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I'm certain because there's no reason for him to run. Edwards isn't power-hungry. He's president-hungry. He doesn't want to hang out in the Senate.

Under any scenario of how the 2004 race would play out does it make sense for Edwards to be a senator in 2005.

Guinn isn't the only Republican that can beat Reid. Reid barely won in 1996 when the GOP had control of the Senate. Now we'll have a GOP Senate plus a popular Republican president running for re-election.

Guinn isn't the only Republican that can beat Reid. Reid barely won in 1996 when the GOP had control of the Senate. Now we'll have a GOP Senate plus a popular Republican president running for re-election.

That's key. If Bush remains as popular in 04 as he is now he will certainly pull in a lot of close races, including a few we may not otherwise win.

I'm certain because there's no reason for him to run. Edwards isn't power-hungry. He's president-hungry.

But he needs a platform to run from in 2008 if he can't get nominated this time around. I really can't see him as governor (Democrat Gov. "Tax Hike Mike" Easley might not run for reelection in 2004) and he at least relishes the national attention he gets grandstanding on the floor of the senate.

Arkansas: I agree that Asa is probably the most popular politician in the state, but why wouldn't Huckabee vs. Blanche Lincoln be any different from Huckabee vs. Jimmie Lou Fisher? The only reason Tim Hutch. went down was his divorce -- this is a good state for Republicans, especially with Dubya on the ballot.

Alaska: Whoever runs in 2004 will have the support & endorsement of Stevens & Murkowski. I'm confident that Murkowski's appointment will be of enough quality that they can hold the seat even against Tony Knowles. The appointment will be younger, for one thing, ready to build up years and years and years of seniority.

http://www.adn.com/front/story/2144648p-2231440c.html

In California there has been talk of Issa and Ose (I'm not crazy about Bono) as well as Condi Rice and US Treasurer Rosario Marin, a Mexican-born woman who could do wonders for the California GOP demographically even if she lost. I'm a big Chris Cox fan but he seems content in the House; The Terminator will run for governor, even though he's to the left of Richard Riordan on social issues.