HEADS UP - My posts for the next couple weeks will continue to have the potential to be a bit sporadic as August activities take over my time.
No posting this coming Saturday, Sunday and Monday
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
UPCOMING -
- “People vs. Billionaires Week of Action” , 21-27 August
- Labor day of action, Sept 1
- 5-day national economic and labor boycott for 16-20 September
***
More discussions in the press from democrats threatening various levels of violence should Trump expand NG deployments and anti-crime/anti-illegal operations to their dark blue cities.
Terrorism - Threat Level - WATCH as of Jun 14, 2025
- Iran could activate cells in the US.
There have been a growing outbreak of ‘active shooter’ calls across college campuses and other sites in the past few days. The latest ones bordered on SWATing colleges.
The dark side of this current activity could be that terror cells are using these false alarms to gauge police response times and deployment schemes. With this data, a real strike can be planned.
POLITICAL FRONT –
President Trump fires Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook following a criminal referral citing deceitful and potentially negligent financial conduct.
Fed governor Lisa Cook says she will not resign, the Washington Post reports, citing a statement from Cook.
“President Trump purported to fire me ‘for cause’ when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so,” Cook said through a spokeswoman: WaPo
OBSERVATION - Clearly another one headed to the courts. However, precedent has already been set in that Trump has the authority to deal with these organizations as the Chief Executive. Since the board is manned by presidential appointees, it is clear that same presidential authority exists to remove for cause - and that is exactly what Trump did.
***
The Department of Commerce is CANCELLING the $7.4 BILLION slush fund set aside in the final days of the Biden Administration. This fund was operated by Natcast. Natcast is a non-profit created and staffed by top Biden Administration political appointees.
OBSERVATION - The more that gets peeled open the more grift and corruption keeps being discovered.
TRUMP Watch –
More than half of registered voters, including 28% of Democrats, said President Donald Trump’s actions in Washington, D.C., to tackle crime were “justified and necessary,” according to a new Harvard Center for American Political Studies (CAPS)-Harris poll
***
President Trump signed an executive order Monday meant to ban the burning of the American flag, an act currently protected under the First Amendment.
“If you burn a flag, you get one year in jail — no early exits, no nothing,” Trump said while signing the order.
OBSERVATION - This will hit the courts, bigly. Nothing is more sacred to the left than burning the flag as a way for them to denigrate the nation in their demands for a socialist nation. All other flags receive court protection - denying the transference of free speech to them, but the US flag is fair game. I doubt this EO will pass USSC muster, but it has engaged the public in open debate over the practice, which is what I think Trump’s overall intent is.
Illegal Immigration –
Immigration and Customs Enforcement has detained alleged MS-13 gang member Kilmar Abrego Garcia. This comes after his release from jail in Tennessee.
According to Fox News’ Bill Melugin, “ICE has just arrested Kilmar Abrego Garcia at his ICE Baltimore check in.” He had been ordered to report to ICE on Monday.
RELATED -
Federal judges are at it again. Another Obama appointee has temporarily blocked the Trump administration from deporting Kilmar Abrego Garcia. The Hill reports:
A federal judge on Monday doubled down that the Trump administration is “absolutely forbidden” from removing mistakenly deported man Kilmar Abrego Garcia from the U.S., for now.
U.S. District Judge Paula Xinis, an appointee of former President Obama, blocked Abrego Garcia’s deportation to Uganda until she can hold a hearing to determine whether the administration will let him contest his removal to the third country.
OBSERVATION - The USSC has already ruled that ICE is fully authorized to do this. Garcia has a standing court order for deportation - and its not in this judges’ authority to circumvent immigration law.
China -
Chinese property giant Evergrande’s shares were taken off the Hong Kong stock market on Monday after more than a decade and a half of trading.
It marks a grim milestone for what was once China’s biggest real estate firm, with a stock market valuation of more than $50bn (£37.1bn). That was before its spectacular collapse under the weight of the huge debts that had powered its meteoric rise.
Experts say the delisting was both inevitable and final.
“Once delisted, there is no coming back,” says Dan Wang, China director at political risk consultancy Eurasia Group.
Evergrande is now best-known for its part in a crisis that has for years dragged on the world’s second-largest economy.
