Heads up again. Summer travels will have me not posting from 10-14 July
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - WARNING - up dated June 10, 2025
- New “no king” style protest for July 17th
The “Summer of Love – the Sequel” is ratcheting up by the hour as leftists now appear to be encouraging Democrats to “get shot” for the resistance as they warn of “blood” and “violence” in the streets over their frustration with not being able to stop President Trump.
The claim doesn’t just come from rumors on social media. This report is from left-leaning Axios which evidently spoke to over 24 House Democrats to find out how upset their base is. According to the report, they are so angry they are ready to get their violence on.
From Axios:
“At town halls in their districts and in one-on-one meetings with constituents and activists, Democratic members of Congress are facing a growing thrum of demands to break the rules, fight dirty — and not be afraid to get hurt.”
“Why it matters: House Democrats told Axios they see a growing anger among their base that has, in some cases, morphed into a disregard for American institutions, political traditions, and even the rule of law.”
https://rairfoundation.com/dems-warn-blood-violence-trump-agenda-told-get/
***
(FO) A so-called antifascist blog published a map and photographs of Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and Immigration & Customs Enforcement (ICE) facilities in Chicago, Illinois.
The post includes photographs of the front of federal buildings, including:
Chicago Immigration Court
ICE Chicago Field Office
Immigration Supervision Appearance Program (ISAP) Office
Metropolitan Correctional Center
Broadview Processing Center
Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) Field Office
The post encourages violent actions against these facilities and locations.
***’
The shooter who opened fire at a Border Patrol facility in McAllen, Texas has been identified as 27-year-old Ryan Louis Mosqueda.
Mosqueda was armed with an assault rifle and wearing a utility vest. Two officers and a Border Patrol employee were injured, including one who was shot in the knee.
The shooter was neutralized at the scene.
***
10 alleged members of a north Texas Antifa terror cell are accused of carrying out the attempted murder of federal officers at a shooting terrorist attack on an ICE facility on the Fourth of July in Alvarado, Texas.
One local police officer was shot in the neck, and survived. The group was armed with multiple rifles, pistols, body armor, escape vehicles, radios, and other devices indicating a planned conspiracy.
Multiple members of the cell are confirmed trans.
They’ve been charged federally with attempted murder and also face local charges of terrorism in Johnson County, Texas.
https://x.com/mrandyngo/status/1942433612130865427?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
OVERALL OBSERVATIONS - I’ve noted here on numerous occasions the increasing call by democrats - even those in senior leadership - for acts of violence against anything considered to be supported by Trump. These items today are but a growing number of overt actions being taken by leftists in response to these calls. Of very dangerous note - the responses are becoming increasingly lethal. The main focus currently is ICE and deportation operations. A main factor that is different from the Floyd riot period is that these are FEDERAL arrests, not revolving door local ones.
Of further note, it appears that these attempts at lethal assault are more adhoc than what has been reportedly planned by Antifa et al over the past years. Clearly the 11 arrested have virtually no planning other than to show up armed. Deeper Antifa/leftist organization has far better trained elements for lethal attacks. It is likely they are keeping their powder dry for really big incidents. For now, these attacks can serve as a rally point for leftist, especially if there are any successes or martyrs
INTERNATIONAL GENERAL –
At least 14 countries’ imports are set to face steep blanket tariffs starting Aug. 1, President Donald Trump revealed Monday.
Goods imported to the U.S. from Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Kazakhstan and Tunisia are now set to face 25% tariffs, according to the letters Trump posted.
South African and Bosnian goods will be subject to a 30% U.S. tariff, and imports from Indonesia will be hit with a 32% excise duty.
Bangladesh and Serbia are both at 35%, while Cambodia and Thailand are set for 36% tariff rates, the president’s letters said.
Imports from Laos and Myanmar will face a 40% duty, according to the letters Trump posted on Truth Social showed.
The letters Trump signed add that the U.S. will “perhaps” consider adjusting the new tariff levels, “depending on our relationship with your Country.”
