Posted on 01/01/2025 6:44:53 AM PST by Godzilla
Yesterday’s post was OBE’d so to day is a little larger. Today is crazy as well, so running late.
Globalism / Great Reset –
The 30th World Climate Conference in Belém is not yet over, but it is already becoming apparent that the event, announced as the “Conference of Truth,” will go down in the history of climate conferences as a turning point.
No head of state from the four largest CO2-emitting nations—China (33%), the USA (12%), India (8%), and Russia (5%)—is showing up in Belém.
Even before the conference, the New York Times headlined: “The whole world is fed up with climate policy.” And the fact that Bill Gates, one of the biggest supporters and sponsors of climate policy, explicitly warned against excessive, shortsighted climate policy just 14 days before the conference, and put prosperity back in focus — a major blow.
OBSERVATION - A whole lot more at the link above. On a globalist level, the climate change agenda has reached a melt down as reality has set in, destroying a lot of the fear mongering. Oh that will still be used, but harsh economic conditions setting peoples minds back.
***
Baton-wielding protesters stormed the COP30 summit in Belem, Brazil, on Tuesday, with video showing some dressed in indigenous outfits, according to multiple reports.
The COP30 summit is the 30th annual meeting of parties to the United Nations’ Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC), an agreement to reach “net-zero” carbon emissions by 2050, according to the conference’s website. Video posted on X and aired by the BBC showed the protesters kicking doors and forcing their way into the building.
https://dailycaller.com/2025/11/12/feather-headed-protesters-storm-un-climate-summit/
***
Apple is launching Digital IDs, a feature that allows you to create and store an ID in Apple Wallet using your US passport. In the announcement, Apple says Digital ID acceptance will begin to “roll out first” at TSA checkpoints for domestic travel in over 250 airports across the US.
You can present your Digital ID in place of a REAL ID at TSA checkpoints using your iPhone or Apple Watch. But Apple notes that it isn’t a replacement for your physical passport, and that you can’t use it for international travel or border crossings.
Apple already allows you to store your driver’s license in Apple Wallet in 12 states and Puerto Rico, but the new Digital ID option offers an alternative for people whose home state doesn’t support digital driver’s licenses or don’t already have a REAL ID or state ID. Apple first announced Digital IDs during its Worldwide Developers Conference in June, and the feature was supposed to arrive with iOS 26 before Apple quietly delayed it.
https://www.theverge.com/news/819077/apple-digital-id-launch-tsa
OBSERVATION - Globalist exist not only in govts, but mega corporations and will use all to push towards a common goal of switching everyone to a digital ID that will eventually be tied in to their bank account and controlled by a social data score. Apple and others are in the conditioning process for such a system. For such a reason I refuse to use the biometric unlocking systems for my iPhone.
Amazon has done similar with their biometrics and stores.
***
As if the COP 30 couldn’t get any more bizarre, now things have broken down over the definition of a “woman” with more conservative countries demanding it stays with the biological definition, while more woke delegates want the broader, social definition.
CW2 / Domestic violence - National Threat Level - WARNING - up dated Sep 28, 2025
Portland OR - Local Threat Level - WARNING as of Oct 25, 2025
Chicago IL - Local Threat Level - WARNING as of Oct 25, 2025
Los Angeles CA - Local Threat Level - ADVISORY as of Sep 28, 2025
Seattle WA - Local Threat Level - ADVISORY as of Sep 28, 2025
SF Bay area - Local Threat - ADVISORY as of Oct 25, 2025.
DATES TO NOTE -
.
22 November rally in Washington, D.C by “Removal Coalition”
MASS BLACKOUT - Nov 26 - Dec 2. Economic boycott.
***
Weekend forecast - Things pretty much unchanged from last weekend. Scattered protests - mostly signs and shouting - across the country. There is currently no major leftist unifying event for them to rally to. That said, localized incidences of violence may spring up, like last weekends Antifa assault on at TPUSA rally on the Berkeley campus. Be attentive to your local news.
***
Seattle voters have chosen Katie Wilson, a communist — technically a “Democratic Socialist” — to lead one of the most consequential cities in the country — the yin to Zohran Mamdani’s yang.
OBSERVATION - This follows Antifa’s dominance of the city, forcing leadership further to the left. Related associations in other major cities are also reflecting this trend to the hard left, like NYC, Chicago and LA. Within the CW2 matrix this is sharpening the separation of these populous blue cities from the surrounding red areas. This entrenches the leftist control of state house, further attacking red areas. Should things go sideways these islands of blue will find themselves dangerously isolated from the food and other supplies they need. Civic breakdown will see rises in gangs and the soft, vocally ‘tough’ progressive citizens who voted this anarchy on themselves will either cower to the violence or try to escape.
The smart and mostly red residents are already in the process of leaving these festering hell holes.
***
SecState Rubio. Today, building on @POTUS’s historic commitment to uproot Antifa’s campaign of political violence, the Department of State is designating four Antifa groups as Foreign Terrorist Organizations and Specially Designated Global Terrorists. The United States will continue using all available tools to protect our nation from these anti-American, anti-capitalist, and anti-Christian terrorist groups.
OBSERVATION - Placed here because it strengthens the ability to go after domestic Antifa cells.
***
(FO) People familiar with the matter said Southern District of Florida U.S. Attorney Jason Reding Quiñones is using unconventional interrogation tactics to oust prosecutors in the U.S. Attorney’s Office.
Two federal prosecutors resigned last week after Quiñones ordered the prosecutors to sign integrity statements under threat of criminal prosecution.
People familiar with the plans said Quiñones is recruiting prosecutors and restructuring the U.S. Attorney’s Office chain of command, in preparation for conspiracy investigations into former officials involved in investigations against President Trump.
Forward Observer Observations - Biden and Obama holdover career officials in the Trump administration are attempting to undermine Trump through leaks and strategic noncooperation. The groups building up for a planned 2028 color revolution attempt said they will use these career officials through an “inside-outside” strategy. This move by Quiñones, restructuring of the DOJ and other federal agencies, and the clamp down on media access in the Pentagon are likely indicators that the Trump administration is aware of this effort and attempting to mitigate its impact.