China is facing a number of major problems, including US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, high local government debt, weak consumer spending, unemployment and an ageing population.
But experts say Evergrande’s collapse, along with the serious problems faced by other developers, has hit the country hardest.
“The property slump has been the biggest drag on the economy, and the ultimate reason why consumption is suppressed,” Ms Wang says.
“The whole property sector has been in trouble. More Chinese property firms will collapse,” Professor Qiao says.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c14g7r44566o
OBSERVATION - I’ve followed this for several years now and this final action as noted will not stem the flow of red ink across China’s economy. Huge in the amount of bite it had on the economy, as noted, other related business are going to speedy fall apart as well. Chinese govt will be hard pressed to shake free the hundreds of billions of dollars this closure will have, let alone other business.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Trump on Ukraine/Russia: We will see what happens over the next week or two. At that point, I will step in strongly. If I have to be there, I will be there
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Mostly fair with temps the 60-80 range with some scattered showers early.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Overnight on August 26, Russia launched 59 Shahed drones and decoys from several directions. Ukraine’s air defense, EW units, and mobile groups shot down or suppressed 47 of them. 12 drones hit targets across 9 locations, but most were intercepted before reaching their objectives.
Russian losses per 26/08/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+890 men
+4 tanks
+3 AFVs
+33 artillery
Reuters reports that Novatek’s gas condensate plant in Ust-Luga port has halted operations after a Ukrainian drone strike on August 24. Sources say at least one, possibly two, of the plant’s three processing units (each with a 3 million ton annual capacity) were hit and damaged by fire.
Morning drone strikes hit railway infrastructure in occupied Crimea, damaging a key logistics hub near Krasnogvardeysky. A substation was also struck, further complicating Russian supply lines.
Summary —
A relatively slow day for drones, from both sides, though it is apparent that Ukraine is keeping up the petroleum and logistics pressure with its strikes.
The fight on the ground is appears to be maintaining the new status quo. Unconfirmed though generally reliable reports indicate that Ukrainian forces continue to regain land recently captured by Russia while on other parts of the front Russia manages to eek out very minor gains.
Hopes for any further talks between US/Ukraine and Russia are pretty much dead. Trump’s 10 day warning is running out and the world wonders just what will his response be.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Intense ground action continues on the outskirts of Gaza City.
- Investigation into the hospital strike indicate Hamas was using upper floor as an observation post.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Israeli Defense Minister says the army will remain at the peak of Mount Hermon and in the security zone necessary to protect the Golan and Galilee settlements from threats looming from the Syrian side as the main lesson from the events of October 7.
***
Israelis took to the streets Tuesday to demand the release of hostages held in Gaza and an end to the war, beginning at 6:29 a.m., the exact time Hamas’ Oct. 7 assault began.
The Hostages and Missing Families Forum, representing relatives of the captives, called the day of demonstrations the “National Day of Solidarity” under the slogan “Israel Stands Together.”
OBSERVATION - These protests were overhyped and under attended, sponsored by extreme leftist organizations that have been attacking Netanyahu long before Oct 7.
***
Trump on the war in Gaza: “I think in the next two to three weeks you’re gonna have a pretty good conclusive ending.”
***
Surveillance video released by Israel shows an individual using binoculars conducting observation of Israeli units from the upper floor of the Nasser Medical Complex. It has already documented many times that Hamas has continually used places like hospitals and schools for military purposes. What has caused the greatest stir by Hamas supporters is that Israel apparently did a ‘double tap’ on the site, sending in a second rocket while emergency response teams were working the recovery from the first strike.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Intensive Israeli raids and ongoing bombing operations target the towns of Jabalia and al-Nazla in the northern Gaza Strip.
Heavy explosions reported since last night in multiple areas of Jabalia and on the southern outskirts of Gaza City.
Hamas is now using bomb-laden robots inside a residential areas in northern Gaza.
——— JUDEA AND SAMARIA——————————-
IDF has deployed a large force in Ramallah, Judea and Samaria. The IDF’s deployment appears to be an extension of ongoing counterterrorism operations under “Iron Wall,” launched in January 2025 to dismantle Iranian-backed militant networks in the West Bank.
The IDF operated in the heart of the Palestinian city of Ramallah on Tuesday, according to Palestinian sources.