The letters are the first to be sent before Wednesday, the day his so-called reciprocal tariffs on dozens of countries were scheduled to snap back to the higher levels he had announced in early April.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/07/trump-tariffs-trade-letters-japan.html
OBSERVATION - The 90 day window is up and these countries haven’t gotten on board with trade agreements. This has caused trembling on the Dow. Some of these countries are reportedly close to an agreement and reinstatement of tariffs. This may put a little more urgency in their movement towards an agreement.
TRUMP Watch –
Trump’s meeting with Netanyahu went without problems apparently as all participants were apparently in good humor during an interview at a state dinner last night.
No earthshaking outcomes.
Illegal Immigration –
From The Hill newspaper, The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) announced Monday that it would rescind protections from deportation for Nicaragua and Honduras. The move ends temporary protected status (TPS) for citizens of those countries living in the U.S., which were both established after the same deadly hurricane and in place for more than 25 years. 25 years? You read that correctly.
***
U.S. Northern Command (NORTHCOM) announced it will send 200 Marines to provide administrative support for ICE operations in Florida. NORTHCOM said 500 additional troops will be deployed in Louisiana and Texas to focus on administrative, clerical, and logistical tasks at ICE detention facilities.
***
Huge operation yesterday with hundreds of federal agents and military as a massive federal immigration enforcement operation in the MacArthur Park area of the sanctuary city of Los Angeles, an area with heavy MS-13 influence. Mayor Bass has demanded raids stop, Feds respond with one of the largest yet, including Border Patrol agents on horseback.
Mayor Bass even showed up in an attempt to stop the operation.
Marines provided protection of vehicles carrying detainees out of the area to holding areas.
OBSERVATION - The scale of this operation apparently caught LA sanctuary city authorities by surprise as well as Antifa related elements who were only able to show up essentially after the majority of the work was already done. Actions may stimulate more violent protests against the ICE facility, though they face NG and Marines with no sense of humor as well as federal charges putting them behind bars and not a revolving door.
China -
(FO) China opened up three additional flight paths heading out of mainland China and toward Taiwan to the flight path over the Strait. This will mask Chinese air force flights out of similar spots, making them considerably harder to identify without electronic intelligence.
OBSERVATON - Continued progression towards an eventual operation against Taiwan
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 60-90 range, mostly sunny.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Pentagon Statement: “At President Trump’s direction, the Department of Defense is sending additional defensive weapons to Ukraine to ensure the Ukrainians can defend themselves while we work to secure a lasting peace and ensure the killing stops. Our framework for POTUS to evaluate military shipments across the globe remains in effect and is integral to our America First defense priorities.”
***
ISW. Russian forces appear to be reprioritizing offensive operations in the Pokrovsk direction over the Kostyantynivka direction after several weeks of unsuccessful activity aimed at advancing toward Kostyantynivka.
Last night, Russia launched 54 Shahed drones and decoy UAVs, along with 4 S-300/400 missiles from Kursk, Orel, and occupied Crimea. Ukrainian air defense shot down 34 drones, 26 with firepower, 8 suppressed by electronic warfare.
Russian losses per 08/07/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+1070 men
+4 AFVs
+41 artillery
+2 MLRS
Summary —
No significant changes in status. Low numbers of drones overnight.
Analysis of a change in the focus of the ‘summer offensive’ indicates things are not going as planned for Russia.
Europe / NATO General –
Speaking recently to the New York Times at NATO Headquarters in Brussels, Secretary-General Mark Rutte gave an ominous warning about the potential of a future conflict with China and Russia: “There’s an increasing realization, and let’s not be naïve about this: If Xi Jinping would attack Taiwan, he would first make sure that he makes a call to his very junior partner in all of this, Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin, residing in Moscow, and telling him, “Hey, I’m going to do this, and I need you to to keep them busy in Europe by attacking NATO territory.” That is most likely the way this will progress. And to deter them, we need to do two things. One is that NATO, collectively, being so strong that the Russians will never do this. And second, working together with the Indo-Pacific — something President Trump is very much promoting. Because we have this close interconnectedness, working together on defense industry, innovation between NATO and the Indo-Pacific.”