MY OBSERVATIONS - This is a critical move by Quiñones especially in the face of the developing assault on the Deep State efforts to take out Trump under the Biden regime and before with Russia Gate. This is the stealth govt that has to be purged and it looks like he is going at it aggressively and in the right way.
Terrorism - Threat Level - ADVISORY as of OCT 26, 2025
Downgraded due to declining global threats and middle east war
***
Attorney General Pam Bondi said a man confronted New Jersey U.S. Attorney Alina Habba at her office on Wednesday, and fled the scene after destroying property. According to two New York Times sources, the man was stopped by security when he approached the building with a baseball bat, but was allowed to enter after he returned without the bat.
Police are searching for the man after he escaped the facility.
OBSERVATION - The security guards should be fired. First he should never have been allowed back in without the bat and second, why weren’t police immediately summoned.
***
The Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department (LVMPD) said it is investigating the detonation of an improvised explosive device (IED) yesterday. The LVMPD said two men dressed in black placed an IED outside of a restaurant at 2:19AM PST, and the explosion was reported by employees who arrived at 10:36AM PST. LVMPD said no one was injured.
OBSERVATION - Test run by either Antifa wannabes, illegals or jihadis.
Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025
Growing concerns on Wall Street that the Fed will not lower rates again as expected.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Operation SOUTHERN SPEAR has been expanded by the DoW at Trump’s direction.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Top House Democrats said they will renew the Obamacare subsidy fight in January 2026. House Democrat leaders said Democrats will have renewed leverage ahead of the 31 January 2026 funding deadline.
OBSERVATION - Whenever the democrats claim that this is a republican healthcare crisis, I will ask when 0bama became a republican.
Illegal Immigration –
Biden-appointed Judge Jeffrey Cummings has ordered the Trump administration to release over 600 illegal immigrants who were just arrested during a Chicago ICE operation.
***
During an interview on Fox News yesterday, Customs and Border Protection (CBP) official Greg Bovino said several hundred CBP agents are undergoing quarterly training in West Virginia ahead of a new federal surge. Bovino said the CBP agents could be redeployed to Chicago, IL, or deployed to New York, Cleveland, OH, or Charlotte, NC.
China -
Some reports that China is already doing work arounds to negate the trade agreement of recent weeks between Xi and Trump.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Kremlin spokesman Peskov accuses Europe of “preparing for war” with Russia, pointing to rising defense budgets.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 30-50 degree range, with increasing showers/rain towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukraine’s Air Force reported on the massive overnight Russian attack:
Shot down:
405/430 Shahed and other type drones
2/3 Kinzhal Kh-47M2 aeroballistic missiles
0/1 Zircon anti-ship missile
6/6 Iskander-K/Kalibr cruise missiles
6/9 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles
Kyiv was the primary target.
Russian losses per 14/11/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+1040 men
+2 ACVs
+35 artillery
Ukrainian missiles slammed into the oil terminal of Russian port of Novorossiysk. Videos posted to social media show the port of Novorossiysk is almost entirely ablaze, with clouds of thick smoke seen billowing from the oil export terminal on the coast of the Black Sea.
A drone also hit a large S-300/400 battery protecting Novorossiysk harbor.
Overnight, a refinery in Saratov, Russia, was also targeted in Ukraine’s large-scale drone and missile attack. The extent of the damage is still being assessed.
YESTERDAY
Russia launched 138 strike drones and 1 Iskander-M ballistic missile. 102 drones were taken down - Ukrainian Air Forces
ISW. The situation in the Hulyaipole direction is deteriorating, although Russian forces will probably spend considerable time setting conditions for efforts to seize the settlement.
Other Key Takeaways:
Russian forces will likely attempt to isolate and encircle Hulyaipole from the northeast in accordance with a new campaign design that aims to degrade Ukrainian defenses to enable advances through infiltration tactics.
Elements of three Russian combined arms armies (CAAs) are currently arrayed to either conduct or support offensive operations against Hulyaipole.
Russian losses per 13/11/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+1180 men
+2 tanks
+11 ACVs
+9 artillery
+2 AD systems
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
In the battle for Pokrovsk, Ukrainian Special Operations Forces struck a concentration of Russian troops from the 51st Army in the village of Zatyshok, Donetsk region. Despite poor weather, Ukrainian drones hit the target where personnel from Russia’s 1st and 9th Motorized Rifle Brigades were gathering under cover of fog.
Analysis and Future Operations —
Pokrovsk and now Hulyaipole are focuses of Russian attacks, to the point of this is probably the more official start of their winter offensive. Russian success based on the thick fog at both locations, sheltering them from the lethal drone defenses. Infiltration followed on by superiors numbers is a formula Russia has had success with this year. That along with Russia applying encirclement movements - though at near glacial speeds.
Next few weeks are going to be rough for Ukraine in these areas.
Large drone/missile attack hit a number of civilian apartments and other facilities not military related. Again, fog may be in play restricting machine guns and other optically tracking ADA systems from taking down more drones.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Body of another hostage turned over to Israel
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
IAF launch raids on the southeastern areas of Khan Yunis city in the southern Gaza Strip
***
Trucks entering the Gaza Strip today were hijacked by Hamas militants, as has become routine.
———INTERNATIONAL ————————
Associated Press: US draft resolution to grant a UN mandate for an international stabilization force in Gaza faces opposition from Russia, China, and Arab states
Russia on Thursday proposed its own draft of a UN resolution on Gaza in a challenge to a US effort to pass its own text at the Security Council that would endorse President Donald Trump’s Gaza peace plan, according to a copy of the draft seen by Reuters.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
The bold Gaza peace plan of Trump is slowly falling apart - first the refusal of Hamas’ to disarm and be removed from the region and second the so called other guarantors of the plan are sitting on their hands.
In the north, Lebanese reluctance to confront Hezbollah to disarm and remove from the region south of the Litany River is causing that ceasefire to fall apart as well.
