CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
UPCOMING -
- 5-day national economic and labor boycott for 16-20 September
- No Kings 2.0, 18 October 2025
***
Weekend outlook - No significant protest events by the left, only localized marches/protests with low probability of violence. Leftist may attempt to disrupt any Charlie Kirk memorials this weekend, so the possibility of localized violence there could be high.
***
Trying to organize my thoughts on this. Sorry if in some ways it appears to be some muddled meanderings.
Trump this morning says they have captured Kirk’s shooter. I hope and pray this is so, but will wait for an official announcement.
Continuing on with Kirk’s assassination, social media the past couple days was flooded by leftists dancing on his grave, in many instances pronouncing vile gloats over his death and calls for more. Well, push back has been fast and furious as it appears that at least over 100 of these vile individuals have been quickly identified, their employers notified and are now on the unemployment lines.
Multiple social media sites have been allowing these grotesque death cheers and calls for more. One in particular - Bluesky posters threaten Trump, Elon Musk, Ben Shapiro, immediately after Charlie Kirk’s assassination, sick images
A slew of deranged users on Bluesky sent a barrage of threats to prominent Republicans and outspoken media personalities immediately after conservative activist Charlie Kirk was assassinated Wednesday.
Posters called for Tesla tycoon Elon Musk, conservative podcasters Ben Shapiro, Matt Walsh and Michael Knowles, as well as “Harry Potter” author J.K. Rowling, to be “next” in the hours after Kirk, 31, was pronounced dead, according to screenshots shared by one user.
As yesterday progressed, some of these worms moved their posts and even apologized. However, the damage was done and the avengers on the right had already captured their posts. A central hub of this activity is a website called Charlie’s Murderers, which was registered in the early evening on the day Kirk was shot and is revealing certain personal information, such as social media usernames and email addresses, of individuals the operators believe were celebrating the horrific murder.
Leftist ‘cancel culture’ has come back to bite them on the butt.
In one instance, a memorial service in Boise was interrupted by a heckler shouting F* Kirk. A number took offense at his intrusion and beat the snot out of him.
UPDATE ON THE SEARCH FOR THE SHOOTER
Trump said this morning they got the shooter. Hope so.
CBS Evening News reported last night that three law enforcement sources confirm the FBI and Utah DPS have identified the UVU person of interest in the Charlie Kirk shooting.
Yesterday, police released excellent photos of the shooter. He was wearing very distinctive clothing. Police also found the weapon - a Mauser 30.06 bolt action hunting rifle with an expended round in the chamber and a couple other rounds (internal magazine?) Ammunition found in the rifle believed to have been used in the fatal shooting of conservative activist Charlie Kirk was reportedly engraved with slogans linked to transgender and antifascist ideology. Ngo notes the significance -
“We don’t yet know what the trans and Antifa engravings are on the rifle cartridges believed to have been used with the gun to assassinate Charlie Kirk, but if they are a “series of arrows,” as CNN reports, it may be Antifa’s signature “Iron Front” logo, or the trans symbol, or something else.”
“The three-arrow symbol serves as a dog whistle in graffiti, banners, and social media posts, indicating that the person who displays it is part of Antifa or supports its violent goals.”
https://x.com/mrandyngo/status/1966329489975038044?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
If this is verified, there could be a multi pronged blowback against the Trans and Antifa movements. This could finally bring the violent left under critical scrutiny and away from the false right wing domestic terror “narrative” the left has been foisting since 0bama.
OTHER FALLOUT -
Now that some of the dust has settled, some on the left have realized the monster they have awakened, and are getting scared. Slate is a left-wing site which explains why part of their reaction to Charlie Kirk’s murder is an article suggesting the right’s response to it looks “ominous.”
On the broader political front, politicians from both sides are reassessing their public appearances and schedules with a greater level of security in mind. Leftist firebrands like AOC especially.
Turley notes in a podcast thé Trump’s address to the nation eulogizing Kirk that he is letting loose the govt to stamp our the “terrorist left”. If followed thru, this would place individuals and organizations under the microscope and possible arrest / prosecution. See his words here from FR post
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4339772/posts
The left has opened the door to political violence that may or may not expand as we get closer to the 2026 midterms. The massive amount of glee from the left over the murder is ominous in indicating support for future attacks. On the right, anger is rising as well, though I don’t think it has reached the action kinetic level - yet. Liberal politicians and media mouthpieces on the left have been exposed and in some manner placed on notice.