The military has yet to comment on the operation, and has not specified the type of activity warranted troops in the city, the report added.
However, the operation is reportedly focused on Palestinian bank branches.
Israeli Forces deploy snipers on rooftops and send additional reinforcements during their ongoing raid on Ramallah.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Egyptian Foreign Ministry: Targeting Nasser Medical Complex in Gaza confirms blatant Israeli violations of international law.
***
Egyptian sources told Al-Akhbar that Cairo has informed Israel and the U.S. it will boost its military presence along the Gaza-Sinai border, with fully armed forces deployed to prevent infiltration amid fears of Palestinians entering from Gaza.
***
German Chancellor Merz, speaking alongside Canada’s Prime Minister at a joint conference, stated that Germany will NOT, for now, join its allies in recognizing a Palestinian state.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Movement into Gaza City has begun with major recon in force missions. This is setting up a much larger ground assault into the city. Similar pattern as to the initial invasion into Gaza in 2022.
If Israeli polls are to be believed (very leftist), support for the continuation of the war is waining. Netanyahu is under increasing pressure to get the job done. Trump’s assessment of a few weeks is likely reflective of Israeli goals, not his demands on Israel. He has been pretty consistent in supporting the complete destruction of Hamas.
There has also been some rumors from OSINT folks monitoring heavy, military cargo aircraft activity going into Israel. Some are suggesting that the flights are related to bolstering ballistic missile defenses ahead of a potential Iranian attack. See more below.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
Australia expelled Iran’s ambassador on Tuesday, accusing Tehran of orchestrating antisemitic arson attacks in Melbourne and Sydney, marking the first such expulsion since World War II, AFP reported.
Australia also designate the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization.
***
Other rumblings, some see a growing concern that Iran may launch a surprise attack on Israel in the near future. This attack would be an effort to get the population’s eyes off the water and power shortages and attempt to get them united against Israel. It would also be an effort to drain resources away from the latest plans to bring Gaza under military control and physical defeat Hamas.
This would be a very dangerous action by Iran as it is still recovering from the damage caused during the 12 day war. Iran still has some juicy targets out there poorly defended.
Lebanon -
Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem: Israel may occupy Lebanon, but Hezbollah will confront it to stop it from reaching its objectives, and Hezbollahs resistance and confrontation will continue.
(Israel announced today it will withdraw its positions along the Lebanon border if Hezbollah agrees to disarm.)
U.S. Special Envoy to Lebanon Morgan Ortagus takes a shot at Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem:
“Naim Qassem does not represent Lebanon. He represents Iran and outside
forces…”
US envoy Tom Barrack said that Washington will work to improve the lives of the Lebanese people, “whether Iran likes it or not.”
OBSERVATION - Hezbollah continues to try to reaffirm its presence and influence in Lebanon. However, minus an effective military force - largely destroyed by Israel - it can only bluster at this stage. The regional power shift that resulted from Israel’s attacks, as well as the sunni uprising in syria that eliminated hezbollah and Iranian influence there and shut down the pipeline of supplies to Hezbollah in Lebanon has been a significant factor in this swing.
Hezbollah is a wounded animal and still capable of some degree of fight. However, Lebanese are growing in the confidence that they can handle them and if need be, they would secretly welcome the help of Israel.
Syria -
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 25, 2025
Israeli forces carried out two incursions overnight in southern Quneitra, including a raid in the village of Suwaysa where locals confronted the troops. Soldiers conducted searches, and detained a young man
***
Nine more Druze factions join the newly created and Hijri-backed “National Guard Forces” today, including most notably Harakat Rijal al-Karamah
***
The Syrians expressed their concern to the Americans that the Druze minority might establish a form of autonomy in Syria under Israeli patronage, and the American representatives told them that ‘this is not Israel’s intention’ - senior Israeli officials
***
The US Treasury publishes the final decision to remove sanctions against Syria.
***
Israel’s Defense Minister Katz emphasizes in the context of reports about advanced talks on a security agreement with Syria:
The IDF will remain at the summit of Mount Hermon and in the security zone necessary to protect the settlements of the Golan and the Galilee from threats emanating from the Syrian side as the main lesson from the events of October 7. We will also continue to protect the Druze in Syria.