I am expecting Israel to intensify its attacks in Lebanon next month as the deadline given by the US to Lebanon will have passed. Israel will also continue to reduce Hamas pockets within the Yellow Zone and continue to reject any amnesty plans for the trapped Hamas fighters.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
The British maritime security firm Ambrey reported that a Marshall Islands–registered oil tanker en route from the UAE to Singapore encountered three Iranian boats that diverted the ship to an Iranian port.
OBSERVATION - Iran resorts to this when it feels the need to reassert its bad boy image and promote fear in the region, especially in the realm of its ability to mess with global oil shipments
**
IAEA: Iran has not been complying with its obligations to provide information on controversial uranium stocks since the attacks on the country by Israel and the US
***
(FO) The U.S. Treasury Department sanctioned 32 individuals and entities based in Iran, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Turkey, China, Hong Kong, India, Germany, and Ukraine for supplying missile fuel precursors and drone technology to Iran. These sanctions targets Iran’s ability to make rocket and missile fuel,
Lebanon - Threat Level - WARNING November 7, 2025
On Thursday, Adraee reports: false Lebanese reports circulated about an Israeli airstrike in the area of the village of Toul in southern Lebanon. Upon investigation, it was revealed that the car explosion resulted from a failed Hezbollah attempt to smuggle weapons. Hezbollah continues to violate the understandings, with its members operating under civilian cover and endangering reside
***
Lebanon’s National News Agency reported on Thursday that Israeli warplanes launched an airstrike at dawn on the southern town of Aitaroun, firing two air-to-surface missiles. The attack was followed by another raid on the western outskirts of the town of Tarfalsieh in the Tyre district of southern Lebanon, and then two more strikes targeting the same area, according to the agency.
***
Guterres: UNIFIL will support the Lebanese army’s efforts to deploy south of the Litani River to ensure the area is free of any illegal weapons.
OBSERVATION - UNIFIL is about as useful as a screen door on a submarine. See comments under Israel above
***
Guterres: The presence of Israeli forces north of the Blue Line and their raids on Lebanon are a violation of Lebanese sovereignty and Resolution 1701.
***
The Israel Defense Forces confirmed to JNS on Wednesday that it is building a barrier at the Israel-Lebanon border and that the security wall is entirely on the Israel side, countering Arab media reports that the work is being carried out beyond the Blue Line. “Contrary to Lebanese reports, the barrier in question is located within Israeli territory and does not cross into Lebanese territory,” the IDF said.
Syria -
Clashes between Al-Hijri-led Druze factions and the Syrian Internal Security Forces in the countryside of Suwayda, Syria, have ended, reports Al-Arabiya.
The Druze National Guard paramilitary group claimed armed groups affiliated with Syria’s General Security Service attacked sites in Ira, Slaim, and Al-Majdal.
Syrian state media quoted the Internal Security Forces Command, alleging that rebel groups in Suwayda violated the ceasefire for the third day in a row, and the ISF responded.
***
Syrian Foreign Minister, Asaad Al-Shaibani:
Russia was a partner to the former regime and it participated in increasing the suffering of the Syrian people.
Our approach to Russia is pragmatic and we do not want to face this state.
The Russian role in Syria will not be that of the past.
***
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa laid out his positions on a number of topics, including the talks about a security arrangement with Israel, in an interview with The Washington Post following his historic visit to the White House on Monday.
The former terrorist noted that “direct negotiations” with Israel are ongoing and had advanced “a good distance” toward an agreement.
“But to reach a final agreement, Israel should withdraw to their pre-December 8 borders,” Sharaa said.
OBSERVATION - Syria wants the Golan Heights back, something that wont happen. For those of us grey enough to remember, when Syria occupied the Heights, they used it for artillery observation to rain shells on Israeli settlements to the west. Syria lost the hills for good after the 1973 Yom Kippur war.
Venezuela - Threat Level - ADVISORY Sept 4, 2025
Venezuela has announced a “massive mobilization” of its military in response to the increased U.S. military presence in the Caribbean Sea.
Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López said Tuesday that Venezuelan military and reserve forces would carry out training exercises through Wednesday in response to the “imperialist threat” from the United States, according to CNN. Padrino López said that the order to put Venezuela on a war footing came from Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.
***
Senior U.S. military officials, including SecWar Hegseth and Chairman Caine, briefed President Trump on updated options for potential land strikes in Venezuela yesterday. The President hasn’t made his decision yet.
President Trump launches Operation SOUTHERN SPEAR, a new mission led by Joint Task Force Southern Spear and @SOUTHCOM. The operation targets narco-terror groups in the Western Hemisphere and aims to stop drug flows threatening the U.S.
Central / South America General-
Ecuador will vote this weekend on whether or not to reestablish U.S. bases in Ecuador that were closed in 2009. Ecuadorian President Noboa expects the vote to pass but anonymous Ecuadorian authorities say that even a “no” vote will not derail security plans with the United States.
OBSERVATION - Continued movement to the right in Central and South America. They not only see the economical benefits of realigning with the US but security concerns as well
Thanks Godzilla.
Thank you for your time and effort on compiling this information and sharing with us Freepers.
Thank you for your time and effort on compiling this information and sharing with us Freepers.
Globalism / Great Reset –
All continues not to be well at the COP 30 -
A top United Nations official reportedly directed Brazilian authorities to immediately address concerns like leaky light fixtures, unbearable heat, and inadequate security personnel at the COP30 climate conference in Belém, according to Bloomberg News.
UN Framework Convention on Climate Change Executive Secretary Simon Stiell reportedly wrote to Brazilian officials on Wednesday, demanding that the state manage security lapses like unsecured doors and insufficient security staffing, according to Bloomberg News. Stiell reportedly noted in the letter that Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s office asked state police not to disperse the activists that stormed COP30 on Tuesday, according to the publication.
“The security forces and command structure required to execute the security plan were all present on the ground during the incident but failed to act,” Stiell wrote, according to Bloomberg News. “This represents a serious breach of the established security framework.”
COP30 attendees are being asked not to flush toilet paper at the venue or elsewhere around Belém, but to dispose of it in trash cans instead, according to an email from the COP30 operations team reviewed by the Daily Caller News Foundation.