I am not convinced that the genie will be able to be put back into the bottle. The bloodlust from the left is still too strong and they are close to turning the “on” switch to equal violent measures from the right. As I noted yesterday, the left feels “empowered” and we will likely see more of this. The CW2 meter moves upward, not by mass demonstrations, but by smaller, terror assignation attempts and even potentially select mass casualty events driven by the left.
***
Yesterday a bomb threat was made at the Headquarters of the Democratic National Committee (DNC) in Washington, D.C. and was determined to not be credible, according to a Spokesperson for the DNC.
Terrorism - Threat Level - WATCH as of Jun 14, 2025
- Iran could activate cells in the US.
Behind the scenes of Trump’s appearance at the Yankee’s game last night, the Secret Service and NYPD Counterterrorism Task Force were searching for a suspect who made credible threats against the President. FDNY and NYPD have issued alerts, and security at Yankee Stadium has been tightened. Trump’s schedule reportedly remained unchanged, according to the White House.
Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025
Consumer prices rose 2.9% in August from a year earlier, the Labor Department said Tuesday, up from 2.7% the previous month and the biggest increase since January. Excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core prices rose 3.1%, the same as in July. Both figures are above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
This remains below 3% for the past 6 months.
OBSERVATION - The fed’s 2% goal is no longer realistic without total destruction of the economy at this stage. Pundits are trying to link the slight rise to tariffs coming into effect, but the correlation is very weak. The markets are expecting the combination of low inflation and poor jobs market to force the fed to lower rates, but I don’t see it dropping more than a quarter point.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Ripples from Kirk’s assassination are shining a light on leftist democrats persistent and vocal calls for political violence.
TRUMP Watch –
Yankees stadium broke out into cheers of USA when Trump’s presence was announced.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Mostly fair with temps the 50-70 range
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russia launched 40 Shahed-type drones overnight, - Ukrainian air forces
Russian losses per 12/09/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+890 men
+1 tank
+2 AFVs
+40 artillery
+2 MLRS
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Novopetrovskoye(Ternove) village of Dnipropetrovsk region of Ukraine
Ukrainian drones attacked oil port Primorsk in Leningrad region of Russia, as well as several oil pumping stations supplying Ust-Luga port
According to Russian sources, over 115 Ukrainian drones have crossed the border into Bryansk region, mostly moving east and north. Many explosions are heard in the Smolensk region already.
Russian monitoring channels now report a UAV threat in occupied Kherson/Crimea as well. Drones are reportedly moving towards the Arabat Spit and Dhzankoi.
Analysis and Future Operations —
Another low Russia drone night, following the pattern they’ve using the past several months. Apart from some minor gains, Russia continues to be pretty much stuck. No indicators of an imminent offensive other than troop redeployments.
Ceasefire/peace negotiations are dead in the water - again.
Belarus -
“Zapad 2025” kicks off today.
Poland –
Poland rejects President Trump’s suggestion that Russia’s drone raid “could have been a mistake.”
An extraordinary meeting of the UN Security Council on Russian drones incursion will be held on Friday at 9 p.m. Polish time (3 p.m. local time), Krzysztof Szczerski, Poland’s Permanent Representative to the UN
Poland has deployed 40,000 soldiers along its border with Belarus and Russia’s Kaliningrad enclave.
Today, a massive joint military exercise of the Russian and Belarusian armies, “Zapad 2025,” will begin, simulating the conquest of Poland with tens of thousands of soldiers and nuclear missiles.
NOTE - Russia conducted a similar exercise prior to the invasion of Ukraine.
Poland shut its border with Belarus at midnight, setting up barbed wire and barricades, halting all crossings. Meanwhile, Belarus claims its checkpoints will continue to operate as usual.
Europe / NATO General –
The EU has summoned the envoys of Russia and Belarus in Brussels to protest over the “intentional and dangerous” Russian drone intrusion into Poland, an EU official said Friday
Russia’s actions and Belarus’s connivance in the use of its airspace pose a direct threat to the security of all countries in the region - joint statement by the Foreign Ministries of Lithuania, Poland and Ukraine
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Sept 22 - UN talks on the establishment of a Palestinian State.
