Did you have an estimate for how long 22% is accurate. A 300K bpd refinery is due online in about 10 days, after damage about 8 days ago.
The 22% I see talked about is cumulative since . . . the first time a drone hit a refinery with its 5 lbs of explosives and set a fire. Just how long do people think it takes to turn a valve off, replace a crude tank and relight the natural gas burners under the tank.
This is a task of a few weeks, and when it comes back online, that % calculation has to reverse.
Oh and btw, Russian refinery capacity is 5.6 mbpd.
Russian domestic consumption of oil is 3.6 mbpd. That’s rather a lot of cushion, yes?