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Posted on 03/26/2026 12:38:59 PM PDT by CondoleezzaProtege
The claim that an uprising in Iran can be "ignited" through external action sounds dramatic, but it is equally misleading. An uprising is not an event that can be manufactured from the outside, certainly not at the push of a button. Anyone familiar with how intelligence organizations operate knows that uprisings are not created but identified, amplified and at times guided...
The first stage is diagnosis: identifying points of frustration, feelings of humiliation, loss of meaning and the gap between the official narrative and reality. This is a quiet, almost invisible stage, but a critical one. Without a precise understanding of the sources of pain, there is nothing to build on.
The second stage is penetration of human networks, not in the romantic sense of spy films, but through building relationships, channels of influence and familiarity with internal dynamics. This does not necessarily mean recruiting an "agent," but rather developing the ability to influence existing groups from within.
The third stage is cognitive, and this is where the real work begins: not convincing people to take to the streets, but helping them understand they are not alone. An uprising occurs when one person realizes there are 10 others who think the same way, and when those 10 realize there are already 100. At the same time, an alternative narrative is required. Not one imported from outside that sounds foreign, but one rooted in local identity: not "rebellion" but "salvation," not "collapse" but "repair." Without such a narrative, even deep frustration does not translate into action.
Yet even when all these conditions are met, there is no certainty. Above all hovers one factor: fear.
(Excerpt) Read more at israelhayom.com ...
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There won’t be an uprising because they would all be shot.
The fear factor is very high. The mullahs have already killed between 25,000 and 50,000 protesters.
Someone with the will and ability to affect a revolution also has the will and ability to pick up and leave.
And the ones most likely to lead such an uprising have already been shot.
There wouldn’t have been thousands of people shot in the streets during protests if elements of the population had not already made many of the connections discussed in this article.
We know there has been some effort by Israel to eliminate the Iranian forces that would put down street demonstrators.
No idea how successful that has been or if the demonstrators will have the wherewithal to make a successful go of it.
They have a militia called the Immortal Guard that is armed up and waiting to go into the street and track down what’s left of the IRGC after Trump gets finished with the military op.
We shall see. The IRGC and Badij are being targeted. There’s a reason why they’re recruiting 12 year-old now.
When they are practically eliminated then things will change.
The vaunted “Israeli Mossad intel” promulgated the belief
that Israeli-US operations would lead to a “mass uprising”
Huh?
With spears and shovels as “Iranian weapons,” why would
anyone anyone believe there could be a “mass uprising.”
>When they are practically eliminated then things will change.
Both the Basij and IRGC know that once they’re out of power, it’s rope necklace time for all of them.
1. Armed citizens......
4th condition:
Your comment in past tense.
Excellent question .
The Saudis perhaps .
The move could cement Tehran’s de facto chokehold over the crucial
waterway and formalize its ability to keep its own oil flowing to China.
Traffic has fallen by 90% since the Israeli-US operations, "sending global oil prices skyrocketing," inflicting alarming shortages on those that get oil from Persian Gulf countries via the Strait.
Hey Liz I could start dating Sydney Sweeney. Could maybe might
We need to be arming the citizenry. Hopefully, that is being stealthily done now.
Bullshart. This psycobabble is pure bovine excrement
What we should do is airdrop a million rifles and pistols with ammo all over that shizhole nation. Let the average citizen there deal with the mullahs.
Can not be emphasized enough.
There is also a paradox or dilemma for the Iranians who rightly hate the current regime and their goons. The Iranian people are patriotic and love their county. Right now it is under attack and being humiliated by Israel and the United States. While they may hate the regime and wish it would end, right now that regime is fighting Iran’s attackers. Coming out and actively supporting the attackers is emotionally tricky.
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