Key overnight developments -
- Gaza City continues to be hammered
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Israel will continue its pursuit of Hamas’ top leadership, even after the seemingly failed attempt to kill them in a strike on Qatar, Jerusalem’s ambassador to the United States said Tuesday night. “If we didn’t get them this time, we’ll get them the next time,” Ambassador Yechiel Leiter told Fox News. He acknowledged Israel might face criticism but added, “They’ll get over it. And Israel is being changed for the better.”
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Israeli Ambassador Danny Danon to the UN:
“For too long, Qatar has harboured terrorists in luxury hotels, while they orchestrate massacres... There will be no sanctuary for terrorists!”
***
Israel has agreed to an Egyptian request for an airdrop of aid today
***
Gaza City continues to get hammered as IDF forces progressively take away Hamas controlled sectors.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Upcoming date - Sep 22 UN conference on a Palestinian state.
***
Emirati official: The UAE condemns Netanyahu’s “hostile statements” against Qatar and stresses that any attack on a Gulf state is an attack on the Gulf security system.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Israel’s strike has caused Qatar to come unglued to a degree. They thought their status would protect them, but the revelation that the highest political leadership of Hamas was hiding there under their protection has broken that veneer.
Gaza continues to fall to the Israeli onslaught. Hamas is unable to muster an effective ground defense nor rally its supporters in the international community.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
Explosion reported in the city of Khorramabad.
Persian Telegram channels claim Sardar Aladin, a senior Basij commander in the IRGC, has been eliminated.
OBSERVATION - The Basij is a paramilitary volunteer militia within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and one of its five branches. They are the brutal enforcers of Islamic laws under the mullahs and are widely hated. So Mossad involvement isn’t a given.
Lebanon -
UNIFIL Spokesperson: We are assisting the Lebanese Army in extending its control over areas in southern Lebanon and ensuring the safe return of residents to their villages.
Syria -
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 25, 2025
Over the past several days, Israel has broken up Iranian / Hezbollah teams in S Syria who apparently were trying to establish covert bases from which to strike Israel from.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
UPCOMING -
- 5-day national economic and labor boycott for 16-20 September
- No Kings 2.0, 18 October 2025
***
Weekend outlook - No significant protest events by the left, only localized marches/protests with low probability of violence. Leftist may attempt to disrupt any Charlie Kirk memorials this weekend, so the possibility of localized violence there could be high.
***
More of just letting my thought flow, sorry
The nation is still tender from the murder of Kirk.
Yesterday, the Kirk’s killer was captured. His dad recognized his photos and ‘convinced’ him to turn himself in.
What do we know about him?
Tyler Robinson is apparently an Antifa affiliate and was allegedly involved in multiple Antifa Discord servers. He wrote on one bullet casing: Hey Fascist! Catch!
Ngo notes “Rifle cartridges from the Charlie Kirk assassination are confirmed marked with Antifa phrases, including lyrics from the Antifa song, “Bella Ciao.” In 2019, Antifa gunman Willem van Spronsen also ended his ICE attack manifesto with the same song.
https://x.com/MrAndyNgo/status/1966518213803479117
High school acquaintances noted he was a “Reddit Leftist” (Note, Reddit is a cesspool of violent leftists). Another friend said he was left-wing on all issues and he became extreme on politics.
There are rumors that those he interacted with on Discord may have been tipped off to his plans. Developing.
Leftists are struggling to try to flip the story. They are now lying to convince people that his alleged killer was a Trump-voting conservative dude. This is being done by publishing altered photos and grossly twisting evidence against him to flat out lying.
Hate posts celebrating Kirk’s death continue to promulgate across social media sites. What is scary is the length and breadth of the left that are posting these things. One category these are being seen are from educators from K - College. In some ways not surprising given the hard leftist bent of the field. Others coming from the medical community, law enforcement, other first responders, military, and govt employees. One would consider these to be more respectful categories, but they are every bit as vile as the soy infused younger leftists on the net.
The good news is that when exposed to their employers, these individuals are increasingly finding themselves on the unemployment lines. Actions have consequences and the weight of Kirks murder is very much front burner to employers.
The terror listing from the left hasn’t ended. Renewed calls to kill individuals like Joe Rogan, Harry Potter author JK Rowling, conservative political commentators Ben Shapiro and Matt Walsh, among others. As I noted yesterday, these radicals are feeing empowered by this murder to want to commit more.
Besides efforts to doxx these leftists, it seems the murder has opened the gates for Trump to move against the core supporting elements.