“The UN can’t even figure out how to allow toilet paper in toilets at their own summit, but they want to tell the world how to manage and plan their energy economies for the year 2100!” Marc Morano, author and publisher of ClimateDepot.com, who is in Brazil covering the conference, told the DCNF.
CW2 / Domestic violence - National Threat Level - WARNING - up dated Sep 28, 2025
Portland OR - Local Threat Level - WARNING as of Oct 25, 2025
Chicago IL - Local Threat Level - WARNING as of Oct 25, 2025
Los Angeles CA - Local Threat Level - ADVISORY as of Sep 28, 2025
Seattle WA - Local Threat Level - ADVISORY as of Sep 28, 2025
SF Bay area - Local Threat - ADVISORY as of Oct 25, 2025.
DATES TO NOTE -
.
22 November rally in Washington, D.C by “Removal Coalition”
MASS BLACKOUT - Nov 26 - Dec 2. Economic boycott.
***
Weekend forecast - Things pretty much unchanged from last weekend. Scattered protests - mostly signs and shouting - across the country. There is currently no major leftist unifying event for them to rally to. That said, localized incidences of violence may spring up, like last weekends Antifa assault on at TPUSA rally on the Berkeley campus. Be attentive to your local news.
***
Terrorism - Threat Level - ADVISORY as of OCT 26, 2025
Downgraded due to declining global threats and middle east war
***
Seven more members of a North Texas Antifa cell allegedly involved in a terrorist ambush shooting on an ICE facility have been federally indicted on charges that include providing material support for terrorism, using an explosive, rioting and multiple counts of attempted murder. This follows the first two in the cell who were indicted last month in the historic case. This case is the first time in U.S. history that Antifa members have been federally indicted on terrorism charges.
The DOJ in the Northern District of Texas explicitly calls them members of a “North Texas Antifa Cell,” breaking with the DOJ tradition of avoiding naming Antifa.
https://x.com/mrandyngo/status/1989576013932605666?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
OBSERVATION - Remember, this is from an ambush of law enforcement agents last summer.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The Trump administration will require millions of food aid recipients to recertify their information to receive benefits, part of Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins’ effort to overhaul the program, she told Newsmax on Thursday.
On “Rob Schmitt Tonight,” Rollins said she plans to “have everyone reapply for their benefits, make sure that everyone that’s taking a taxpayer-funded benefit through ... food stamps, that they literally are vulnerable and they can’t survive without it.”
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/snap-benefits-donald-trump/2025/11/14/id/1234653/
OBSERVATION - USDA identified hundreds of thousands of cases fraud from red states that provided their data on program recipients. It is believed that the amount of fraud will skyrocket once blue state eventually give up their data. The left will scream to high heaven over the requirement to recertify and it will likely face legal challenges from cherry picked democrat activist judges.
TRUMP Watch –
Anyone who thought the BBC’s apology to Donald Trump was going to stop his threat of a lawsuit was, quite frankly, deluded.
The president, based on his GB News interview, is clearly hurt by what he sees as an “egregious” edit, and he has now apparently upped the amount he says he will sue the corporation for.
While on board Air Force One on Friday, Trump told reporters the figure would be “anywhere between $1bn [£759m] and $5bn”.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy0yz5r8lypo
OBSERVATION - The width of the Atlantic Ocean is not enough to protect the BBC from this egregious edit job. Even the recent resignations of key persons won’t stop it.
China -
The United States agreed a $330 million deal for the sale of fighter jets and other aircraft parts to Taiwan on Nov. 13 in the first such deal since President Donald Trump returned to the White House, prompting anger from China.
The Pentagon said in a statement that the proposed sale will improve Taiwan’s “capability to meet current and future threats by maintaining the operational readiness of the recipient’s fleet of F-16, C-130,” and other aircraft.
https://thelibertydaily.com/u-s-agrees-330-million-sale-fighter-jets/
OBSERVATION - Needless to say, China is foaming at the mouth over this.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Russia claims to be ready to negotiate in Hungary, but maintains that Ukraine must completely capitulate before any ceasefire can take place.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 30-50 degree range, with increasing showers/rain towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukraine’s air defense intercepted 93 targets overnight. Russia launched 3 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal missiles and 135 attack drones, mostly Shaheds, from multiple directions. Two Kinzhals and 91 drones were shot down. Some hits and debris were recorded at 17 locations.
Russian losses per 15/11/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+1000 men
+6 tanks
+19 ACVs
+20 artillery
+1 MLRS
+2 AD systems
Ryazan’s oil refinery was hit again overnight. Locals heard over ten explosions and a large fire broke out near the site. This refinery is one of Russia’s top five and a key fuel supplier for several regions. It’s been targeted at least five times now.
Using heavy fog as cover, Russian forces set up a pontoon crossing between Yalta and Dachne, moving around 10 vehicles across. Although detected late, Ukraine’s 42nd Mech Brigade quickly struck back with drones, taking out 2 tanks, 5 armored vehicles, and personnel.
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
The following is part of an ISW assessment of current battles in eastern Ukraine - one of several I’ve posted recently as they contain the best OSINT analysis I’ve seen.
ISW assessments- Russian advances in and around Pokrovsk over the last several days suggest that Russian forces in Pokrovsk are prioritizing the seizure of the settlement itself. They do not appear to be focused on supporting efforts by the 51st Combined Arms Army (CAA, formerly the 1st Donetsk People’s Republic Army Corps [DNR AC], Southern Military District [SMD]) to close the pocket from the north and northeast with a complementary attack from the south at this time. (My observation - reported fighting on the northern flank of the Pokrovsk pocket shows a decrease in reported Russian attacks over the past few days.)
Russian forces may be prioritizing the seizure of Pokrovsk for a number of reasons. Russian leadership may seek to exploit the informational effects that the town’s seizure will likely generate, or may hope that the seizure of Pokrovsk will facilitate a subsequent effort to close the pocket.
Ukrainian counterattacks on the northern shoulder of the pocket and a continued Ukrainian presence within Pokrovsk are complicating Russian advances and Russia’s ability to close the pocket, but that fact should not be enough in itself to cause the Russian command to be distracted from the effort from the south.