Venezuela -
Venezuela reportedly sending 15,000 troops to border as US warships approach - Bloomberg
Thanks Godzilla.
AND not that many children coming up...
HEADS UP - My posts for the next couple weeks will continue to have the potential to be a bit sporadic as August activities take over my time.
No posting this coming Saturday, Sunday and Monday
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
UPCOMING -
- “People vs. Billionaires Week of Action” , 21-27 August
- Labor day of action, Sept 1
- 5-day national economic and labor boycott for 16-20 September
***
President Donald Trump ordered the Department of Defense (DOD) to create specialized Army and Air National Guard units in all 50 states, which will be trained and prepared for rapid response to civil disturbances.
- The order directs the DOD to create a specialized Washington, D.C. National Guard unit, which will be deputized by the Justice Department to enforce federal law.
- The order also directs the DOD to establish a standing National Guard quick reaction force to be resourced, trained, and available for nationwide deployment.
OBSERVATION - This word was circulation many days ago, now getting formally recognized. As the leftists continue to agitate towards calls of violence, the administration is doing forward planning.
Terrorism - Threat Level - WATCH as of Jun 14, 2025
- Iran could activate cells in the US.
Has anyone noticed the recent rash of false alarm school shootings? There was another one today in Arkansas. Something is up. Sure seems like a campaign to alarm. Despicable. criminal.
https://x.com/lkeane/status/1960080941075878399
This is now the 5th or 6th active shooter hoax at a major university in the last week or so, some of which seem to have been quite sophisticated. It’s clear we have a different type of problem on our hands at this point - and it risks undermining school safety by luring us into a “boy who cried wolf” predicament. My biggest fear? That this is entirely the point, and precisely what some nefarious actor is counting on.
https://x.com/AmySwearer/status/1960129460260270290
So far this week we’ve seen incidents at Northern Arizona University, West Virginia University, Iowa State University, University of Arkanas, University of South Carolina, Louisiana State University-Alexandria, and Villanova University
OBSERVATION - I noted yesterday the sudden increase in these faked active shooter incidents. The above have taken the time to clarify the details for me and I’m repeating them here for a better grasp on what is happening. In yesterday’s post i suggested that they may be designed as test runs to gauge police response.
Here people are pointing to possible pranksters or even a character hoping that a trigger will be pulled by police. Neither are acceptable.
Illegal Immigration –
Number of illegals intercepted at the border continues to plunge to near zero.
China -
Trump is willing to allow 600K Chinese students into the country.
Bad idea bro.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Trump was asked about ‘severe consequences’ if Putin did not agree with piece: Trump: “. It will not be a world war, but it will be an economic war, and an economic war is going to be bad and it’s going to be bad for Russia, and I don’t want that”
https://x.com/ralakbar/status/1960419281583190340
OBSERVATION - Trump’s economic card is the strongest in the deck given the ragged nature of Russia’s economy. Further isolation will force depletion of national funds resources - mostly from oil - hitting both the military operations as well as general conditions in Russia.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Mostly fair with temps the 60-80 range with some scattered showers early.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
During the night of August 27, Russia launched 95 Shahed drones and decoys from multiple directions including Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, and occupied Crimea. Ukrainian air defense, EW units, and mobile groups managed to shoot down or suppress 74 of them. 21 drones hit targets across 9 locations.
Russian drone attacks hit Kherson this morning killed one woman and injured two others. Overnight strikes also targeted Sumy and Poltava. In Sumy, infrastructure was damaged, the local water utility lost power, and electricity was partially out. In Poltava, an energy facility, administrative buildings, and transport were hit, causing further blackouts.
Russian losses per 27/08/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+920 men
+1 tank
+45 artillery
+1 AD system
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Pervoye Maya village (Leontovychi) in Donetsk region of Ukraine
Explosion was reported at main oil pipeline Ryazan-Moscow in Ryazan region
At least 5 violent explosions were reported in Rostov
Summary —
Moderately low drone attacks by Russia overnight. Ukraine continued hitting Russia oil and logistical targets. With the season switching to fall then winter, I fully expect to see another Russian blitz on Ukrainian energy and heating facilities like they did last year - to essentially freeze out the citizens.
On the ground, moderate levels of fighting with no real significant changes.
