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Posted on 03/25/2026 9:13:19 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
A Democratic victory in a state special election in President Donald Trump’s backyard is the latest sign that Democrats are on track to take back the House of Representatives in November, according to CNN’s resident data guru.
Donald Trump, Emily Gregory Democrat Emily Gregory beat Republican Jon Maples 51 percent to 49 percent to represent parts of West Palm Beach—including Trump’s private Mar-a-Lago estate—in the Florida state House.
(Excerpt) Read more at thedailybeast.com ...
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Time for Republicans to get off their asses and out of the livestock auction lines in the airports and start voting again. The RATS are stealing the seats one election at a time.
Guru….? Lol. Are you a guru when you are almost always wrong. Or does it really only matter that someone calls you guru to make you one? Like the Maestro.
Oh, no it’s a major change from a county that voted for Kamala!
Oh, wait. That’s the same.
No, it’s a change!
Er, how? Kamala was a Democrat, too.
It doesn’t matter! DISASTER! DOOM!
Except the Democrat did not go TDS…it was the standard “can’t we all get along” crap she ran on.
What a joke. A puny Florida district, a state office, in a liberal section of Palm Beach....the GOP is destroying the Democrats in Florida.
Stop clutching your pearls and do your homework.
Right, while other elections showed flips to red, this one and this one alone is all that matters, this is the one that we must believe changes everything.
Just another day, just another piece of narrative driven propaganda media story.
Didn’t the Republicans flip a couple of long held rat seats in that area recently?
I remember when they, “discovered” Obama— he went to a Home of some wealthy man and gave a speech and in the background was George Soros/Schwartz smiling. They always pick their., “rising star.”
for the life of me, I can’t think of anyone that they are really trying to hype right now. Newsome is toxic so I dunno. They can’t run Kamala again. I guess they’re going to wait till the last minute.
It’s not pearl clutching. My buddy in Dunedin Florida says there are tons of NY’ers who have moved in and they are already spewing their liberal BS at the Cigar rooms and bars that he attends. The voting electorate is gonna change, that’s a given. Now its just how much is it gonna swing to the left?
oh of course. A lot of New Yorkers and Californians fled their failing states for Florida. Definitely.
Everybody overplays special election results... EVERYONE.
It is not remotely unusual for the minority party to overperform in special elections..
Both parties pundits do this, and rarely are special elections are rarely bellweathers of anything...
The question is simple, and its the same question that has existed for a long time now, is will the MAGA voters show up when he’s not on the ballot.
MAGA is not the GOP, there is overlap, but if the GOP has yet to show by and large they can motivate the Trump base as a whole.
If the MAGA base shows up the Democrats will be blunted, if they don’t they will have a better night.
We shall see how it goes, I think Trump’s planned midterm convention will be interesting to see what happens with it... and if Trump will be hard campaigning and rallying for congressional candidates across the country in the fall.
Special elections rarely are tea leaves for anything, usually the out of power party tends to over perform, but reading that into its an indicator for the next major election is a claim that both sides make when they win them, but rarely does it play out that way.
Republicans are terrible about getting people out to vote in special elections.
Why post this tripe in here???
And Minority Republican is twinkle-toe elated that his homies at CNN published this crap
Well said.
Democrats flipped 9 seats in state legislative special elections
under Trump; Republicans are at zero........ as of March 4
Since the start of 2025, Democrats have racked up wins in special elections for state legislative seats, giving the party hope for the midterm elections.
NBCUniversal Profile
March 4, 2026, 10:03 AM PST / Updated March 4, 2026
Democrat Alex Holladay prevailed in a special election on Tuesday for a state legislative seat in Arkansas, marking the ninth time since President Donald Trump took office last year that the party has flipped control of a state legislative seat in a special election. In that same time, Republicans have not flipped a single state seat controlled by Democrats.
Holladay, a health care administrator, defeated Republican businessman Bo Renshaw in a race to replace state Rep. Carlton Wing, a Republican who defeated Holladay by 2 points in 2024. Arkansas’ 70th District is just north of Little Rock. In a statement, Holladay said he learned a lot from his previous loss.
“Mainly, it taught us that North Little Rock and Sherwood are primed for change,” he said. “Thousands of people told us that year that they were sick and tired of single-party GOP rule in Arkansas … The People are ready to hold our state’s leaders accountable, and that’s what this election was about.”
Holladay’s victory came after Democrats, since the start of 2025, have flipped Republican-held seats in special elections in Iowa, Pennsylvania, Mississippi, Georgia and Texas. When adding in the flips from last fall’s off-year elections in New Jersey and Virginia, Democrats have flipped 27 total seats controlled by Republicans, while Republicans are still searching for their first flip, according to data compiled by the The Downballot.
Democrats say the trend portends well for them ahead of this year’s midterm elections, particularly as they have exceeded expectations in off-cycle contests while Republican turnout has proven strongest in presidential years. This is at least in part due to the Democratic coalition being increasingly made up of high-engagement, high-propensity voters, while Republicans have become the coalition of the less engaged.
That dynamic has had Republicans searching for answers on how to get their coalition to the polls without Trump on the ballot, a problem they’ve been trying to solve for years.
The elections have also come as polling has shown voters expressing dismay or skepticism with Trump’s handling of the economy and foreign affairs.
snip
One thing to note: At this time in 2026, the Generic Ballot was at7.8. Right now it is about 2.8.
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