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1942434104428945521?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Talks ended between Netanyahu and Trump.
- Gaza talks failing.
- Houthis step up their attacks on shipping in the Red Sea region.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Monday he wanted peace with Palestinians but described any future independent state as a platform to destroy Israel. For that reason, he said, sovereign power of security must remain with Israel.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Yasser Abu Shabab, leader of the allegedly Israel-backed, anti-Hamas Popular Forces group, told Israeli media that “There is no stopping a civil war against Hamas.” The Popular Forces denies that it has Israeli backing but would work with the Israel Defense Forces to distribute aid in the future.
***
Gaza ceasefire talks end with “no breakthrough,” says source close to the negotiations — AFP
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
British maritime security firm Ambrey reports receiving information about an incident 49 nautical miles southwest of Hodeidah port in the Red Sea.
Two crew members are reportedly injured and two others are missing aboard a Liberia-flagged vessel located 49 nautical miles southwest of Hodeidah, Yemen, according to Ambrey.
In another attack, the UK Maritime Group reports a vessel was struck by five rockets, sustaining severe damage and losing power about 51 nautical miles west of Yemen’s Hodeidah.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Qatari Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: We are holding separate talks with Hamas and Israeli delegations to bridge the gap regarding the negotiating framework.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
No movement on a Gazan ceasefire and no apparent pressuring from Trump for Israel to accept one unilaterally. General reports of intense airstrikes across Gaza.
Houthi becoming a major shipping menace once again, after expending a lot of its efforts launching drones and missiles at Israel. Three ships in as many days have been hit, and there currently has been no response except for Israeli strikes in retaliation for the last missile attack. With two US CSG in the region, this would be an opportunity to inflict more pain on the Houthis.
Other action with Syria, Lebanon and Iran are at their current stable levels - with large scale action by Israel against perceived threats possible at any time.
Iran –
Threat Level - WATCH Jun 30, 2025
Iran’s Mehr: The US has requested, through mediators, to continue the nuclear negotiations after failing to halt Tehran’s nuclear capabilities. The Iranian Foreign Ministry is considering holding a new round of negotiations to lift sanctions and determine the level of enrichment
***
Rumint. Israel is bracing for potential military action if Iran attempts to restart its nuclear program, with Israeli officials believing President Trump may approve renewed Israeli strikes, according to Axios.
OBSERVATIONS - Iran continues to try to put forth a strong front in the face of its devastating loss from the 12 day war. Back to a posture of delaying any negotiation on its nuclear program.
Lebanon -
Israeli army: Hezbollah Radwan Force commander killed in airstrike on Deir Kifa, southern Lebanon
Syria -
The Trump administration revoked the terrorist designation for Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, the militant group who overthrew President Bashar al’Assad and assumed control of the Syrian government.
The group was formed as Syria’s al-Qaeda branch. In an astounding turnaround, the group’s interim leader Ahmed al-Sharaa went from a $10 million U.S. bounty on his head to the de facto leader of Syria who scored a meeting with President Donald Trump in June.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/us-ends-terrorist-designation-syrian-militant-leaders
OBSERVATION - IMHO this revocation is way too early. These and affiliated groups just this past spring wreaked havoc against minority elements in Syria. They should have had a longer prove-out period.
The whole 'king' thing didn't work... it was silly after the 'Hitler/Cult leader/Dictator pure evil crap. It's hard for democrats to get the riff raff riled up about a King and Queen concept. LOL
Commies and white liberal elites are running out of 'hate images'... white 'elites' are one trick ponies and don't know why their BS isn't working anymore... (we know why... and we're not telling)
Thanks Godzilla
Heads up again. Summer travels will have me not posting from 10-14 July
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - WARNING - up dated June 10, 2025
- New “no king” style protest for July 17th
DHS Assistant Secretary Tricia McLaughlin posted on social media that San Antonio City Council Candidate Matthew Gauna called for the killing of ICE agents in Los Angeles. “I wanna see a few dead ICE agents Los Angeles! Don’t let me down.” The post by Gauna was subsequently removed, but not before others on X grabbed screenshots of the threat calling for the assassination of ICE agents.