“My administration will find each and every one of those who contributed to this atrocity and to other political violence, including the organizations that fund it and support it,” President Donald Trump said during an address yesterday, in response to the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk.
This is a likely indicator the Trump administration will accelerate efforts to target far left groups and financiers. Trump could use federal Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organization (RICO) laws to target far left and progressive nonprofits that are linked to far left activism more broadly. The Trump administration may also order a shift of federal law enforcement priority toward far left activist groups, especially groups that have links to recent violence targeting federal agencies. Kirk’s murder has opened these avenues full. RICO will strike at the heart of their funding.
WHERE DO WE SIT NOW?
We are still early in a potential cycle of escalation by both the right and the left. A very early example was the riots at Berkeley CA back in 2016(?) where we saw the rise of “Based Stick Man” as conservative elements formed up to counter violence by Antifa leftists who were attacking conservative groups/meetings on campus. They drove Antifa off campus and forced the city into executing a ceasefire.
However, todays situation has gone far beyond that. Elements on the right are mad, very mad and organization to fight fire with fire if need be are being made. Should the left continue to move forward with an assassination plan on others, I think that doxxing of leftists would be their least concern.
We seem to be at a phase change in a CW2 / Gorilla war cycle. Three phases
1 Organization and consolidation
2 Progressive expansion <=== This is where I believe we have transitioned to.
3 Decisive phase - open CW
I believe the left is pushing hard the assassination option since they have been unable to muster larger support via the numerous national protests. They are now more desperate and summoning all their ability to radicalize people over the internet. They don’t have the support for another round of Floyd scale riots, but have support for assassination operations.
Robinson is a prime example - raised in a deep red family, radicalized via Reddit and Discord activists. There are thousands more like him roaming around with a short fuse to go violent.
***
(FO) Ezra Levin, the co-executive director of Indivisible, the country’s largest protest organizing group, said that direct pressure campaigns against the Supreme Court to oppose President Trump “won’t be very effective.”
Levin characterized the Supreme Court as empowering Trump’s “fascism,” adding that court reform is unlikely until Democrats can retake political power, which will be 2029 at the earliest.
OBSERVATION - Note the continuing use of the term “fascist” - deliberately setting up a form of dehumanization of the right / Trump supporters that would give them a self declared moral authority for tyrannical crackdowns on the right.
***
(FO) President Donald Trump said the administration will deploy National Guard troops and federal agencies into Memphis, TN. “We’re gonna straighten out the crime of these cities,” Trump added.
OBSERVATION - The list of cities being considered for federal law enforcement actions continues to grow. Get too many going at once and there will be far too few resources spread out over too many cities. This would be something the violent Antifa affiliated left could exploit.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
More than two dozen aircraft from the U.S., Japan and U.K. conducted tactical air exercises Thursday over waters east of Okinawa, Japan, as the security environment in the region grows “increasingly severe,” military officials said.
“This trilateral exercise reaffirms the strong intention among Japan, U.S. and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland (U.K.) not to tolerate unilateral changes to the status quo by force,” Japan’s Joint Staff Office (JSO) said in a Friday news release.
A total of 26 aircraft took part in the trilateral air drills, according to the release.
The bulk of aircraft were from the U.S. Air Force. The service fielded two F-35A Lightning II fighters, four F-15E Strike Eagle fighters, an E-3 Sentry Airborne Early Warning and Control (AEWC) aircraft, three KC-135 Stratotanker tanker aircraft, an RC-135 Rivet Joint reconnaissance aircraft and a HC-130 search and rescue aircraft.
***
The U.S. Air Force partnered with Norwegian allies to test next-generation precision maritime strike capabilities Sept. 3 in the Norwegian Sea.
In partnership with Royal Norwegian Air Force F-35s and personnel, the U.S. Air Force’s 53rd Wing integrated a U.S. B-2 Spirit stealth bomber into a long-range strike scenario employing the Air Force Research Laboratory’s QUICKSINK maritime weapon, demonstrating seamless cooperation and interoperability to defeat a surface vessel in a realistic setting.
“This test is a clear example of how we work with trusted allies to bring new capabilities into play faster and smarter,” said Col. Scott Gunn, 53rd Wing commander. “We’re not just preparing for tomorrow; we’re shaping it together.”
