebt, ....but how else can one made guesstimates about what the Sun is doing?
They are predicting 103 on Saturday for my mid Atlantic location. Seems like global cooling is on vacation. Meanwhile I have just started the Atkins Diet, Induction Phase, so I can wear my bikini at the beach soon. It worked before, but I got careless. Wish me luck.
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