OBSERVATION - Calls for political violence often precede political violence.
***
(FO) Former U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) and State Department employees are hosting recruitment and training sessions for current federal employees to resist the Trump administration from the inside.
DemocracyAID, a group founded by former USAID official Danielle Reiff, is hosting invite-only workshops with federal employees to train and coordinate resistance networks in federal agencies to engage in “noncooperation” tactics.
Some members of the informal network of former USAID and State Department employees are also distributing the CIA’s Simple Sabotage manual to political allies currently working in the federal government.
OBSERVATION - I am not surprised by this action - it was a given ever since the election of Trump. Crossing into dangerous ground, deliberately sabotaging govt actions.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics
Pfizer and Moderna’s mRNA COVID shots must now include warnings that they cause ‘extremely high risk’ of heart inflammation and irreversible damage in males up to age 24.
The required safety updates apply to Comirnaty, the mRNA COVID shot manufactured by Pfizer Inc., and Spikevax, the mRNA COVID shot manufactured ModernaTX, Inc.
According to a press release, the FDA now requires each of those manufacturers to update the warning about the risks of myocarditis and pericarditis to include information about:
1 the estimated unadjusted incidence of myocarditis and/or pericarditis following administration of the 2023-2024 Formula of mRNA COVID-19 shots and
2 the results of a study that collected information on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (cardiac MRI) in people who developed myocarditis after receiving an mRNA COVID-19 injection.
OBSERVATION - The real issue is why this kill drug is still on the market to begin with.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The FBI has launched criminal probes into former CIA Director John Brennan and former FBI director James Comey, according to media reports citing unnamed sources.
The probes are looking into alleged wrongdoing related to past government investigations about claims of Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. elections in which President Donald Trump defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, according to information first reported Tuesday by Fox News Digital.
OBSERVATION - I certainly hope this doesn’t turn into another goat rope like the Epstein fiasco.
***
U.S. Supreme Court lifts order blocking Trump’s mass federal layoffs, allowing sweeping workforce cuts — Reuters
The Supreme Court says Trump is likely going to win his claim that he can fire his own employees as commander-in-chief, so they have stayed this activist judge’s order while the case goes to an appellate court.
https://notthebee.com/article/scotus-rules-that-trump-can-continue-mass-firings-of-bureaucrats
OBSERVATION - After the initial flood of national injections by DISTRICT judges, appeals hitting the USSC are consistently turning in favor of Trump. This is loosening the judicial collar these activist judges have attempted to place on Trump’s policies.
TRUMP Watch –
Trump will visit Texas on Friday to survey flood disaster sites in Kerr County, TX.
Illegal Immigration –
Leftists / democrats continue calls for increased violence against ICE (see CW2 above).
ICE sweep in LA has not generated riots like initial actions in the city. Expect increased attacks on ICE facilities though.
China -
The German Foreign Ministry has summoned the Chinese Ambassador and submitted a formal diplomatic protest following an “incident” recently in the Red Sea, in which the Chinese military fired a high-powered laser at an aircraft with the German Navy that was participating in E.U. Operation Aspides against the Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen.
OBSERVATION - There is no justification for this action by China. Such action could easily have blinded the crew of the German aircraft.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 60-90 range, mostly sunny.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Overnight Russia launched 728 Shahed-type drones, 7 Kh-101 cruise missiles and 6 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles, - Ukrainian Air Forces.
Ukrainian interceptor drones and mobile fire teams took down dozens, with interception tech now being scaled up. Main target was the city of Lutsk in western Ukraine, though other areas were also targeted.