The 51st CAA has also been struggling to advance from the northeast, moving more slowly than the 2nd CAA (Central Military District [CMD]) is moving within Pokrovsk and on the western flank of the pocket. The 51st CAA’s slower tempo could also be contributing to Russia’s apparent and possibly temporary prioritization of the seizure of Pokrovsk.
The Russian military command is notably not pursuing the standard measures one would expect in such a battlefield configuration, namely focusing forces and means on completing the encirclement, which would normally be the fastest and least costly way to seize the entire area. The Russian military command can change its focus at any time, however.
Russian forces continue to advance within the pocket in the Pokrovsk direction while Ukrainian forces continue efforts to prevent Russian advances on the northern shoulder of the pocket.
https://x.com/thestudyofwar/status/1989536336261316926?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
Analysis and Future Operations —
The fight for Pokrovsk continues to be fierce. ISW analysis suggests that something else may be causing some diversion of focus on sealing the deal there- that being shifting of resources to other areas where the Russia army is trying to take advantage of fog to negate much of Ukraine’s FPV dominance. FYI the fog is similar to the Tule fog in Kalifornia, occurs in between storm systems and can be thicker than pea soup.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Ongoing operations in Gaza
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Reported airstrikes in the Gaza City area.
——— JUDEA AND SAMARIA——————————-
Israeli forces carried out raids and arrests during an incursion into the town of Beit Rima, north of Ramallah, and several other areas in the West Bank.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
What appears to be relative calm obscures a lot of activity in the back ground. Israel continues to methodically reduce Hamas presence in the Yellow Zone. Right now, because of the separation, Israel cannot direct evacuation of civilians away from Hamas controlled areas, making it difficult for Israel to work and minimize civilian casualties at the same time.
Still watching the pressure needle continue to rise as it is growing more apparent the Israel and Hezbollah will be getting back into a more serious scrum here within the month. No Israeli homeland warnings or evacuations for the north, one of the key indicators of impending operations in Lebanon.
Similar pressure cooker rise with Iran, though likely on a longer term- year basis. See more under Iran below
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
Iran’s Foreign Ministry says the IRGC navy seized the Marshall Islands-flagged tanker Talara after an Iranian court issued a seizure order. Tehran claims the vessel, carrying 30,000 tons of petrochemicals, was transporting “illegal cargo” in violation of Iranian regulations, and that the operation was conducted to “protect national interests.”
OBSERVATION - The Marshall Islands are a protectorate of the US and IMHO the reason the tanker was targeted. This seizure may signal a new round of aggressive IRGC piracy, particularly due to the drawdown of US Naval assets in the region.
Any increase in piracy could accelerate the movement of the USS Washington movement to CENTCOM still currently scheduled for early 2026.
Lebanon - Threat Level - WARNING November 7, 2025
Lebanon’s central bank announced Friday a series of new restrictions on money changers and transfer companies, in a move widely seen as a response to mounting US pressure to dismantle Hezbollah’s financial lifelines, AFP reported.
The decision comes days after a visiting American official declared Washington’s intent to sever Tehran’s funding to Hezbollah. According to the US Treasury, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have funneled over $1 billion to the terror group this year, primarily through Lebanese money exchange firms.
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-105/
OBSERVATION - You can bet corruption will allow these exchanges to continue but under a different ‘name’.
Lebanon is running out of time to deal with Hezbollah before Israel does the job.
Syria -
Tensions are still elevated following recent skirmishes between Druze and Syrian security forces in S Syria.
Misc of Note –
Freepers in Kalifornia, and especially in S Kalifornia better be alert to flooding and a major storm system it taking aim. Make sure you have your bug out bags ready, important documents ready and escape routes identified and monitored. Also make sure friends/family you may be staying with are alerted too. Get out early and avoid the rush.
BTW - don’t leave pets behind.
Globalism / Great Reset –
In a new report, IEA, a body whose research helps to shape global energy policies, has admitted that countries’ commitment to climate change action is declining rapidly.
The IEA had been predicting that “fossil” fuel consumption would peak in 2025. But now it says that demand for oil and gas will continue to rise.
A few months before the IEA’s report, the US energy secretary had said that the IEA’s modelling of peak hydrocarbon fuels was “complete nonsense” and threatened withdrawal of funding if the IEA did not reform.
CW2 / Domestic violence - National Threat Level - WARNING - up dated Sep 28, 2025
Portland OR - Local Threat Level - WARNING as of Oct 25, 2025
Chicago IL - Local Threat Level - WARNING as of Oct 25, 2025
Los Angeles CA - Local Threat Level - ADVISORY as of Sep 28, 2025
Seattle WA - Local Threat Level - ADVISORY as of Sep 28, 2025
SF Bay area - Local Threat - ADVISORY as of Oct 25, 2025.
DATES TO NOTE -
.
22 November rally in Washington, D.C by “Removal Coalition”
MASS BLACKOUT - Nov 26 - Dec 2. Economic boycott.
***
Weekend forecast - Things pretty much unchanged from last weekend. Scattered protests - mostly signs and shouting - across the country. There is currently no major leftist unifying event for them to rally to. That said, localized incidences of violence may spring up, like last weekends Antifa assault on at TPUSA rally on the Berkeley campus. Be attentive to your local news.
***
Convicted violent felon and Portland Antifa ringleader Alissa Azar, who identifies as a journalist, is trying to mobilize her comrades to the @ICEgov facility in Portland to face off with Proud Boys leader Enrique Tarrio.
Antifa want to riot and attack like before but they are also afraid of being federally prosecuted given some of their comrades have been charged with terrorism offenses in Texas.
https://x.com/mrandyngo/status/1989771683532537891?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
OBSERVATION - The importance of the federal terror prosecutions in TX mentioned yesterday has put Antifa in the US under the microscope - with a resultant chilling of activity.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The United States successfully carried out a test of the B61-12 tactical thermonuclear bomb - but using a non-nuclear, inert version - back in August, according to a newly released statement from Sandia National Laboratories under the US Department of Energy.
The tests took place in Nevada from August 19 to 21, which involved F-35 fighter jets deploying and releasing dummy versions of the bomb. The effort was conducted in partnership with the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA).