The B-2 played a central role, employing precision-guided QUICKSINK munitions to engage and sink the maritime target. In addition to testing the munition’s capabilities, the mission also validated the aircraft’s enduring advantages, including its stealth, range, and payload flexibility, while reinforcing its evolving role in maritime strike.
OBSERVATION - This is notable development in that the B2 / B21 are being looked at in other roles rather than a strategic bomber. This is similar to the B52’s multirole capabilities, with examples of buffs on station over Afghanistan a decade ago loaded with conventional guided bombs orbiting at high altitudes providing air support to ground elements. Lots of bombs, quick response.
Illegal Immigration –
A federal appeals court ruled Friday that the Trump administration can end legal protections for 430,000 migrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua and Venezuela.
The ruling by a three-judge panel of the 1st U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals is the latest twist in a legal fight over Biden-era policies that created new and expanded pathways for people to live in the United States, generally for two years with work authorization.
China -
China’s newest aircraft carrier and the country’s first to integrate an electromagnetic aircraft launching system was spotted for the first time Thursday sailing toward the Taiwan Strait, Japanese officials said.
People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) carrier Fujian (018), which has not yet been commissioned, sailed southwest in the East China Sea around 124 miles northwest of Uotsuri Island, according to Japan’s Joint Staff Office (JSO). The carrier was accompanied by two destroyers, CNS Hangzhou (136) and CNS Jinan (152). A Japanese P-3C Orion Maritime Patrol Aircraft surveilled the group.
Imagery released by the JSO showed the carrier with a clean flight deck bereft of any aircraft, helicopters and aircraft support vehicles.
Fujian was observed leaving Jiangnan Shipyard in Shanghai on Wednesday. The Type 003 aircraft carrier was undergoing maintenance at the facility following the completion of its eighth sea trial in May. Fujian began sea trials in May 2024.
https://news.usni.org/2025/09/11/chinas-newest-aircraft-carrier-sails-toward-taiwan-strait
OBSERVATION - This carrier is a marked improvement in China’s carrier forces. Earlier vessels were of the ‘ski jump’ kind and didn’t have a launching system. This limited the payload of the launched fighters. This carrier looks very similar to US carriers in layout as well ,though I think slightly smaller. Nonnuclear powered, so some of its endurance is limited at sea, it is ideal for force projection for the anticipated blockade effort against Taiwan.
Japan –
(FO) The Japanese government announced on Wednesday that it will shut down all of its economic centers in Russia due to strained relations. The centers were established in 1994 “to train personnel involved in economic ties between the two countries.” Japan made Russia aware of the decision on 27 August per the Japanese Foreign Ministry.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
President Donald Trump on Friday said his patience with Russian President Vladimir Putin was running out.
“It’s sort of running out and running out fast,” Trump said in an interview with Fox News’ “Fox and Friends” program.
https://www.newsmax.com/politics/trump-puting-russia/2025/09/12/id/1226176/
OBSERVATION - Every day that Trump delays imposition of stronger sanctions and tariffs, putin gets bolder in his push to subjugate Ukraine via a military option.
Economic Impact –
The EU Council has extended sanctions against Russia for another six months, until March 15, 2026. The measures apply to over 2,500 individuals and entities, including asset freezes, travel bans, and restrictions on providing funds.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Mostly fair with temps the 50-70 range
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russia launched 164 Shahed-type drones and 1 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missile overnight, - Ukrainian air forces
Russian losses per 13/09/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+950 men
+4 tanks
+1 AFV
+39 artillery
+1 MLRS
Ukraine’s electronic warfare systems have become more effective against Russian Kinzhal missiles, making hits less frequent, Suspilne reports citing General Staff sources. Faster missiles are more vulnerable to jamming, officials explained. Russia has already lost at least $1.5B countering EW, forced to equip bombs and Shaheds with costly CRPA antennas worth $10–17K each.
Analysis and Future Operations —
Another low drone night. Ground ops continues at a slog for Russia but they continue to apparently minimize their losses from highs earlier this year.
Still watching for indicators of when and where Russia will launch its fall offensive.
Belarus -
“Zapad 2025” ongoing.
Poland –
”We urge Warsaw to consider the consequences that such a destructive step would imply and try to review its decision as soon as possible”, says Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zacharova in a statement.
Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced on Tuesday that Poland intends to close the border with Belarus from midnight on September 12, as a response to an upcoming military exercise between the allied Russia and Belarus to be held on September 12-16.