Shot down:
711/728 Shahed and other type drones
7/7 Kh-101/Iskander-K cruise missiles
0/6 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles
Russian losses per 09/07/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff.
+1050 men
+5 tanks
+2 AFVs
+68 artillery
+1 AD system
North-Slobozhansky (Sumy) -
Ukrainian forces recently advanced in northern Sumy Oblast amidst a series of ongoing counterattacks. Geolocated footage published on July 8 indicates that Ukrainian forces recently advanced in northern and northeastern Kindrativka (north of Sumy City).
After recapturing Andriivka, Russians are now pushed out of Novokostiantynivka (gray zone still), and Ukrainian forces have now moved into Kindrativka trying to secure this border town.
Summary —
Largest drone attack of the war. Ukraine did well against this attack, possibly due to the fact that most were sent into western Ukraine, providing more time to target and take them down. Some analysts suggest that Russia is building toward slavos of over 1000 drones in the near future. Last night’s attack follows the same pattern of several days of low numbers followed by a large attack.
On the ground, Russian efforts against Sumy are not going well as Ukraine counter attacks of late have shown success in recapturing territory. The Sumy front was believed to be a major supporting attack for the main Russian offensive regions further south. Not working out the way they wanted it.
There have also been rumors of very poor Russian morale in the Sumy sector and we may be seeing some of the results of that.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Netanyahu meets with Trump and Vance, presumably on the Gaza war.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met for a second time with US President Donald Trump during a trip to Washington, DC, focusing on the issue of a ceasefire and hostage release deal. So far no release on any details from the meeting.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
IAF continues to pound Hamas positions across Gaza.
——— JUDEA AND SAMARIA——————————-
The Israel Defense Forces and Shin Bet security agency launched a joint operation in the West Bank to thwart a impending terrorist attack, arresting five suspects, according to a statement.
One terrorist suspect from the village of Eliamon was apprehended for planning the attack, with four others in the village of Bir al-Basha taken in and six weapons in their possession were seized.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
So far no surprises from the Trump / Netanyahu meetings. Pressure is on Hamas to capitulate to current demands. Rumors from Witkoff suggest that differences have been reduced down to one point, no details. Witkoff has been a lousy negotiator in the ME so far and I don’t trust his judgement.
Hezbollah continues to get picked off as Lebanon fails to disarm and remove Hezbollah from the southern region.
Tensions remain high towards Iran, but there is nothing on the horizon to indicate any major actions. I expect Israel to continue sticking key military and nuclear leadership via drones. On the longer term, action depends on what Iran does to try to get a nuclear program back up and running.
Iran –
Threat Level - WATCH Jun 30, 2025
Carleson’s interview with the Iranian president was a fluff piece of propaganda for Iran.
Lebanon -
The IDF conducted multiple raids in southern Lebanon, destroying Hezbollah weapon depots and infrastructure. In Jabal Blat, the Baram Brigade uncovered and demolished a Hezbollah compound with weapons and firing positions. Near Labbouneh, Oded Brigade reservists found a rocket launcher, machine gun, explosives, and an underground arms site, all of which were destroyed.
JORDAN -
The Jordanian military shot down a suspected Houthi drone en route to Israel, saying it was intercepted within Jordanian airspace.
Misc of Note –
Another deadly flash flood has hit New Mexico. A couple of my observations
- In both TX and NM, weather service / NOAA recognized the severity of the rains and issued flash flood watches.
- Main point of failure appears to be inability to communicate those warnings and the severity of the event to citizens and local govts. Or perhaps better, for those to recognize the severity and begin to order evacuations and intensify warnings to get to high ground.
A lot of comments out of TX was that normalcy bias hit hard. Area commonly had flash flood watches / warnings and few though any thing of them, not recognizing the orders of magnitude size of this event. Thus, the system broke down at several key nodes.
In NM, NOAA / Nat’l weather service termed it “lethal flash flooding” in an effort to break the normalcy bias barrier and get people out of danger. Watching to see if it helped as news reports come in.