2004 Senate Election List

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[The Old Hoosier]

Here's my ridiculously early prediction: Bunning will have no viable opponent, now that the dem KY gov (his expected opponent) and lieut gov will probably be in jail by 2004. Maybe a rematch with Baesler, but that's doubtful, and Bunning can win that anyway. Campbell will win in a landslide, maybe with more than 60%. Gregg may even go unopposed. You're also right about the Alaska seat, but we'll have to see who Murkowski appoints.

Remember: there's also a big six-year itch for 2004. Fitzgerald was the big anomaly in 1998, knocking off Mosely-Braun with 49%, but even he isn't definitely toast. Who's going to knock him off? But for the rest (Edwards, Lincoln, Feingold, Murray, Boxer--Condy Rice, anyone?; Hollings and Miller will retire; Schumer if and only if Giuliani runs), it could be payback time if the economy is smoking in 2004.

If that happens, and no top-notch dem wants to be the sacrificial lamb, it could be a Mondale-Ferraro (maybe Kerry-someone) scenario all over again, and we could win REALLY, REALLY big.

Governorships will also be up for grabs in NC, IN, WV, KY, MO. We'll already have MS next year. It could turn into a rout. Just to save themselves, the dems may beg Gore to go under the knife. And it may not help, either.

Again, it's all going to depend on how Bush does, particularly with putting conservative economic principles into action--cap gains and dividend tax elimination, soc. sec. reform, opening ANWR, downsizing the govt through retirements, and at least one controversial elimination of a whole department.

I expected us to gain in the Senate as early as May 2001, but just remember: anything can happen. I worry most about a disastrous war scenario in which Saddam nukes our troops.

[Norwell]

it could be a Mondale-Ferraro

Gore-Edwards, Gore-Bayh, or least likely Gore-Kerry.<> Let's hope heart attack Cheney steps aside to prevent another palpitation fiasco. Thanks god that happened hours after the election instead of hours before it.

Being from New Hampshire, I can tell you Judd Gregg is probably the most popular elected official in the state. He is a Reagan-Republican who offends nobody and he's the type of guy who is tough to dislike. I wish he'd served in uniform but that is another story. If he has problems it will either be a unique case (ala Hutchinson in Arkansas) or the Republican Ticket will have problems throughout the country.

Jeb Bradley, on the other hand, may have some problems. If he becomes another Christopher Shays, there will be substantial efforts to remove him in the primary. He is a draft-dodging, weak sister and if he starts voting social issues like Barney Frank he will be treated accordingly.

North Carolinians had best start working to replace Edwards now. He is slick and the "Block Vote"--as Jesse used to refer to them--- may be motivated to support him.

Campbell--no problem.

Rudy takes out Schumer.

Fitzgerald will have problems.

If Daschle loses his leadership position there will be no reason to reelect him. In the interim it is time for South Dakotans to put some folks in jail and review/purge their lists of registered voters. It ought to be no easier to vote than to get a drivers license; the fraud is killing the GOP.

[rmac123]

Alot of people have been encouraging Charlie Condon to take on Hollings in 2004. Many of us thought it was a better race for him than the Govs race anyway. From what I understand he is heavily considering it. He told me he didn't want to talk about it until after Nov 5 as he was deeply involved with helping Mark Sanford.

[WFTR]

I've been very impressed with Specter, Collins, and Snowe

These three are idiots. Bill Clinton was guilty of both perjury and obstruction, and they voted to acquit him. They are usually enemies of the unborn child and often enemies of our Second Amendment rights. I'm glad that they vote to let Republicans lead the Senate, but the ideas that they advocate are wrong for the country. If they become the people who shape the direction of the Republican Party, our country will be harmed.

WFTR
Bill

[pbranham]

Any chance the ND governor might take on Dorgan in '04?

[GoldenBear]

Also, watch for McInnis and Scaefer, they both want the job. The wild card in Colorado is Tancredo who, rumor has it, will challenge Campbell in a primary. The RATS do not have a good candidate - Udall will run but he is a Boulder liberal and the attorney general will wait to run for Governor in 2006. The seat is ours to lose.

[GraniteStateConservative]

Condi Rice is the BEST, but I think Mary Bono could be a very strong challenger. Money will not be an issue in 2004.

The GOP only has IL as the lone vulnerable seat-- though Knowles will be a strong challenger in AK. Retirements could hurt us, but we dodged every one of those bullets this year, so 2004 might not be so scary.

If the GOP has even a 50:50 chance of keeping the Senate, fundraising will be very profitable for us. 2004 for us will be all about beating incumbents, whereas the Dems have to keep their seats and beat incumbents.

Also, many Dems will be raising money for presidential bids-- like Kerry. Most money will be going to the nominee. Dem candidates for Congress and the Senate will starve.

[GraniteStateConservative]

The plan is to spend 2003 and 2004 educating Americans everywhere about the need for partial privatization and then run on the issue in 2004 and enact it in 2005.

Some congressmen and senators ran away from it because they knew that many people would vote against them because they believed the lies that the Democrats told.