Zacharova says that the decision was made to ”justify a policy that further escalates tensions in Central Europe”.
Poland, Lithuania and Latvia, on NATO’s eastern flank, are on high alert ahead of the extensive military exercise. According to Tusk, among other things, an occupation of the strategically important Suwalki Corridor – a strip of land in northeastern Poland and southern Lithuania – will be simulated during the exercise.
https://swedenherald.com/article/russia-cautions-poland-on-belarus-border-closure-consequences
Europe / NATO General –
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte announced today that in response to the recent intrusion of several dozen Russian one-way attack drones into Poland, NATO would be launching Operation “Eastern Sentry” across NATO’s Eastern Front. The goal of the operation will be to strengthen the alliance’s defensive posture in Poland and the Baltics, with several members already announcing the deployment of military assets in support of Eastern Sentry, including Denmark who announced it would send two F-16s and an anti-air warfare frigate, France who will send three Rafales, and Germany who will contribute four Eurofighter Typhoons, with additional assets expected to be announced in the coming days and weeks by other allies in NATO
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Sept 22 - UN talks on the establishment of a Palestinian State.
Key overnight developments -
- More strikes taking down towers in Gaza City
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
The Israeli army bombed and destroyed the Al-Nour Tower in Gaza City after warning its residents and those around it to evacuate.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
During the night, a missile launched from Yemen by the Houthis triggered alarms in the Tel Aviv area. The missile was intercepted
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Upcoming date - Sep 22 UN conference on a Palestinian state.
***
UN General Assembly overwhelmingly backs two-state solution and creation of an independent Palestinian state: 142 in favor, 12 abstained, 10 opposed, including the US, Hungary, and Argentina
Egypt has decided to reduce security coordination with Israel “until further notice” after the Doha attack. According to Al-Arabiya, Cairo will “re-arrange security communications” with Israel as part of its steps
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Hostage release / ceasefire talks are still dead in the water. Israel continues on with original plan.
The uncivilized world pressing forward on a ‘two state’ solution - a solution Israel has flat out rejected. Gaza was a porto-two state test run, and we all can see how that has turned out.
Egypt’s aggressiveness opposite of Gaza is indicative of just how much they fear the radicals elements in the population. This same group attempted to overthrow the Egyptian govt in addition to fomenting more recently rebellion of tribes in the Sinai. The military will forcefully drive Gazans back should they breach the massive wall Egypt built to keep them in.
There is nothing on the current radar to slow or limit Israel’s ground operations. Just a methodological flow to take out Hamas centers built into the buildings of Gaza City and clear the areas out.
Turkey –
Reports in Turkish media claim Moscow wants to take back the S-400 air defense systems it sold to Turkey in 2019, aiming to resell them to other countries amid shortages. Turkey, which paid $2.5B for two systems, never integrated them into NATO, while the missiles are already halfway through their shelf life and require costly maintenance.
With Ankara advancing its own Çelik Kubbe air defense system and seeking relief from US CAATSA sanctions that blocked F-35 participation, analysts suggest Turkey may be open to returning the S-400s, especially as it negotiates with Washington on F-16s and a possible way back into the F-35 program.
https://x.com/noelreports/status/1966802577258840083?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
OBSERVATION - Doubtful Russia is going to ‘resell’ these systems. It has urgent demands already in Ukraine. The only other country that could benefit would be Iran, who lost most of their ADA assets during the 12-day war.
It would be questionable if the US would reconsider return to the F16 and F35 programs given Turkeys hostile actions in the region.
Mexico -
Mexico is considering raising tariffs on over 1,400 imports, including tariffing Chinese auto parts, cars, textiles, and steel at 50% as part of their effort to reshore manufacturing. China’s Commerce Ministry warned Mexico to “exercise caution and think twice before making any tariff adjustment” in response.
OBSERVATION - IMHO, this is evidence of the weakness of China’s economy. Under pre-wuhan plandemic conditions, Mexico wouldn’t dare such a move.
Misc of Note –
Trying to calm down from my anger with the left over Kirk’s murder.
Things are progressing towards fall here in the Redoubt and with that are prep evaluations and getting ready for the soon to arrive winter. Kirk’s murder has thrown a degree of uncertainty into the future, and preps need to be adjusted to the changing threat matrix. I think we have until next spring before the large scale violence factor rears its head just in time for midterm elections. But winter may not be peaceful either.
In that, pray and keep prepping.