This marks the only B61-12 stockpile flight test series carried out on an F-35 to date.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The CR expires at the end of January, when Congress will face the same spending challenge once again. Media is already building the fear factors of another shut down - a very real possibility.
Illegal Immigration –
Border Patrol sending agents and armored vehicles to Charlotte and New Orleans. Resources are being redeployed from Chicago, after wrapping up the surge there.
Of course liberal mayors and state officials are already decrying the surge.
China -
Four Chinese Coast Guard ships entered Japan-administered waters near the Senkaku Islands’ on a “rights enforcement patrol.”
Tensions have continued escalating between Japan and China since Japan’s PM implied the nation might intervene if China were to invade Taiwan.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 30-50 degree range, with increasing showers/rain towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russia launched another drone strike overnight, 176 drones and 1 Iskander-M missile. Ukraine’s air defense downed or jammed 139 drones, mostly Shaheds, across the north, south, and east. Hits were recorded in 14 locations.
The Lukoil refinery in Volgograd has been hit again, this time by long-range Liutyi AN-196 drones.
Russian losses per 16/11/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+860 men
+3 tanks
+3 ACVs
+26 artillery
+2 MLRS
Russian sources claim they reached Rusyn Yar near Kostyantynivka, in the 93rd Mech Brigade’s sector. Using thick fog for cover, they tried to exploit drone blind spots. But Ukraine’s 93rd had ground robotic systems in place. These units detected them, relayed coordinates, and FPV drones did the rest.
Analysis and Future Operations —
Russia continues to exploit the fog in Eastern Ukraine to infiltrate and continue assaults which largely negate Ukraine’s FPV advantage. Ukraine is shifting to more traditional ground based sensors and observation posts to identify and direct FPV and artillery fire to break up attacks.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Netanyahu reiterates no Palestinian state
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed developments in the Middle East in a phone call on Saturday, the Prime Minister’s Office and the Kremlin said in a joint statement.
The two focused on the situation in the Gaza Strip, especially regarding the implementation of the ceasefire agreement and the exchange of Israeli hostages and Palestinian prisoners.
The pair also discussed the status of Iran’s nuclear program and issues related to further stabilization efforts in Syria.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Netanyahu: “Absolutely NO to a Palestinian state.”
Prime Minister Netanyahu opened today’s cabinet meeting with a blunt clarification:
Israel’s policy has NOT changed, no Palestinian state, under any circumstances.
Netanyahu’s statement comes directly in response to the U.S.-backed amendment inside the new UN framework for Gaza, which shifts language toward endorsing a “pathway to Palestinian statehood.”
His message to Washington was unmistakable: Israel rejects any political process that advances Palestinian sovereignty west of the Jordan River.
OBSERVATION - Some believe the ‘pathway’ is an effort to appease Saudi Arabia and get them to sign onto the Abrahamic Accords. The ‘pathway’ wording is similar to a similar Trump move back in 2020.
———INTERNATIONAL ————————
Outside elements are trying to get Israel to allow Turkish soldiers into Gaza. Israel holding a hard NO line.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Situation remains relatively static, Hamas continues to rebuild its forces and dominance over the population. Israel continues to reduce Hamas forces and facilities within the Yellow Zone. It seems to me that Israeli action in the Yellow Zone has slowed considerably over the past week.
Similar in Lebanon, though Israel continues to nail Hezbollah leaders and sites daily.
My only assumption at this time is Israel is in planning stages to expand operations in both areas.
Efforts to put Turkish boot on the ground in Gaza, with some degree of US support, is rightfully being rejected by Israel. Turkey has been very vocal about ‘protecting’ Hamas and threatened on numerous occasions to invade Israel to secure the Temple mount area. Turkish support to overthrow Assad in Syria has essentially granted them access at will to N Israel and forces in Gaza to southern and central Israel. Anyone thinking that Turkey will now be a good boy is going to find out otherwise.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
Iranian media say 16 dams are below ten percent capacity, and 20 provinces have recorded zero rainfall.
Social media postings showing Iranian military officers calling for the return of the Shah dynasty seem to be on the increase, though I don’t see any attempted coup in the making. However, the suffering of the civilian population (food, water, power) is increasing dramatically at the expense of Iran’s military program and elites. A developing powder keg.
Syria -
Since yesterday the Syrian Government Forces have repeatedly attacked positions of the SDF in the countryside of Raqqah (Northeastern Syria), the STG launched more attacks in an attempt to infiltrate the frontline positions of the SDF - as clashes took place, both sides have deployed reinforcements to the frontline
OBSERVATION - Numerous agreements to incorporate the SDF into the Syrian military have been made in the past, then Syria does stuff like this which reinforces the need of the SDF to remain armed and independent.
Mexico -
The Secretariat of Citizen Security of Mexico City is reporting that 100 police officers were injured during today’s anti-corruption demonstration in front of the National Palace, claiming that a large violent group directly assaulted police elements with punches and explosive devices, while some officers were stripped of their shields and communication radios, with at least 40 officers requiring hospitalization across Mexico City.
Rioters protesting against the leftist government of President Sheinbaum tear down the protective barrier protecting the National Palace.
OBSERVATION - I saw a new article noting the erection of a protective fence around the National Palace earlier this week, but it didn’t give a context other than there was unrest surrounding the assassination of the mayor of Uruapan, Carlson Manzo, and associated grumblings towards the govt.
Clearly, there must have been announced plans for a protest. Manzo was assassinated by cartels and anger has been growing because of increased cartel actions / violence that many see being condoned by Sheinbaum. Could continue to be spicy down there.
Central / South America General-
U.S. Marines in Haiti exchanged gunfire this week with suspected gang members, according to U.S. military officials - WaPo
OBSERVATION - Marines are protecting the US embassy.
Trump needs to double up the number of Marines stationed there...
They have a Spectre gunship in PR
Globalism / Great Reset –
A landmark declaration at COP30—marking first time information integrity is prioritized at UN Climate Conference.
They want to control all information & deem what is or is not the truth regarding “climate change”
This is a dangerous declaration. What concrete action are they going to take exactly? Their narrative is under threat & they want total control over it.