After two years of talking and explaining, the scare tactics will be totally worthless.

[GraniteStateConservative]

Joe Wilson will win that primary.

[GraniteStateConservative]

Tancredo supported, I bet, the failed English-only bill this past Tuesday. That's probably not a good sign for his challenging someone like Campbell.

Maybe Tancredo and Bob Smith can start a losers club after the election is over in 2004.

[Dutchgirl]

most beatable Dems: Boxer,... Graham.

Graham is going down with the airing of his speech (with Bill Nelson) the morning after the Dem lawyers tried to throw out military ballots including sailors on the Cole. Both of these weenies were wearing sweaters, like Dan Rather used to do, I guess trying to assure their constituents that they were likable guys, hanging around the state capitol like it was Mr. Roger's neighborhood.

As for Boxer...Condi could beat her...and running from CA she would be formidable against Hitlery.

[nospinzone]

Graham is going down with the airing of his speech (with Bill Nelson) the morning after the Dem lawyers tried to throw out military ballots including sailors on the Cole. Both of these weenies were wearing sweaters, like Dan Rather used to do, I guess trying to assure their constituents that they were likable guys, hanging around the state capitol like it was Mr. Roger's neighborhood.

So I take it Senator Graham may be on the outs this 2004? He's been in there for a while, think someone in Florida can take him? (And for that matter, how did Bill Nelson get in?)

[Dutchgirl]

I think Nelson got in when the networks called the race before the polls closed in the pan handle. The further north you go in Florida, the more conservative it becomes. Alot of people, driving home form work to the polls, heard that the race was over and did not vote...Bush's win would have been much larger except for this issue. Oddly enough, Katherine Harris sent a letter to all the networks before the 2000 elections,reminding them of the time zone issue. It was very close between Nelson and McCullom- a popular House impeachment manager.

Graham was more like Zell Miller as a Gov., but his years in DC have changed him. As head of the intel committee, many people here hold him directly accountable for the intel failures of 911, and his participation in the stark partisanship in the senate has left alot of Floridians with a bad taste in their mouths. Nelson on the Armed Services committee is a joke- following his antics in the sweater speech with Graham.

Who to replace Graham? In Jax, Mayor John Delaney, former Dem, now a Rep, Catholic, pro life, actually did something about drainage (a huge issue in a town that floods at high tide) ran unopposed in last elections, retiring due to term limits. Also, former Congresswoman Tillie Fowler- came in with the 94 revolution, honored her term limit pledge, theerby retaining her popularity.

Jeb's running mate Frank Brogan would have some support. Several cities have new republican mayors that are black or hispanic, a sure draw for independent and dem crossover votes. It will be interesting to see how it shakes out in 04.

[ACAC]

Doug Ose is another possibility. I hear he is somewhat wealthy. He could not entirely self-fund, but he could pump a few million into his own campaign.

[GraniteStateConservative]

The GOP will be rolling in the dough in 2004. It doesn't matter how wealthy a candidate is-- only that they can beat Boxer.

[BushRep]

The good thing is that Bush will be running the show for California Republicans in 2004.

My advice to the GOP Senate candidate is say what Bush says, go where Bush says, do what Bush says.

You can't lose if you listen to Karl Rove and George W. Bush.

Anyone care to buy to buy some mountains next to Rushmore where we could put up statues of Reagan and Dubya. Maybe their images can overlook the house to which Daschle retires in 2005.

[BushRep]

Besides, Democrats have to do some real image changes, and it is hard when you are not in the majority.

[Fledermaus]

I doubt Hollings would even run.

[Fledermaus]

I think Nelson got in when the networks called the race before the polls closed in the pan handle. The further north you go in Florida, the more conservative it becomes. Alot of people, driving home form work to the polls, heard that the race was over and did not vote...Bush's win would have been much larger except for this issue.

I've said this before and will say it again...I don't believe this bit of urban legend.

First, any half smart conservative would know when the polls closed. Second, given the importance of 2000, I can't believe any decent conservative who wanted to vote would turn around and go home, or leave the line at the polls, or whatever...just because they heard something on the news. They wouldn't care or know it's just typical liberal press fodder.

But if it's actually true, then these voters are as stupid as anyone who couldn't poke a hole in a piece of paper or follow a direct line from their candidate to the hole to punch.

Both my state Senator and state Representative were unopposed in 2002...but I voted for them anyway. Anyone who would not go vote based on a stupid news story would think, "oh, their unopposed, why bother to vote for them?"

[Dutchgirl]

First, any half smart conservative would know when the polls closed

The issue is not when they closed, the issue is that it was called for Nelson before they closed. Ask Californians if this suppresses the vote. Some of the testimony before Judge Sauls was on this issue.

If you think all Reps are "informed" voters, I have some oceanfront property in Tallahassee you might be interested in. While we don't round up the homeless and give them cigaretes to vote for our party, we do have folks who get their automated reminder calls from Dubya and his Mom and are just thrilled. Whatever floats your boat...when races are as close as 500 votes across a state.