On the higher political side, no talks between Russia, Ukraine and US are scheduled.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Israel releases report on Khan Yunis hospital strike showing the area hit was being used by Hamas for military purposes
- Local reports of Israeli armor massing on the borders of Gaza city
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Israeli airstrikes on the Zeitoun neighborhood in Gaza City, and the army shells Khan Yunis
***
Ahead of the IDF’s planned takeover of Gaza City, Hamas has begun preparing to thwart the operation. In Hamas’s Gaza Division, efforts are underway to prevent civilians from leaving the city in order to foil the IDF’s plan. Hamas terrorists in the city are threatening Gaza residents and instructing their operatives to block every possible exit route from the city.
***
IDF releases initial findings on Khan Yunis hospital strike
- Strike targeted a Hamas
observation camera hidden at
Nasser Hospital, used to direct
attacks on IDF forces.
- Intelligence confirms Hamas has
used the hospital for terror activity
since the start of the war.
- Six terrorists were killed, including
one who infiltrated Israel on Oct. 7.
NOTE - See last bullet again. Throughout the current war Hamas et al have used hospitals, schools, etc for military purposes - invalidating their protected status under general law of warfare.
Further note - several months ago, seven individuals were filmed by Hamas leaving this same hospital, taking off their doctor jackets and picking up rifles and driving off in a new white toyota. However, you won’t see that report on the news.
***
IDF forces eliminated Mahmoud al-Aswad, Head of Hamas’ General Security Apparatus in West Gaza.
——— JUDEA AND SAMARIA——————————-
In the center of Ramallah, the IDF, the Judea and Samaria Border Police, intelligence and Shin Bet carried out a coordinated operation, IDF report
The raid targeted a money exchange business that was transferring terrorist funds linked to Hamas, directly helping to prepare attacks against Israel and its citizens.
Five suspects were arrested during the operation, and hundreds of thousands of shekels were seized, which were intended for terrorist financing.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Missile was launched from Yemen overnight, the first since recent strikes by Israel against the Yemeni capital of Sana’a. The missile was successfully intercepted
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Israel continues to move forward with preparations to take Gaza City - which by far will be the nastiest battle of the war as Hamas essentially stages a last stand.
I expect anti-Israeli PR to reach ear drum shattering levels with claims of starvation and killing civilians.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
Sources on E3 talks say Iran “hasn’t put tangible detailed deliverables on the table,” offering little for an extension of the snap-back. With 5 days left, E3 and EU political director will brief political leadership before a decision. - Axios
***
The IAEA Director-General has been under 24-hour protection by Austrian security services due to a threat from the Iranian regime - WSJ
***
Some IAEA inspectors have returned to Iran, Jerusalem Post reported on Tuesday citing an informed source.
“Negotiations on ‘modalities’ have made progress. Some points still pending, and they are being discussed. Inspections should resume at agreed sites,” the report added.
***
Iran’s embassy in London rejected a British media report saying Tehran was prepared to scale back uranium enrichment
OVERALL OBSERVATIONS - Snap backs are a very real threat to what is left of the Iranian economy. Even more than Israeli bombs at this point.
***
Iranian Foreign Minister, Abbas Araghchi:
“The Gulf States should be concerned about Israel’s policy, which could lead to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the outbreak of war in the Gulf, and not about Iran’s policy.”
OBSERVATION - Overt threat to close off the Hormuz by Iran and attempt to blame Israel for it.
Lebanon -
Iran’s Foreign Minister insisted that Tehran has no hand in Lebanon’s internal matters, instead accusing Israel of orchestrating a scheme to bring the country down. He cautioned that neighboring states might soon face the same fate, saying they could become the “next Lebanon.”
“The plan to disarm Hezbollah is 100% Israeli”
OBSERVATION - Iran and Hezbollah are peas in a pod. Iran is just attempting to continue its interference in the country. An influence it sees as slipping badly and is having to resort to threats to stop the progress of the Lebanese govt. At this stage, Hezbollah is severely weakened and can do little at this time. They are desperate to find some way to stop Israeli interdiction of Hezbollah leaders, arms / munitions and ammo dumps.
Venezuela -
Clarification on yesterday’s post. Venezuela is reportedly moving the troops to the Colombia border.