That is to say, any science which disputes the Global Warming mass line narrative attack will be punishable in more legitimized ways than merely debunking or other extra legal means.
OBSERVATION - Totalitarians have to have complete control over the narrative in order to dull the minds of the sheeple and insure control. Now this effort is looking to go beyond the current censorship efforts into criminalizing the presentation of counter narrative scientific facts and analysis.
CW2 / Domestic violence - National Threat Level - WARNING - up dated Sep 28, 2025
Portland OR - Local Threat Level - ADVISORY as of NOV 17, 2025
Chicago IL - Local Threat Level - WARNING as of Oct 25, 2025
Seattle WA - Local Threat Level - ADVISORY as of Sep 28, 2025
SF Bay area - Local Threat - ADVISORY as of Oct 25, 2025.
Charlotte NC - Local Threat - ADVISORY as of Nov 17, 2025
New Orleans LA - Local Threat - ADVISORY as of Nov 17, 2025
NOTE - Changes to the above. Portland downgraded as violent actions have decreased, though the threat could change. Charlotte and New Orleans added as a surge on illegals has started and some leftists are working to counter operations. Los Angeles is dropped as activity has fallen to previous baseline levels.
DATES TO NOTE -
.
22 November rally in Washington, D.C by “Removal Coalition”
MASS BLACKOUT - Nov 26 - Dec 2. Economic boycott.
Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025
President Donald Trump revised the scope of his global tariffs Friday, scrapping levies on several grocery staples in an effort to address mounting concerns about stubbornly high food prices.
A White House fact sheet accompanying the order states “certain qualifying agricultural products will no longer be subject to those tariffs, such as certain food not grown in the United States.” Notable affected items include “coffee and tea; tropical fruits and fruit juices; cocoa and spices; bananas, oranges, and tomatoes; beef; and additional fertilizers.”
OBSERVATION - Democrats claiming proof that tariffs are hurting americans.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Obama Judge Boasberg blocked Trump admin CDL restrictions meant to prevent tragedies like the Florida crash where an illegal migrant trucker killed three people. His ruling keeps 190,000 noncitizen CDL holders on US roads. Another Obama judge undermines safety.
OBSERVATION - At first I couldn’t believe the headline. A very clear law and Boasberg issues his judicial fiat to eliminate it. The republicans better step up and put this rabid down down.
INTERNATIONAL GENERAL –
The White House is getting ready for the visit of Saudi crown prince Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud
TRUMP Watch –
Trump:
“House Republicans should vote to release the Epstein files, because we have nothing to hide”.
Democrats spent four years not lifting a finger to release the Epstein files, but when they found a weapon against Trump, suddenly they’re pretending to be all about transparency.
The problem is, their gambit just blew up in their faces.
President Trump called their bluff Sunday night, posting on Truth Social that House Republicans should vote to release the files. “House Republicans should vote to release the Epstein files, because we have nothing to hide,” Trump wrote.
The statement is a true masterclass in political chicken. Democrats want the public to believe they’ve got dirt on Trump when they really don’t. Now we get to see if they really want to see what the files say.
OBSERVATION - The whole Epstine matter I’ve pretty much ignored because it has little to do with the internal threats to the country - but a lot of political soap opera. I bring this out now because it is seemingly a flip that Trump has been holding in his hand for just the right moment. The observation is right, the democrats for four years under biden had every opportunity to uses these files against Trump. They threw everything else at him in an effort to neutralize him. Full release of these files could well open a whole new axis of attack on the deep state, and create shockwaves that could shake the nation to its core. Or then again come out as a nothing burger. IMHO something in the middle is building.
Illegal Immigration –
Customs and Border Patrol agents arrested 81 people in Charlotte during their first day of an immigration enforcement operation known as “Charlotte’s Web.” Immediate results, WCNC reported that the commander overseeing the operation, Gregory K. Bovino, described on X that those arrested Saturday had “significant criminal and immigration history.” Border Patrol is conducting this surge on. its own, without the support of ICE, outlets report.
OBSERVATION - This is essentially a Border Patrol operation and not ICE. BP is taking over lead in some of these sweeps because the administration thinks they will be more aggressive in their prosecution of illegals.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
Economic Impact –
Russian businesses are starting to feel the pinch of higher taxes due to funding needs of the Ukraine war.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps dropping to the 30-40 degree range, with increasing showers/rain towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Overnight, Russia launched 2 Iskander-M missiles and 128 drones, including around 80 Shaheds. Ukraine’s air defense downed or jammed 91 drones. Hits were recorded at 15 sites from drones and 2 from ballistic missiles.
The two missiles struck residential areas in central Balakliya, Kharkiv region. Three people were killed and ten injured, including children.
Russian drone has attacked Turkish-owned gas tanker on the border between Romania and Ukraine
Ukraine struck the 500 kV “Veshkayma” substation in Russia’s Ulyanovsk region overnight. The substation had only recently been partially restored, now it’s hit again.
Russian losses per 17/11/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+1160 men
+2 tanks
+3 ACVs
+17 artillery
+1 MLRS
+2 AD systems
An attempted Russian breakthrough near Novopavlivka has reportedly been contained. Fifteen Russian troops were eliminated, two captured. All assault groups were neutralized. The 59th Brigade provided timely reinforcement, and clearing operations are now underway in the area.
The Dobropillia–Kostiantynivka highway, briefly cut by Russian forces during their push on Dobropillia, has been retaken by Ukraine’s Air Assault and National Guard units.
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Russian forces reportedly have resumed the attempt to encircle Pokrovsk rather than directly assault it.
Analysis and Future Operations —
Though still underpressure, Ukraine is still stiffening its defenses in the Pokrovsk sector and Russia is about to lose its fog advantage. The Tule type fog develops in still wind conditions and inversions. From the weather forecasts I’ve seen, weather systems are starting to pass through the region, stirring up the air and limiting fog development. Further, the accompanying rains will continue to make the soils muddy, inhibiting cross country movement by Russia, forcing them again to the roads - kill zones for FPV.
