[nospinzone]

I am going to predict that Suzie Terrell defeats Mary Landrieu. It's a tough call, and Landrieu will win if she can energize the black community, but a hunch tells me that Terrell is going to pull it out. The Democrats are dying in the South, and I believe that only candidates such as Breaux and Miller are going to be electable. Also, Terrell is copying Saxby Chambliss' recipe for victory in Georgia; going negative on a weak incumbent. The Democrats' weakness in the South is why I believe that Senators like Fritz Hollings, John Edwards and possibly Bob Grham are toast come '04.

What does anyone think of Blanche Lincoln? She rarely makes the news as a "moderate" Democrat the way Miller, Nelson and Breaux do. Think she's vulnerable?

[Jeb08]

Yes, I see her as a more confident Mary Landrieu. Asa Hutchinson and Mike Huckabee will compete for the nomination; I think that Hutchinson is the strongest candidate. Lincoln's carrer ACU rating: 22.

In other news, does anyone sense that the gender gap is closing? Of the 13 women in the Senate, 10 are Democrats and 3 Republicans, but that will change after Elizabeth Dole takes office and Jean Carnahan leaves. A Terrell victory would make it 8-5. Getting rid of Boxer, Lincoln and Murray and replacing them with women could give us the majority among women.