I’ve not seen if Ukraine has adapted its FPV to the fog using thermal viewfinders or not. This is a lot more expensive than more standard optics but great for identifying heat signatures (ie people and equipment) within a cold surrounding (fog).
Russia has been making some small gains along the southern edge of the front lines as Ukraine has shifted forces there to the Pokrovsk fight.
Poland –
Polish PM Donald Tusk:
Unfortunately, the worst suspicions have been confirmed. An act of sabotage occurred on the Warsaw-Lublin route (Mika village). An explosive device detonated and destroyed the railway track. Emergency services and the prosecutor’s office are working on the scene. Damage was also found on the same route, closer to Lublin.
OBSERVATION - Most likely Russians, because Poland is the largest staging area for aid coming into Ukraine. Russia is unafraid to do so at this stage because they are mostly immune from counter effects from Poland short of actual war and the plausible deniability of the acts themselves.
Europe / NATO General –
Unidentified drones continue to harass European airports and military facilities over the past weeks.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Hamas reduction within the Yellow Zone continues.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Defense Minister Katz: I have just been updated by the Deputy IDF Chief of Staff that the operation to destroy Hamas’s terror tunnels in Gaza is progressing well. The IDF is demolishing the tunnels through explosions or by filling and pumping liquid concrete into them throughout all areas under its control. The multinational force led by the United States is expected to handle the demilitarization and disarmament of Hamas in Old Gaza.
***
In a joint statement, Palestinian factions object to the US draft resolution set to be voted on by the UN Security Council.
Specifically, they reject international management of Gaza, any clause related to disarmament, the proposed role of the ISF, and any foreign military presence.
They also demand the preservation of UNRWA and for international mechanisms to hold Israel accountable for ‘violations’ of the ceasefire.
***
The Israeli Air Force hit multiple targets in Gaza overnight
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Much of the action is on the larger geopolitical level as the effort to deal with Hamas and the problems of disarming them continue to rise. Short of the resumption of war, this issue will not be solved by any international coalition. Too many arab states openly saying they want Hamas disarmed behind the scenes doing what they can to sabotage the effort - they want Israel to have a proximal military threat.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
Iran’s water and power woes are almost biblical. The start of both are linked to the Oct 7 attack on Israel by Hamas and their overt support of Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthi, eventually cumulating on directly attacking Israel. Genesis 12:3 comes to mind.
Lebanon - Threat Level - WARNING November 7, 2025
The Israeli army confirms carrying out a drone strike in southern Lebanon last night, saying it killed a Hezbollah operative. The strike, near the village of Mansouri, south of Tyre, killed Muhammad Ali Shuweikh, who the military says served as Hezbollah’s local representative in the village, and as part of his role, he was responsible for liaising between the terror group and the residents “on economic and military matters.” “The terrorist acted to seize private property for terror purposes,” the Israeli army adds
OBSERVATION - Another day, another Hezbollah leader bites the dust.
Mexico -
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum slammed today’s fiery Gen Z protests outside Mexico City’s National Palace, preaching that “one should never use violence to bring about change.”
But hold up, thousands hit the streets demanding real action on skyrocketing crime and corruption, sparked by the brutal murder of Uruapan mayor Carlos Manzo, who got 0 help fighting the narcos.
She’s quick to cry foul on protesters knocking down barriers and clashing with cops, but where’s that energy for the cartels she’s basically letting run wild?
Her Morena party’s “hugs not bullets” nonsense has emboldened the gangs, leading to record politician killings and a narco grip that’s bleeding Mexico dry.
Yet she accuses the march of being a right-wing bot-fueled setup instead of listening to fed-up citizens.
These Gen Z folks aren’t the villains; they’re calling out her tolerance for cartel chaos.
If she wants non-violence, start by cracking down on the real thugs terrorizing the country, not demonizing kids fighting for a safer future.
Source: Bloomberg,
@AZ_Intel_
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1989853423534313610?s=20
***
A couple of weeks ago, Sheinbaum completely ruled out a new “war on drugs”…
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum ruled out a new “war on drugs” as a response to the assassination of a regional mayor who was shot at a Day of the Dead celebration, a brazen killing that has sparked national outrage.
“Returning to the war against el narco is not an option,” Sheinbaum told reporters Monday, referring to the bloody anti-crime offensive launched almost two decades ago. “Mexico already did that, and the violence got worse.”
Links to narco related corruption and her election are deep -
During the election that resulted in her coming to power, 37 other candidates for office were assassinated by the cartels…
Claudia Sheinbaum was elected as Mexico’s first female president Sunday following the deadliest election campaign in the country’s modern history.
More than three dozen candidates were assassinated, including a local government candidate in central Puebla state who was killed on Friday, increasing the total number of those killed to 37 ahead of Sunday’s vote, according to data from security consultancy Integralia obtained by Reuters.
OBSERVATION - Will have to see if the people keep the pressure on. The protest at the National Palace was a definite shot across the bow of her presidency. Mexico is spiraling into a failed narco/terrorist state and that crime/terror most certainly will eventually spill into the US to a greater degree than we currently see. Whether or not pressure will cause her to resign is yet to be seen.
Venezuela - Threat Level - ADVISORY Sept 4, 2025
State Dept is designating Cartel de los Soles as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO). Headed by the illegitimate Nicolás Maduro, the group has corrupted the institutions of government in Venezuela and is responsible for terrorist violence conducted by and with other designated FTOs as well as for trafficking drugs into the United States and Europe.
By naming Maduro as the leader of a designated terrorist organization, the U.S. has effectively moved him into its counterterrorism framework, where lethal force can be authorized. It lowers the threshold for the U.S. to act against him.
***
Rumors that Trump’s been chatting up Venezuela’s epic 300+ billion barrel oil stash in private huddles with top brass and aides.
Maduro allegedly floated a deal weeks back to basically gift the U.S. prime access, skipping any military drama altogether.
OBSERVATION - Unconfirmed, but it seems to be following the current narrative. Maduro is wetting himself all of a sudden when faced with US military might targeting the drug cartels operating out of Venezuela. Any expansion of effort could well cause his regime to fall and him running for his life.
Thanks Godzilla.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.